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| Identifier: | 05COLOMBO1862 |
|---|---|
| Wikileaks: | View 05COLOMBO1862 at Wikileaks.org |
| Origin: | Embassy Colombo |
| Created: | 2005-10-27 11:21:00 |
| Classification: | CONFIDENTIAL//NOFORN |
| Tags: | PGOV CE Elections |
| Redacted: | This cable was not redacted by Wikileaks. |
This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 COLOMBO 001862 SIPDIS SENSITIVE STATE FOR SA/INS E.O. 12958: DECL: 10/28/2015 TAGS: PGOV, CE, Elections SUBJECT: PUTTALAM DISTRICT GEARS UP FOR CLOSE ELECTION Classified By: DCM James F. Entwistle. Reason: 1.4 (B,D) 1. (SBU) SUMMARY: During a recent poloff visit to Puttalam district on Sri Lanka's west coast, government officials described a calm, if rather apathetic, polity and a well-practiced electoral mechanism. Catholics in the area are expected to support United National Party (UNP) opposition candidate Ranil Wickremesinge, and the Sri Lankan Muslim Congress (SLMC) has a detailed plan to get Muslims out in force to vote for him as well. The Tamil residents of Udappu, a mixed community fishing village, surprised poloffs by announcing that they stood behind the Sri Lanka Freedom Party's contender Prime Minister Mahinda Rajapakse, prioritizing the party's past contributions to the village over concerns about the candidate's pact with the Marxist/nationalist Janatha Vimukthi Peramuna (JVP). In this ethnically diverse pragmatism may trump policy in this close election. END SUMMARY This Is How We Do It -------------------- 2. (SBU) Two poloffs traveled up Sri Lanka's west coast to take the pulse of the presidential campaign in Puttalam district on October 21. Poloffs met with the Chilaw Divisional Secretary N.H.M. Chitrandana, the Puttalam Government Agent H.M. Herath and A.C.M. Nafeel, the Puttalam Assistant Elections Commissioner. Government interlocutors at all levels stated that no incidents of election violence had occurred and that regular meetings with the police are held to plan security for the polls. As in other districts, Puttalam's 470,604 electors will receive polling cards through the mail on November 9. This card will be presented at one of the 425 polling stations corresponding to a particular voter, and verified against the voter registration list. Contesting political party representatives are permitted at the polling stations to help voters, but campaigning is prohibited within 200 meters of the polling station. While Sri Lankans outside the island cannot vote, government and military personnel assigned out of their normal voting districts are provided with postal ballots. The total cost of a Presidential election in Puttalam is Rs. 6 million, (USD 60,000). Holy Roman Empire ----------------- 3. (SBU) Chilaw, known as the "Catholic Belt", is a port city and the economic engine of Puttalam district. Unlike his colleagues in later meetings, Divisional Secretary Chitrandana was talkative about the upcoming election in Chilaw. He stated that the endorsement of the Ceylon Workers Congress (CWC) and SLMC made locals see the UNP as a solid contender against the incumbent SLFP. These endorsements have closed the race to a dead heat. Roman Catholics in Chilaw outnumber the Hindus and Buddhists combined and are expected to favor the Wickremesinge because of Rajapakse's ties to the Jathika Hela Urumaya (JHU), a right wing Buddhist that has proposed legal restrictions on religious conversion. Get Out The Vote ---------------- 4. (SBU) Later that day, poloffs met with SLMC parliamentarian K.Abdul Baiz, who described the SLMC strategy to mobilize Puttalam's 55,000 Muslims to back Wickremesinge, beginning with a rally for 5000 SLMC activists to fire up their political base. The SLMC will attempt to discredit Mahinda Rajapakse as a man with four policies; his own, the JVP's, the JHU's and the SLFP's. The UNP platform promising Muslims equal representation in any future peace talks and post-tsunami aid plan, as well as an agreement to open a college of education in Puttalam, is expected to resonate with the voters. The SLMC also plans to use its 75 branch party offices in villages and towns across the district to convince 16,000 Tamil voters (Note: Tamils and Muslims both speak Tamil) to support the UNP agenda. Although few Muslim women voted in the 2004 parliamentary election, the SLMC has set a goal of getting 10,000 women to the polls. What Have You Done For Me Lately? -------------------------------- 5. (U) In the fishing village of Udappu, a mixed community of Tamils, Muslims and Christians, poloffs attended a gathering of Hindu temple members. When asked about the elections, the villagers complained loudly that they had been ignored by both the SLFP and UNP. They recited a litany of needs, including safe drinking water, schools for the village and a paved road to the main highway. When asked which leader represents their interests, someone proclaimed "Prabahkaran is our leader," (NOTE: Prabahkaran is leader of the LTTE) to the general agreement of the crowd. When asked whom would they vote for, however, the response was unanimously for Mahinda Rajapakse and the SLFP as the UNP had done nothing for them during its years in power. They lauded SLFP Fisheries Minister Milroy Fernando for his assistance in obtaining housing construction funds and for a pledge of USD 15,000 to upgrade their road. They appreciated that Rajapakse stopped at their village and promised that if elected he would meet their needs. When asked if they were concerned about Rajapakse's pact with the JVP, they said the PM told them "I was not President when I signed the agreement," Wickremesinge, on the other hand, is still vilified by the villagers over a 2003 visit, when he ignored a crowd gathered in front of the temple in favor of a brief stop at a UNP stage, where he thanked his local organizer and drove off. 6. (SBU) At a small lunch, poloffs were able to speak individually with members of the group about their views on the need for a Tamil homeland. While they admired Prabahkaran as a great Tamil nationalist, they said that Tamils living in government areas were discriminated against by northern and eastern Tamils when they traveled into LTTE-controlled territory. Unless they could be guaranteed the same rights and benefits as the fighting Tamils, they had no interest in being second-class citizens in a future Tamil Eelam. 7. (C) COMMENT: As elsewhere, the race in this ethnically mixed coastal district appears too close to call right now. poloffs were surprised at Tamil enthusiasm for the SLFP, illustrating that all politics is indeed local and Rajapakse's salt of the earth image plays well across ethnic communities, at least in this locality. Rajapakse's harder line on the peace process, while obviously unpopular with the Tamils in the north and east, appears to be of less relevance to more pragmatic Tamils in the west. For that group the key question has been who has delivered more, and Rajapakse's SLFP, its pact with the JVP notwithstanding, appears to have won that round. Wickremesinge has is seen as an aloof intellectual, lacking the common touch and his faux paux two years ago still leaves a bitter taste in this one district. A key will be if the SLMC can mobilize its own community, let alone deliver 16,000 Tamils to the UNP side. END COMMENT LUNSTEAD
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