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| Identifier: | 05NAIROBI4866 |
|---|---|
| Wikileaks: | View 05NAIROBI4866 at Wikileaks.org |
| Origin: | Embassy Nairobi |
| Created: | 2005-11-25 05:47:00 |
| Classification: | SECRET |
| Tags: | PGOV PTER PREL ASEC KPAO SO KE |
| Redacted: | This cable was not redacted by Wikileaks. |
This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
S E C R E T SECTION 01 OF 04 NAIROBI 004866 SIPDIS DEPARTMENT FOR AF STATE PASS AID DHS FOR ICE LONDON, PARIS FOR AFRICA WATCHER E.O. 12958: DECL: 11/22/2025 TAGS: PGOV, PTER, PREL, ASEC, KPAO, SO, KE SUBJECT: SOMALI PIRACY -- ADDITIONAL RECOMMENDATIONS RE: CONOPS TO COMBAT PIRACY OFF THE SOMALIA COAST SUMMARY -------- 1. (S) Country Team elements directly engaged in the issue of piracy off the Somali coast met to discuss the impact of possible interdiction operations in the Somali political, clan, and CT context. We recommend options that mitigate any impact on the current Somali political process or on- going CT efforts. We believe this can be accomplished through the use of appropriate existing authorities under international law for the interdiction of piracy on the high seas. We caution against plans that require operations against land-based targets, or inside Somali territorial waters. It would be most useful to conduct any eventual operations with coalition partners, if possible. Appropriate regional states and authorities should be briefed prior to operations. END SUMMARY. 2. (S) DCM (then as CDA) chaired a meeting of key intelligence, military, security and political officers of the Country Team on 16 November 2005 to discuss the dramatically increased incidence of hijacking and piracy off the Somali coast. Participants were encouraged by ongoing efforts from Coalition Forces Maritime Component Command (CFMCC) to develop a Concept of Operations (CONOPS) for the disruption and prevention of further acts of piracy in the vicinity of the Somalia coast. While there appears to be clear USG interest in taking action to disrupt and eliminate piracy off the Horn of Africa, Post reiterates some key points to all involved in the planning and execution of potential courses of action. It is not the intention of these recommendations to limit the effectiveness of potential planned actions, but only to ensure that all precautions are taken to protect USG interests in the Horn of Africa. POLITICAL ENVIRONMENT ---------------------- 3. (S) The political situation in Somalia can be described as fragile, at best. The individuals and clans engaged over the last three years in the creation of Transitional Federal Institutions (TFIs) to bring central governance to Somalia are now preparing for open warfare among themselves. Neither the TFIs nor their individual members can be considered as interlocutors on the subject of interdiction or prevention of piracy. None are in control of more than a portion of Somali national territory, and no one individual or group is able to impose order on the nearly 2,000 km-long Somali coastline. PERCEPTIONS OF POTENTIAL USG ACTIONS ------------------------- 4. (S) Post strongly urges that any possible plans of Coalition and U.S. action be formulated with the clear objective of maintaining the current USG position of neutrality in relation to both the TFI stalemate and the complex web of Somali clan alliances and antagonisms. In this context, direct USG action against land targets (camps, beached boats, people) is likely to be problematic. Such action would be extremely difficult to target on actual perpetrators, and could easily result in collateral damage to members of the general population. 5. (S) The USG has sought to maintain a delicate balance in our relations with all non-extremist factions and individuals, focusing on a return of governance as the most important outcome to support our CT efforts in the Horn of Africa. All effort should be made to ensure that USG anti- piracy actions do not in fact catalyze further conflict among the parties to this tense stalemate. Direct action against Somali territory, especially if civilian casualties result from it, could spark a nationalistic backlash. Possible negative consequences for us could include the loss of cooperation within Somalia among individual partners in our CT efforts, as well as increased activism among, and legitimacy for, Islamist or Jihadist extremists. 6. (S) It is noteworthy that individual members of the TFIs, including the titular "Transitional Federal President", Abdullahi Yusuf Ahmed, and "Prime Minister", Ali Mohamed Ghedi, have issued public requests for assistance against piracy in international waters off Somalia's coast. Requests from individuals holding these titles and positions could be seen as providing justification for USG action on Somali territory. This is not the case; in reality, such requests are inevitably seen as one faction attempting to impose itself as the sole representative of the TFIs. Accordingly, such a request by one faction of the TFIs can and will be perceived by other factions -- and possibly by Islamist and Jihadist extremists -- as counter to their interests. To act on the request would only serve to place the USG with one side or the other in their conflicts. Lastly, we must also consider potential retaliation for USG action that might be taken against ships crews, among them nationals of USG allies, currently held onboard pirated ships. SEEK LEGITIMACY IN EXISTING INTERNATIONAL LEGAL NORMS ---------------------------- 7. (S) Post encourages planning agencies and commands to pursue an outcome of any USG action that can be perceived by the people of Somalia and the international community as an action taken against international piracy and not against the Somali people. Existing international laws should provide ample justification for intervention of coalition forces in international waters against perpetrators of piracy. We remind agencies and commands that Somalia's status as the world's quintessential "failed state" is defined as an absence of central governance, not as a removal of international protections of territorial sovereignty. We therefore recommend that every effort be made to avoid action within Somali territorial waters, in order to reduce accusations of a "U.S. versus Somalia" policy. If action within Somalia's territory or territorial waters is deemed indispensable to the success of our mission, or to protect U.S. assets or personnel, we strongly urge that the concerns in Para. 5 above be factored into our planning and that such action be considered on only a case-by-case basis. 8. (S) We think it would be useful to conduct such operations with coalition partners if possible. This might even include elements of the Kenyan Navy if they could be operationalized. The political optics of an international coalition to combat piracy are better than those of a U.S. unilateral operation. (Our Kenyan interlocutors, for example, would strongly support anti-piracy action in Somalia, provided it is perceived as a multinational/coalition operation.) We should plan to brief other regional states and authorities prior to the conduct of operations in the expectation that they too would support or endorse action to combat piracy. BELLAMY
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