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| Identifier: | 03AMMAN4246 |
|---|---|
| Wikileaks: | View 03AMMAN4246 at Wikileaks.org |
| Origin: | Embassy Amman |
| Created: | 2003-07-10 17:54:00 |
| Classification: | CONFIDENTIAL |
| Tags: | PGOV PREL KDEM JO |
| Redacted: | This cable was not redacted by Wikileaks. |
This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 AMMAN 004246 SIPDIS E.O. 12958: DECL: 07/10/2013 TAGS: PGOV, PREL, KDEM, JO SUBJECT: COMPOSITION OF NEW JORDANIAN PARLIAMENT, ALLEGATIONS OF IRREGULARITIES AND POST-ELECTION CLASHES Classified By: Ambassador Edward W. Gnehm. Reasons 1.5 (B)&(D). ------- SUMMARY ------- 1. (C) The new Jordanian Parliament elected June 17 is better-educated and somewhat younger than its predecessor, and includes a large number of former ministers, lawyers, engineers and medical doctors. PolOff has been meeting with newly elected MPs and political analysts to discuss their views -- ranging from optimism to cynicism -- about the elections and the incoming Parliament. Reports of election irregularities, as well as stories of clashes between supporters of losing candidates and security forces, have generated continued public attention to the electoral process and the upcoming legislative session. End Summary. --------------------------------------------- -------- THE NEW PARLIAMENT ) A NEW BREED OR MORE OF THE SAME? --------------------------------------------- -------- 2. (U) King Abdullah has scheduled a special session of the newly elected Parliament to convene on July 15, although the official opening of the regular session will not occur until the fall. The members of this new Parliament are, overall, more educated and younger than members of previous Parliaments. The 110 deputies in the lower house include 10 former ministers, 12 lawyers, 12 medical doctors, 12 retired army officers, and 12 engineers. Ten of the new MPs hold PhDs, while ten more have earned Master's degrees and another 21 hold Bachelor's degrees. 3. (C) Despite the improved educational credentials, political analyst Jamal Refai and new parliamentarian Raed Qaqish expressed to PolOff concern about the Parliament's willingness to effect change and to discuss new ideas to address Jordan's economic and social problems. Interestingly, PolOff had met with Qaqish a few days prior to the election and was impressed with his enthusiasm and zeal for becoming an MP and tackling Jordan's ills. Since the elections, however, Qaqish had become discouraged and disappointed at what he described as a group of MPs that is only interested in the perks of the position and the prestige associated with it. Although he had made a strong effort to meet with his counterparts and share his ideas, Qaqish said he discovered that his innovative agenda faced an uphill battle in a Parliament where two-thirds of the seats were won by tribal and pro-government independent figures. 4. (C) Similarly, at a luncheon hosted by the CAO for leading journalists, participants described the new MPs as an unfocused group with disparate interests and, with the notable exception of the Islamic Action Front (IAF), no clear agenda or goals. They further noted the lack of expertise needed to deal with complicated legislative issues, and the shortage of parliamentary resources such as knowledgeable staffers and research services. 5. (C) On a more positive note, MP and former lower house speaker Saad Heil Srour told PolCouns that he was pleased with the youth, education, and energy he has noticed in the newly elected deputies with whom he has spoken in the last week. Several &young8 and/or female MPs had impressed him in particular, and he believed they would bring new life to the Parliament. Several new, younger and Western-educated MPs attended the official July 4th celebration and expressed a desire to support an active reform agenda in Parliament. --------------------------------------- ELECTION IRREGULARITIES OR SOUR GRAPES? --------------------------------------- 6. (C) Jordan's three main newspapers reported that as of the July 2 deadline to contest the results of the June 17 polls, 54 complaints were filed pending review by the newly elected Parliament. Among the main complaints are allegations of vote buying by individual candidates, persons voting more than once by ironing out the star-shaped mark stamped on all voter ID cards, and voters using ID cards without district stamps (anyone holding a card without designation of a district number -- a replacement for a "lost" card -- was ineligible to vote). Embassy contact Sheikh Hamad Abu Zeid, running in Amman's fourth district, recounted how two ballot boxes allegedly appeared at the central election center stuffed with voter ballots. (Comment: Given that under the electoral regulations all ballots should have been counted at polling places in the presence of candidates' representatives, this should be a fairly easy allegation to verify or disprove. End comment) 7. (C) Some losing candidates told PolOff that they would not "waste their time" filing a complaint since the newly elected Parliament, which is charged with reviewing all such complaints, has a vested interest in legitimizing the results. They argued that an independent review committee should be formed before the next elections in 2007 to give the electoral process an acceptable level of credibility and independence. --------------------- POST ELECTION CLASHES --------------------- 8. (C) Al Arab al Yawm reported on June 20 that supporters of unsuccessful candidates had clashed with public security forces in the area of Na'ur -- between Amman and the Dead Sea ) with crowds firing guns into the air, setting fire to garbage containers, vehicles and shops, and damaging water tanks. As a result, the road leading to the Jordan Valley was temporarily closed. (Note: The road closure forced the motorcade of Secretary Powell, which was driving from the airport to the World Economic Forum, to divert to an alternate route.) 9. (C) The Amman Governor imposed a curfew and sought the assistance of local candidates and community leaders to restore law and order. Embassy contacts also reported that the protests and vandalism that occurred in the Na'ur area were primarily directed at the local Palestinian origin population. Supporters of a losing tribal candidate reportedly blamed the Palestinian community for backing the victorious candidate -- from another tribe with ties to the South. In the northern governorate of Irbid, protesters clashed with governorate employees requiring the intervention of riot police and resulting in the arrest of 20 individuals. Scant coverage of these events appeared in the press and Jordan TV has ignored them altogether. ------- COMMENT ------- 10. (C) With the exception of the allegation of two "new" ballot boxes appearing in one district, we tend to discount allegations of large-scale voting abuse as sour grapes. Embassy and other diplomats who observed the polling saw no evidence of such abuses and, in fact, saw several instances in which election officials blocked attempts at voting fraud. Nevertheless, widespread coverage of the allegations may cause a skeptical public to closely scrutinize the new Parliament. 11. (C) The post-election clashes are disturbing, but were caused by local politics and tribal rivalries. GNEHM
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