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| Identifier: | 02AMMAN6692 |
|---|---|
| Wikileaks: | View 02AMMAN6692 at Wikileaks.org |
| Origin: | Embassy Amman |
| Created: | 2002-11-13 18:22:00 |
| Classification: | CONFIDENTIAL |
| Tags: | PGOV PREL PHUM JO |
| Redacted: | This cable was not redacted by Wikileaks. |
This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 AMMAN 006692 SIPDIS E.O. 12958: DECL: 11/13/2012 TAGS: PGOV, PREL, PHUM, JO SUBJECT: DESPITE APATHY AND MILD APPREHENSION, JORDANIANS UNDERSTAND MAIN MESSAGE OF "JORDAN FIRST" REF: AMMAN 6522 Classified By: AMBASSADOR EDWARD W. GNEHM FOR REASONS 1.5 (B) AND (D) 1. (C) SUMMARY. Jordanian reaction to the recently launched "Jordan First" initiative (reftel) has been characterized primarily by apathy and mild apprehension. Some welcome the campaign, while others are skeptical for various reasons, including the fear that "Jordan First" could exacerbate domestic East-Bank/West-Bank tensions. In general, Jordanians are willing to wait and see what direction the "Jordan First" campaign takes. Public apathy aside, members of the "Jordan First" committee appear to be enthusiastic about their mandate and eager to get moving. PolOff met with two "Jordan First" committee members, who said "Jordan First" is a crystallization of what the King has always wanted, i.e. a focus on economic opportunity, political participation and social issues. 2 (C) In the bigger picture, "Jordan First" is an attempt by the GOJ to re-focus Jordanians away from regional issues and towards domestic matters affecting their daily lives. Given Jordan's pragmatic regional policies in the past, this core message of the "Jordan First" campaign seems to be getting through. More broadly, the initiative represents something relatively new in Jordan -- a policy formula that honestly asserts the government's moderate policies instead of dressing them up in pan-Arab rhetoric or denunciations of neologism. End Summary --------------------------------------------- ---------- COMMITTEE MEMBERS: "JORDAN FIRST" IS WHAT THE KING HAS ALWAYS WANTED FOR THE PEOPLE --------------------------------------------- ---------- 3. (C) In separate meetings on Nov 5 and 6, PolOff met with two "Jordan First" committee members, former Member of Parliament Mahmoud Kharabsheh and Senator Marwan Doudin. Both focused on the need for Jordanians to view "Jordan First" as a mentality and not a mere slogan. "This is a higher order and should be a daily practice for all Jordanians, regardless of where they come from. We are going to focus on the economy, on social programs, and on political participation," Kharabsheh said. It is, according to Doudin, the embodiment of what King Abdullah always wanted. From the first day of his regime, Doudin said, the King has attempted to be a leader for all Jordanians. "He wants to help all Jordanians. 'Jordan First' has been his message all along." --------------------------------------------- ------- FOCUSING ON POLITICAL PARTICIPATION AND THE ECONOMY --------------------------------------------- ------- 4. (C) Both Doudin and Kharabsheh mentioned that the King cited a recent report indicating that 48 percent of Jordanians don't care about elections. "Jordanians don't give a damn about elections. The King is appalled by this," Doudin said. According to Doudin, one of the reasons for such apathy lies in the failure of the Jordanian opposition to work truly within the Jordanian political system. "The opposition here has unfortunately developed the fallacy in their minds that opposition is a permanent job. They should work within our system in an effort to become the majority," Doudin said. Despite the King's call for a consolidation of political parties, the opposition should not be discouraged or worried. "The King said to the committee in our first meeting that it will look ridiculous to the world if we claim to be a democracy without opposition." 5. (C) Kharabsheh said that "Jordan First" will also focus on "employment based on merit," indicating that the campaign may face up to the entrenched patronage system here. Doudin, a Palestinian-Jordanian, said the committee has some ideas on how to approach the issue. "I understand there is a lack of opportunity for many, especially young people, and like everyone around the world, we have issues with transparency." 