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| Identifier: | 05SANTODOMINGO4210 |
|---|---|
| Wikileaks: | View 05SANTODOMINGO4210 at Wikileaks.org |
| Origin: | Embassy Santo Domingo |
| Created: | 2005-09-06 20:19:00 |
| Classification: | UNCLASSIFIED |
| Tags: | DR ECON EFIN |
| Redacted: | This cable was not redacted by Wikileaks. |
This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 03 SANTO DOMINGO 004210 SIPDIS E.O. 12958: N/A TAGS: DR, ECON, EFIN SUBJECT: DOMINICAN PROJECTS CONSIDERED BY EXIM 1. (SBU) SUMMARY: Just less than one year after their last visit, Export Import Bank (ExIm) Senior Vice Presidents Jeffrey Miller and John McAdams traveled to Santo Domingo to review debt collection and new projects. Prepared for positive news by optimistic economic reporting in the international press, ExIm was not surprised by reports by the Dominicans that the economy is well and reform is on track. Despite this, ExIm ended the visit only guardedly optimistic, interested in a $4.5 million deal for patrol boats for the Navy and considering guarantees on a portion of a low-income government-housing program. End summary. The Economy ------------ 2. (SBU) Eleven months after they last came to the Dominican Republic, ExIm Sr. Vice Presidents Jeffrey Miller and John McAdams visited Santo Domingo July 25-27 to meet with government and private sector officials to discuss the status of debt and ExIm's prospective projects for the Dominican Republic. Central Bank Governor Valdez Albizu, Finance Minister Bengoa and Technical Secretary Montas each quoted a list of positive economic statistics, as if reading from the same set of notes. High growth, low inflation and the strong peso, goes the reasoning, mean that the climate is good again for lending. 3. (SBU) President of Banco Popular Manuel Grullon had a less optimistic view, commenting that growth is being driven by the telecommunications sector and that the number of unemployed today is greater than it was two years ago. (Note: in fact, according to Central Bank statistics, at 18.4 percent, unemployment is higher than at any time since 1993.) Grullon said that only wealthy consumers have maintained their purchasing power, construction and real estate are flat, and free trade zones are still contracting. He suggested that government growth figures (released last week at 5.8 percent for the second quarter) are overstated. 4. (SBU) Grullon said that many sound businesses have suffered due to currency fluctuations over the past two years. Many good companies are consequently low-graded for loans and banks are therefore required to maintain unreasonably high reserve requirements (up to 50 percent) when loaning them money. Miller suggested that a possible fix would involve Dominican banks establishing a relationship with a correspondent bank in the United States with backing by ExIm guarantees. Grullon said that Banco Popular would be interested in pursuing this strategy. Unexpected Arrears ------------------- 5. (SBU) Bengoa and Valdez Albizu indicated that the country has resolved its debt problems and they were surprised when McAdams informed them that as of June 30 the government is $9 million in arrears to ExIm. Neither the Finance Ministry nor the Central Bank seemed aware of the amount outstanding prior to the meeting with ExIm. Following some discussion, it appeared that the $9 million figure represents a 2005 installment of rescheduled debt that the Dominican Republic hopes will be rescheduled during September meetings with the Paris Club. Miller and McAdams made it clear to both Bengoa and Valdez Albizu, and later the president, that ExIm would be unable to enter into any new agreements as long as the Dominicans remained in arrears. New Projects ------------ 6. (SBU) President Fernandez prioritized potential ExIm guaranteed loan projects. He said that a National Police project ($85 million), Public Employee Housing ($88 million), Electoral Equipment ($63 million) and a modified, cheaper transportation system for Santo Domingo (one year ago being planned as a costly subterranean metro) are tops on the list. 7. (SBU) The National Police project includes provision of a $24 million digital radio system, for which the Embassy understood the Dominicans to have already chosen Motorola. However, Finance Minister Bengoa told ExIm that the entire project had been returned to his office by Legal Counsel to The Presidency Cesar Pina Toribio with instructions that it be put out for public bid. Pina Toribio confirmed this at a later meeting. 8. (SBU) ExIm said it will go forward with guarantees for a $4.5 million loan for the Dominicans to purchase four fourteen-meter fast patrol boats from Louisiana manufacturer Swift Ships, which built them for a Venezuelan deal that fell through. The Ambassador and DCM expressed concern over past experiences with Dominican purchases from the same company of craft where the Dominicans failed to follow up with proper training of sailors and maintenance of ships, resulting in damaged, sometimes unserviceable equipment. ExIm told the President it would also consider a project to provide low-income public housing, but only after the contracting firm breaks it down into smaller, less costly parts. The project is expected to be spread over three years. Structural Reforms -------------------- 9. (U) Technical Secretary Montas said that the IMF obligation receiving the most attention is structural reform, specifically, centralization of budget planning, a process now in the hands of the Technical Secretary. A long-term characteristic of Dominican government has been that the President has discretionary power to spend budget surplus funds. IMF has argued