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| Identifier: | 05TEGUCIGALPA2373 |
|---|---|
| Wikileaks: | View 05TEGUCIGALPA2373 at Wikileaks.org |
| Origin: | Embassy Tegucigalpa |
| Created: | 2005-11-23 16:37:00 |
| Classification: | UNCLASSIFIED |
| Tags: | PGOV KIRF PHUM PREL KDEM HO |
| Redacted: | This cable was not redacted by Wikileaks. |
This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 TEGUCIGALPA 002373 SIPDIS STATE FOR WHA/CEN, WHA/PPC, WHA/USOAS, DRL/IRF, AND DRL/PHD STATE PASS AID FOR LAC/CEN AND DCHA/DG E.O. 12958: N/A TAGS: PGOV, KIRF, PHUM, PREL, KDEM, HO SUBJECT: HONDURAN ELECTIONS: THE PROTESTANT EVANGELICAL VOTE - A GROWING FORCE IN POLITICS REF: Tegucigalpa 2346 and previous 1. Summary: For hundreds of years, the Roman Catholic Church dominated both religiously and politically within Honduras. Although the government has always been officially secular, a strong Catholic influence has been present. For a variety of reasons, including a large number of Protestant missionaries, during the last two decades many Hondurans have slowly moved away from Catholicism and have turned increasingly to Protestant evangelical churches. Paralleling this religious movement, a political movement has also occurred. The upcoming national elections on November 27 are likely to reveal the present influence that the Protestant evangelical community has in Honduran politics. End Summary. 2. A key moment in the modern Protestant evangelical community was the 1972 establishment of the church presently called "Vida Abundante." Since its genesis in the early 1970s, the church has increased both its membership and its affiliations with other churches, estimated at 300 Protestant evangelical churches. An Evangelical council, the Evangelical Brotherhood of Honduras (Confraternidad Evangelica de Honduras - CEH), was established in 1987 to unite the different Protestant evangelical associations/churches within Honduras. The council oversees numerous Protestant evangelical church-based social programs and has a live weekly television and radio show. 3. The growth of Protestant evangelical community, which according to the CEH accounts for 1.8 million (26 percent) of the approximate 7 million Honduran population, has been quite visible. A 2002 survey by Le Vote Harris reported that 63 percent of respondents identified themselves as Roman Catholics, 23 percent as Protestant evangelicals, and 14 percent as "other" or did not respond. An unpublished survey conducted in October 2005 by Ingenieria Gerencial, S.A reported that 60.4 percent of respondents identified themselves as Catholics, 30.8 percent as Protestant evangelicals, 4.2 as non believers, and the remaining as "other." While statistics have not shown a split between Catholic and Protestant voters on party allegiance, it appears that religious voters tend to favor members of their church when they are candidates. 4. When the Supreme Electoral Tribunal (TSE) made a highly controversial decision in June 2005 to approve Protestant clerical participation in government, the Protestant evangelical community had 14 of their own ministers running in the November 27 elections. However, on July 28 the Supreme Court rejected on largely technical grounds the decision previously made by the TSE, although their participation was argued to be unconstitutional. Article 77 of the Honduran Constitution states that ministers of different religious groups cannot hold office and/or participate in electoral or political propaganda to promote their religious beliefs. Article 198 states that in order to be elected into office, one must belong to the secular state. The ruling stripped all 14 Protestant ministers of their candidacy. Three ministers, Mario Tomas Barahona and Heriberto Antonio Chicas Portillo of the National Party, along with Rafael Antunez of the Liberal Party, did not accept the decision of the Supreme Court and filed an appeal while the other ministers petitioned for formal assistance from the Inter-American Commission on Human Rights. Appeals where not resolved in time, however, for their participation in the November 27 elections. 5. Forced to relinquish his candidacy, Protestant Minister Mario Tomas Barahona successfully persuaded the National Party to accept his request to have his son run in his place, instead of his alternate (who was elected in the primaries). This controversial action fueled allegations by some pundits that ministers can use their power of influence to sway votes for or against certain politicians. Additionally, some NGOs have disapprovingly told EmbOffs that they believe lobbying by Protestant evangelicals has led to recent legislative changes such as the reaffirmation of a ban on abortion and an amendment to the constitution banning gay marriage. Both of these issues are ones National Party presidential candidate Porfirio "Pepe" Lobo Sosa raises in stump speeches. 6. On October 27, the Protestant evangelical church "Vida Abundante" hosted their traditional pre-election "Advice and Prayer" gathering with the presidential candidates: Lobo, Liberal Party candidate Manuel "Mel" Zelaya Rosales, Innovation and National Unity Party (PINU) candidate Carlos Alejandro Sosa Coello, Democratic Unification (UD) Party candidate Juan Angel Alemendares Bonilla, and Christian Democrat candidate Juan Ramon Martinez. The event was broadcast live on both TV and radio in order to reach remote areas of the country. Zelaya said he would commit himself to the concerns of the Protestant evangelical church and its constituents if he were elected. Lobo also wooed the Protestant evangelical vote by siding with positions held by most of their churches on issues such as abortion, gay marriage, and family values (although most Catholic and Protestant voters do not appear to hold different positions on these issues). 7. Comment: What is apparent is that the Protestant evangelical community's sphere of influence is growing. What is not certain yet, however, is to what extent. The results of the election, where the Evangelical Brotherhood of Honduras has "blessed" numerous candidates from various political parties who they believe embody Protestant evangelical values, should help determine their clout. End Comment. Ford
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