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| Identifier: | 05KUWAIT4338 |
|---|---|
| Wikileaks: | View 05KUWAIT4338 at Wikileaks.org |
| Origin: | Embassy Kuwait |
| Created: | 2005-10-07 10:22:00 |
| Classification: | CONFIDENTIAL |
| Tags: | PREL EFIN EAID IZ KU |
| Redacted: | This cable was not redacted by Wikileaks. |
This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 05 KUWAIT 004338 SIPDIS E.O. 12958: DECL: 10/06/2015 TAGS: PREL, EFIN, EAID, IZ, KU SUBJECT: IRAQ SPECIAL ADVISER JEFFREY MEETS WITH GOK OFFICIALS ON IRAQ SUPPORT, OCTOBER 5, 2005 Classified By: Ambassador Richard LeBaron. Reasons 1.4 (b) and (d) 1. (C) Summary. On October 5, Senior Adviser on Iraq Jeffrey and his delegation met separately with the Speaker of the Kuwaiti National Assembly and the Ministers of Foreign Affairs, Finance and Interior (also Deputy PM) to reaffirm the USG's long-term commitment to Iraq and to urge greater Arab support for the Iraqi government. Ambassador Jeffrey was critical of Arab disassociation with the Iraqi political process and urged increased GOK effort in Iraq and with Arab neighbors to ensure greater political inclusion of all Iraqi groups, particularly Sunnis. He cautioned against the long-term risks to Arab states of inaction in Iraq. He urged tangible public support for the Iraqi government, including diplomatic representation, commitment to debt relief, and pressure on Syria and Iran to abandon their destabilizing policies. The GOK officials reaffirmed their country's long-standing commitment to political and economic progress in Iraq, acknowledged the urgency of greater Arab involvement in the political process, encouraged increased USG dialogue with Syria and Iran to curb their actions, cautioned against an premature U.S. withdrawal, remained eager to offer project aid but cautious on debt relief and welcomed increased cooperation and dialogue with Iraqi counterparts. 2. (C) The longest and most substantive meeting was with the Foreign Minister, who had just met with the Iraqi Assembly Speaker and who had returned the day before from meetings in Jeddah with other Arab Foreign Ministers. Dr. Mohammed was clear that the Arabs had not done enough to support Iraq and at the meeting in Jeddah had decided on the need to do more, particularly in the run-up to the vote on the constitution. (End Summary) Meeting with Foreign Minister ----------------------------- 3. (C) In his meeting with Foreign Minister Shaykh Dr. Mohammed Sabah Al-Salem Al-Sabah, Ambassador Jeffrey expressed USG appreciation for Kuwait's continued support for Iraq, noting that while GOK's efforts were a model for other Arab states, the region as a whole had to do more to help reinforce the legitimacy and success of Iraq's political process. Ambassador Jeffrey underscored the USG's steadfast commitment to Iraq's success despite the risks and costs associated with such a long-term endeavor. He cautioned that Arab states could no longer afford to disassociate themselves from the broader international effort to stabilize Iraq, explaining that continued inaction by some, and interference by others, most notably Syria, could easily aggravate divisions in Iraq and lead to regional instability. 4. (C) Praising Saudi Foreign Minister Saud Al-Faisal's call for greater Arab involvement in Iraq, Dr. Mohammed expressed hope that there would be renewed progress along these lines in the near future. He said the October 3 meeting in Jeddah of the Foreign Ministers of Iraq's neighbors recognized that the Arabs had not done enough to support political evolution in Iraq. One result was appointment of Arab League (AL) Secretary General, Amre Moussa, as an interlocutor with Iraq, SIPDIS particularly within the context of the constitutional process. Shaykh Mohammed called for urgent Arab engagement in the constitutional process prior to the October 15 referendum, but shared U.S. disappointment that Amre Moussa was reluctant to travel to Iraq until after the referendum, and had decided to send a preparatory team. The Foreign Minister commented that Moussa considered the referendum to be an American-driven process and therefore did not want to "risk his political life" by being directly involved. Ambassador Jeffrey expressed USG support for coordination with the Arab League on its initiative, but voiced disappointment at Moussa's hesitancy, stating that further delays would undermine the effectiveness of the mission. 5. (C) Expressing concern about increased sectarian violence in Iraq, Shaykh Mohammed reaffirmed Ambassador Jeffrey's call for increasing contacts with Sunni groups, commenting that ties with Sunnis were urgently needed to reinforce Kuwait's already well-established ties with Shia and Kurds, groups historically opposed to Saddam's Baathist regime. The Foreign Minister said that he underscored the importance of political inclusivity during his meetings with the visiting Iraqi Speaker of Parliament and urged the Iraqi representative to bridge differences in the run-up to the constitutional referendum. (Note: The Foreign Minister met with the Speaker immediately before meeting with Ambassador Jeffrey.) 