6. (C) On "Jordan First" and the press, Doudin made an ominous comment about the need for the media to report within the framework of the initiative. He said the Jordan First Committee would establish a media subcommittee to "determine the limits and red lines that the media can abide by. We cannot just run loose." -------------------------------------------- WE STILL ARE COMMITTED TO REGIONAL STRUGGLES -------------------------------------------- 7. (C) Kharabsheh, an East-Banker and former Member of Parliament, said that Jordan remains committed to the Palestinian cause and support for the Iraqi people. "Jordan has always existed in a difficult area. In light of this big (regional) challenge to Jordan, we must enhance our domestic situation in all areas." Doudin agreed, and took a swipe at the anti-normalization opposition here. "Our peace treaty with Israel is an example of putting Jordan first. Some oppose it, but imagine the past two years without that treaty. Where would we be? We're doing it quietly, but we're working very hard to solve the Palestinian problem." --------------------------------------------- SOME PALESTINIANS SEE SLOGAN AS PRO-EAST BANK --------------------------------------------- 8. (C) On October 20, PolOff met with the outspoken former PM Taher Masri at his villa in Abdoun. Masri, a Palestinian-Jordanian, agreed that there are too many political parties for Jordan's own good. This however, cannot be solved by government intervention or slogans. "We need elections," he said, noting that opening avenues of political participation would in the long run discredit the opposition, including the Muslim Brotherhood. Masri said the "Jordan First" strategy is being met with cynicism among Palestinian-Jordanians, who believe the Jordan first strategy is pointed at preserving East-Banker interests. "They see it as 'the Jordanian first', not 'Jordan First'. It is frightening to them." 9. (C) On October 20, PolOff met with former political adviser to the King, Adnan Abu Odeh, also a Palestinian-Jordanian. Abu Odeh strongly believes that the King is trying to bring the country together with the "Jordan First" initiative, but that it is "bad timing." Abu Odeh commented that "Jordan First", as an ideal, is going to have a tough time in a culture that has a historical propensity to view issues in a "Pan-Arab" context. Against that backdrop, the current regional situation only makes "Jordan First" a tougher sell. "If you introduce something like this now, people are going to be suspicious." Odeh worries that many East-Bankers will see the "Jordan First" initiative "as a validation of what they have always wanted to believe: That they are more important to the King than the West-Bankers are." ------- COMMENT ------- 10. (C) With "Jordan First," the King is seeking to lead public opinion to accept a long-standing, but seldom articulated notion: that Jordan must place its national interests above the emotion-laden (and usually pan-Arab) agenda of the street and Arabic media. Jordanians recognize that King Hussein and his grandfather, King Abdullah I, pursued pragmatic policies in dealing with the early Zionists and, later, Israel, in confronting a Palestinian challenge to Hashemite rule in 1970, and in trying (unsuccessfully) to walk a fine line between the U.S. and Iraq in 1990. These policies -- the historical precursors to "Jordan First" -- were generally masked by high rhetoric designed to blunt opposition. 11. (C) Although it focuses on a domestic agenda, the new "Jordan First" media campaign is a clear attempt by the King to prepare Jordanian public opinion for the possibility of simultaneous conflicts on Jordan's east and west flanks. An underlying message in the King's August 15 speech to the nation (ref b) and his October 9 MBC interview (ref c) was that Jordan must chart its own course and take responsibility for its own stability and well-being. And -- despite cynical comments by some about the "Jordan First" media campaign itself -- the overall message resonates with many sectors of the Jordanian population: certainly with the military, government, and East Bank nationalists, but also with the West Bank economic elite and those West Bankers who appreciate the benefits of citizenship, stability and (relative) prosperity Jordan offers them. The King's addresses seem to have re-focused many Jordanians on the need for the government to protect Jordan's stability and prosperity in potential hard times to come. GNEHM
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