that use by the President of surplus funds should be restricted. A bill intended to limit the President,s discretionary spending ability will be sent to Congress in September. Montas said that the bill will create a new ministry responsible for budget planning and will also define broader budgetary strategies. Baninter-related obligations ----------------------------- 10. (SBU) ExIm seeks repayment for two loans (about $10 million total) for which it had received secondary guarantees from Baninter, the largest of three banks to fail in the 2003 crisis. McAdams told the Central Bank Governor that he had understood that the Government would stand behind Baninter correspondent banking relationships, and cited examples where it had paid Baninter debts to European banks. He said he was surprised that it was not honoring similar responsibilities to ExIm. Valdez Albizu responded that the Central Bank "wants to honor past government promises," then added, "but you deserve the truth. There is no legal obligation of the state (to pay), only a moral one." Valdez Albizu said that the only way to meet the obligations was by selling assets, a limitation placed on the Dominicans by the IMF. Valdez Albizu stressed that the Dominicans need to keep doors open to foreign development financing; he understood that if the government does not pay, it cannot expect to receive new loans in the future. He asked for understanding that he has been involved in "a very difficult bank salvage operation" (Baninter) and that he is "surrounded by cannibals wanting my head." 11. (SBU) President Fernandez was somewhat more thoughtful when addressing the Baninter debt to ExIm. Looking at the two loans separately, he said that in one case the borrower, as a still economically sound individual, should be held responsible, and in the other the Government should make good on Baninter,s obligation. 12. (SBU) ExIm suggested that it recoup its position by identifying and re-claiming equipment bought with the ExIm-backed money for these projects. Valdez Albizu said that if they proceeded that way, the proceeds would have to be shared with the Central Bank, which had also suffered. ExIm found this not very satisfactory, given that the Central Bank has unconditionally honored Baninter's debt to some European banks. Valdez Albizu noted that the difference was that the European banks had secured loans, and insisted that it was the IMF requirement that was preventing the Central Bank from honoring its ExIm obligations. It was agreed that ExIm would provide the Central Bank with a detailed list of items financed under the Baninter guarantee. ExIm stressed that it would condition new projects on fair treatment with regard to Baninter, as it did with regard to arrears. Inefficient Loan Approval Process ----------------------------------- 13. (SBU) In a meeting with Presidential Legal Advisor Pina Toribio, Miller expressed ExIm's frustration with two projects it had agreed to back, earlier approved by the Dominican Congress and then subsequently returned to Congress by the Technical Advisor for new approval after ExIm signed on. Pina Toribio said the problem was that companies had submitted projects to Congress before ExIm was included in the proposals. Not until approval from Congress had been secured did ExIm sign on as guarantor and only then was it specified in the proposal. The proposal as modified to include ExIm had to be returned to Congress for final review. 14. (SBU) This is an ongoing problem, Pina Toribio explained, and there is no alternative to the time-consuming procedure unless ExIm is included in the original project proposal submitted to Congress. Miller said that the glitch keeps the system from working efficiently and vowed to work with the Technical Secretary to resolve the problem, possibly by having ExIm included provisionally by companies in the draft project proposal. Multiuso Sports Facilities -------------------------- 15. (SBU) An ExIm-guaranteed project initiated under the Mejia administration to build 115 sports/community centers dubbed "multiusos" was never completed and is now under investigation. The ExIm guarantee is for $54 million, and the Dominican Secretary of Sports indicates that much of the project is incomplete, equipment is missing and he is having a difficult time documenting what work has been done and what should be paid for. 16. (SBU) The Dominican Attorney General recently appointed an investigator to assess the status of the multiuso project and to look for illegal activity. The first payment for the loan was due in late July. When asked whether the Dominican government would repay in light of the problems that have surfaced, Central Bank Governor Valdez Albizu responded that the Central Bank would pay when it received instruction from the Finance Ministry to do so. Given the ongoing investigation, however, the order to pay might not happen any time soon. (Note: The Secretary of Sports told economic officer on August 7 that his ministry needs more time to sort out the status of the project before it can move forward on approving payments). 17. (SBU) Comment: The message ExIm took away from the visit was reflected in its decision to proceed with caution on new commitments. Arriving in Santo Domingo with a portfolio of potential new projects amounting to more than $800 million, Miller and McAdams left with a commitment to the $4.5 million patrol boat project and plans to consider supporting other projects worth less than $200 million broken down into segments spread over several years and contingent upon arrears being resolved. 18. (U) This cable was cleared by Eximbank. HERTELL
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