6. (C) Ambassador Jeffrey voiced USG concerns with Syria's destabilizing policies in Iraq and urged the GOK to engage with Syria to modify its behavior. The Foreign Minister acknowledged the importance of curbing foreign interference in Iraq, but expressed uncertainty about Syria's direct involvement in the country's internal affairs, stating that "Iran is the key problem" and that cities like Basra had now become "more conservative than Qom." He added that these transformations were prompting Kuwait to become more engaged, particularly in southern Iraq. 7. (C) Ambassador Jeffrey asserted that the U.S. goal, as enshrined in the UN Security Council Resolution, was to help ensure a united, pluralistic, democratic and federal Iraq at peace with its neighbors, capable of securing its borders and a respected member of the community of Arab states. Ambassador Jeffrey explained that the U.S. sought greater political involvement by all Iraqi groups, particularly the under-represented Sunnis, to ensure the viability of the country's political process. He urged Kuwait to extend its contacts to under-represented elements and to encourage its Arab counterparts to do the same. He noted that outreach by Kuwait and other Arab states could encourage Sunnis and other groups to moderate their behavior and seek political compromise. 8. (C) The Foreign Minister commented that the notions of democracy, unity, pluralism, and federalism were "wonderful phrases and not just words," but cautioned about "pursuing them too literally," referring to the lengthy U.S. historical experience in achieving such political milestones. He advised that Iraq's political evolution should not be dictated by a political timetable, suggesting that the country's political process should drive timelines, and not vice versa. He noted that the issue of separating "church and state" takes time, and added that while "Kuwait stands to benefit the most" from such political milestones, the Kuwaitis, while hopeful, were practical realists when it came to Iraq's political evolution. He advised that the U.S. not deem its mission a failure if such political milestones are not accomplished, stating that success will require a long-term presence, which Kuwait welcomes, and not a hasty exit strategy as some fear the U.S. is likely to pursue. Ambassador Jeffrey reaffirmed the USG commitment to these milestones and to the long-term mission in Iraq. 9. (C) CENTCOM Brigadier General Mark Kimmitt explained that the U.S. recognized and was committed to a long-term mission in Iraq, stating that U.S. forces would remain for as long as necessary to accomplish the task at hand. He clarified that the U.S. strategy in Iraq is not driven by timelines and is a consultative process with the Government of Iraq to ensure the highest probabilities of success. He added that the strategy is gradual and conditions-based, determined by four key criteria: (1) the strength of the insurgency in a given region; (2) the Iraqi security forces' capability to counter the insurgency; (3) the scope and scale of governance in a region; and (4) the Coalition's ability to provide in extremis support to government forces. 10. (C) BG Kimmitt pointed out that the gradual hand-over of security responsibility based on these criteria had already taken place in parts of Baghdad and in parts of northern and southern areas, but that complete withdrawal of U.S. forces would not occur in the near future. Shaykh Mohammed welcomed the U.S. long-term commitment, but urged the U.S. to consider "the most important handover of all," and transfer Saddam Hussein to the Iraqi government and people. BG Kimmitt explained that Saddam's legal status already placed him in the custody of the Iraqi government, including its legal jurisdiction, and that the U.S. role was limited to detention assistance at the request of the Iraqi government. Dr. Mohammed sought confirmation on the trial date, noting that it would send a profound message to Saddam's supporters and opponents. 11. (C) Ambassador Jeffrey urged the Foreign Minister to nominate an ambassador to Iraq, even if non-resident, as part of an Arab gesture of diplomatic support for and confidence in the Iraqi government. He encouraged greater bilateral exchanges between Kuwait and Iraq and offered USG assistance in identifying a secure location in the Green Zone for a Kuwaiti Embassy. He urged greater risk-taking on the part of the Arab states, explaining that inaction was detrimental to the entire political process. Shaykh Mohammed reaffirmed his country's commitment to Iraq's success, agreeing that more had to be done and asserting that Kuwait has been "very eager from the outset to get Iraq back into the Arab fold" despite continued reluctance and antagonism by some Arab states, "some of whom want to see you fail." 12. (C) The Foreign Minister disagreed with the urgency of establishing a diplomatic presence, stating that the "issue is not Embassies at this stage," commenting that embassies would be useless as long as the Arab media continues to portray the insurgents as martyrs and the Coalition as an occupying power. He urged greater pressure by the USG on Arab states, notably Qatar and Jordan, to rein in their respective state media outlets to abandon the pro-insurgency rhetoric, explaining that while "you cannot force Arab countries to send their boys to Iraq" the U.S. can pressure Arab states to take action against their respective medias. Meeting with National Assembly Speaker -------------------------------------- 13. (C) In his meeting with National Assembly Speaker Jassem Al-Khorafy, Ambassador Jeffrey praised Kuwait's support for Iraq, and the important role of Kuwait's Parliament in this effort (Note: The National Assembly Speaker ranks third in the protocol order after the Amir and Crown Prince of Kuwait.) He urged greater regional involvement in Iraq's political process, suggesting that a number of outstanding political problems, most notably the inclusion of Sunnis in the political process, continued to undermine the chances of political success. He called for greater expressions of solidarity by Iraq's Arab neighbors and underscored the USG commitment to Iraq's long-term success despite the risks associated with the mission. 14. (C) Ambassador Jeffrey pointed out that while the USG was fully committed to pluralism, democracy, unity and federalism in Iraq, Arab states and groups within Iraq remained partially committed to these important political milestones. Ambassador Jeffrey called on Kuwait officials to emphasize these themes in discussions with Arab counterparts and work to pressure Syria to abandon its destabilizing policies. Brigadier General Michael D. Jones from the Joint Chiefs of Staff assured the Speaker of the long-term U.S. commitment to the military mission in Iraq and clarified that the U.S. strategy for drawing down troops was conditions-based and not driven by timelines, outlining the key criteria involved on handing over security to Iraqi forces. 15. (C) Al-Khorafy voiced concern with Iraq's instability and the heightened probabilities of civil war. He reaffirmed Kuwait's support for U.S. efforts in Iraq, pointing out that "Kuwait is the only (Arab) country" that supported the U.S. entry into Iraq. He added that U.S. efforts in Iraq were "a step in the right direction," but that past mistakes made by the U.S. would take time to remedy. He noted that the U.S. appeared more cognizant of its mistakes and the need to remedy them urgently. He cautioned against sending signals, particularly to domestic U.S. audiences, of an early withdrawal, noting that messages intended for domestic consumption resonate as widely, if not more, with an international audience. He urged the U.S. to enhance its "targeted public relations" efforts to reassert its long-term commitment to Iraq. He praised recent public statements by President Bush and Prime Minister Tony Blair reaffirming the long-term U.S. and UK commitments to Iraq. 16. (C) The Speaker commented that "there are some (countries) trying to irritate you through Iraq," and advised that the U.S. avoid getting bogged down in such efforts but focus more broadly on regional engagement to resolve problems. He encouraged greater diplomatic engagement with Syria and Iran, either directly, or through Arab allies such as Saudi Arabia or Kuwait. He added that Iran "needs to be appreciated and given the prestige it thinks it deserves." Al-Khorafy noted that recent discussions with the Iranian Parliamentary Speaker revealed a greater Iranian commitment to regional stability. Meeting with the Interior Minister ---------------------------------- 17. (C) In his meeting with Interior Minister and Deputy Prime Minister Shaykh Nawaf Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah, Ambassador Jeffrey thanked the GOK for its continued support and urged greater engagement by Kuwait with key Arab neighbors, particularly Syria, to cease support for insurgents and to enhance Arab cooperation and buy-in for Iraq's political process. Ambassador Jeffrey warned that continued Arab indecisiveness and disassociation with the Iraq's political future would undermine the country's future and result in an unacceptable ideological and political shift toward Iran. While acknowledging that the risks associated with success in Iraq were costly and long-term, Ambassador Jeffrey underscored the importance of accomplishing the goals outlined for a stable Iraq. 18. (C) Shaykh Nawaf expressed appreciation for U.S. efforts to stabilize "an Iraq that is still in crisis." He reaffirmed the GOK's commitment to the success of Iraq's democratic process. He added that while Kuwait was committed to supporting Iraq, other Arab states had yet to take concrete actions to demonstrate similar support. He acknowledged the lack of border control in Syria and the need to prevent the infiltration and exfiltration of insurgents, stating that while Kuwait was taking steps to better control its relatively smaller border with Iraq, the burden fell more directly on Syria and Iran to control their large borders to prevent further instability. 19. (C) The Minister noted that in recent meetings with Syrian officials, including the Syrian Interior Minister, he and Kuwaiti Prime Minister Shaykh Sabah had stressed the importance of border control, urging Syrians to even monitor and report on Kuwaiti nationals seeking to enter Iraq. The Minister stated that neither the Syrians nor the Iranians had taken tangible steps to improve border control despite assurances by their governments of increased vigilance. Ambassador Jeffrey suggested that Syria should focus on controlling its ports of entry (airport, ports), given the challenges associated with effective border control, in order to prevent cross-border infiltration of insurgents. Meeting with the Finance Minister --------------------------------- 20. (C) In his meeting with Finance Minister Bader Al-Humaidhi, Ambassador Jeffrey conveyed USG appreciation for GOK financial assistance to Iraq's reconstruction efforts and called for a GOK public commitment on debt relief for Iraq. Larry MacDonald from the Treasury Department encouraged full participation by non-Paris Club member states, specifically GCC members, in support of the debt relief terms agreed to by Paris Club member states as a prerequisite to enhanced economic growth and development in Iraq. He noted the importance of Iraq reaching a stand-by agreement with the IMF, and the role of debt relief in allowing Iraq to reintegrate itself into international capital markets. Ambassador Jeffrey, referring to the United States' own historically challenging experience with debt relief in the aftermath of World War I, acknowledged the political sensitivities of such policies but noted the urgent need to reassure the Iraqis of their political and financial viability in the international arena. He urged Al-Humaidhi to consider increased GOK cooperation on this issue, specifically through a public statement during Iraqi Finance Minister Allawi's upcoming visit (no date set) declaring the GOK's commitment to debt relief for Iraq. Ambassador Jeffrey added that a public statement by Kuwait would facilitate USG engagement with other Arab states on the matter. 21. (C) The Finance Minister started his remarks by emphasizing the need to make urgent and visible progress in disbursing some of the 120 million dollars in project grant aid that Kuwait has committed for projects in Iraq. He noted that the two sides had so far identified school construction and mobile hospitals as the priorities for the first sixty million tranche but had yet been able to discuss the second tranche. Even for the first portion, the GOI had been unable so far to identify where it wanted the projects to be carried out. Al-Humaidhi said that he had met with GOI Finance Minister Allawi during the IMF meetings in Washington and the latter had agreed to engage soon to get the aid moving. Al-Humaidhi pointed to Kuwait's long-standing commitment to Iraq's success but rejected debt relief in the near future, stating that "Kuwait will not be able to touch this now," and adding that "it is a very sensitive issue" for the Kuwait Parliament and public. He noted that Iraq is not being impacted directly by the outstanding loan burden since there is no interest accruing on the old loans. Ambassador Jeffrey pointed out that American casualty figures were an equally sensitive domestic issue for the USG and urged Al-Humaidhi to exert as much effort as possible toward an agreement with his Iraqi counterpart on the debt. 22. (C) Ambassador sought clarification regarding the GOK's earlier political commitment to the 80% Paris Club terms. Al-Humaidhi noted that while the GOK is committed to debt relief in principle, the specifics have yet to be worked out with the Iraqi government. He added that the final terms will be reviewed on the basis of Paris Club guidelines. He also hinted that eventual debt relief might be part of a GCC package deal, although the specific debt would need to be forgiven bilaterally. Al-Humaidhi cautioned against expecting substantial progress on debt relief until after an agreement has been reached between the GOK and Iraq on how best to proceed on specifics. He welcomed the upcoming visit by Minister Allawi as an opportunity to continue bilateral discussions on the issue. 23. (C) Al-Humaidhi asserted that "we've suffered more than any other Arab country" as a result of Saddam's aggression, adding that the Kuwait faced many of the same burdens as the U.S. when it came to the situation in Iraq. He referred to Kuwait's unparalleled financial generosity with Iraq but stated that the government of Iraq seemed to lack the absorption capacity for all the international assistance being offered, including Kuwait's generous assistance. He commented that the "Iraqis are so involved with political issues that they can't focus on economic development." Al-Humaidhi added that the GOK was having technical difficulties communicating with relevant counterparts to coordinate assistance. Ambassador Jeffrey acknowledged the coordination challenges, clarifying that Iraqi officials were working under very difficult and life-threatening conditions. Such conditions called for extraordinary efforts by Iraq's friends, who had a huge stake in Iraq's stability and progress. 24. (U) Amb. Jeffrey cleared this report. LEBARON
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