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| Identifier: | 05TAIPEI3105 |
|---|---|
| Wikileaks: | View 05TAIPEI3105 at Wikileaks.org |
| Origin: | American Institute Taiwan, Taipei |
| Created: | 2005-07-22 06:04:00 |
| Classification: | CONFIDENTIAL |
| Tags: | ECON ETRD TW Trade |
| Redacted: | This cable was not redacted by Wikileaks. |
This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 06 TAIPEI 003105 SIPDIS STATE FOR EAP/RSP/TC, EB/TCC/BTA, STATE PASS USTR AND AIT/W, USTR FOR FREEMAN, WINELAND AND WINTERS, USDOC FOR 4431/ITA/MAC/AP/OPB/TAIWAN/MBMORGAN, GENEVA FOR SHARK E.O. 12958: DECL: 07/20/2015 TAGS: ECON, ETRD, TW, Trade SUBJECT: USTR TOURS THE HORIZON WITH TAIWAN OFFICIALS Classified By: AIT Director Douglas Paal, Reason 1.4 b/d 1. (C) Summary: Newly appointed USTR Taiwan Director Tim Wineland, accompanied by AIT/T and AIT/W, met with the full range of Taiwan's trade policy players during his first visit to Taipei July 11 and 12. Discussions touched on agricultural trade policy, prospects for passage of telecommunication regulatory reform, pharmaceutical pricing, and the potential for negotiations under the U.S./Taiwan Trade and Investment Framework Agreement (TIFA). Wineland thanked Taiwan for its science-based approach to handling concerns over BSE, raised concerns about pharmaceutical and medical device trade, and assured interlocutors that TIFA discussions would be high on the agenda once a new Deputy USTR is appointed. Interlocutors told Wineland Taiwan had not changed its support for a science-based approach to BSE after discovery of a second case in the U.S. Interlocutors repeatedly suggested that progress on other aspects of trade liberalization in the Doha Round could lead to G10 concessions on agriculture. Taiwan much prefers to pursue government procurement within the WTO and remains committed to telecom liberalization. An FTA with the United States remains at the top of policymakers' agenda. End Summary. 2. (C) Newly appointed USTR Director for Taiwan Tim Wineland, accompanied by AIT/W's Rick Ruzicka, conducted two intensive days of meetings July 11 and 12 with the full range of Taiwan trade policy interlocutors, including Council of Agriculture (COA) Vice Minister Lee Jen-chyuan, former Premier Vincent Siew, Minister of Economic Affairs (MOEA) Ho Mei-yueh and Deputy Minister Steve Chen, Department of Health (DOH) Counselor Hsiao Mei-ling, the Director Generals of the Bureau of Foreign Trade (BOFT) Franco Huang, the Taiwan Intellectual Property Office (TIPO) Tsai Lien-sheng and the Ministry of Transportation and Telecommunications (MOTC) Tony Teng, Council for Economic Planning and Development (CEPD) Chairman Hu Sheng-cheng, the National Security Council,s Connie Yang, Managing Director of the Taipei AmCham Richard Vuylsteke, and a representative from the International Research Pharmaceutical Manufacturer's Association (IRPMA). COA Supports Science on BSE, Asks about Poultry Access ============================================= ========= 3. (C) COA Vice Minister Lee reported on the state of Taiwan's efforts with the Thai and Egyptians to negotiate a country specific quota for public purchases of rice. Lee told Wineland that Taiwan had been talking to the Thai WTO delegation about a proposal to increase the Thai share of private rice imports in exchange for its agreement on a public sector quota. Taiwan has proposed negotiations in Geneva, said Lee, but those are still not scheduled. COA also raised the recent USDA inspection and asked when the draft poultry equivalency report would be ready. Wineland told COA that the report had already been forwarded to them and that the U.S. was still waiting for Taiwan's comment. Wineland suggested a follow-up inspection might be possible in late 2005. 4. (C) Wineland expressed his appreciation for Taiwan's regional leadership in adopting a science-based response to the dangers of BSE and noted that the discovery of a second cow in the U.S. and the subsequent closure of the local beef market gave Taiwan another chance to lead. VM Lee noted the political furor over BSE but assured AIT that Taiwan would continue to take a science-based approach. Wineland relayed USDA Assistant Secretary Penn's pledge that Taiwan would have full access to all relevant information from the U.S. Turning to Taiwan's concerns about sanitary and phyto-sanitary (SPS) standards, Wineland noted that USDA had extended an invitation to Taiwan's quarantine agency BAPHIQ to visit U.S. apple orchards in August 2005. COA on WTO Agriculture Liberalization ===================================== 5. (C) Finally, Wineland raised the inconsistency of Taiwan's position on agricultural trade liberalization and its participation in the liberalization-averse WTO negotiating group G10, given Taiwan's reliance on trade. Lee replied that he had attended the most recent meeting of the G10 in Paris in May and that there were many issues in the Doha Development Round (DDA) that were implicitly linked together. Lee hoped the concerns of the food importing countries, especially in sensitive sectors such as rice, could be addressed in the DDA and implied that progress in other areas (Non-Agricultural Market Access -- NAMA -- for example) would free Taiwan's hands to make productive concessions on agriculture. (Note: this message was repeated in a later meeting with BOFT DG Huang, see para 25.) FTA Always on MOEA's Mind ========================= 6. (C) MOEA Deputy Minister Chen wasted no time in raising Taiwan's case for a Free Trade Agreement (FTA) with the United States. Wineland responded that U.S./Taiwan trade relations seem to be on an even keel at the moment and that the U.S. would like to schedule another TIFA meeting soon after a new Deputy USTR is appointed. Chen pressed for a TIFA before the end of 2005 and said that he believes all the necessary elements for an FTA are on the table already. Wineland told Chen that the future U.S. FTA strategy would be deeply influenced by the outcome of the CAFTA vote, but no matter whether CAFTA passes or fails, recently appointed USTR Portman is likely to thoroughly reassess U.S. planning for future FTAs. Chen replied that U.S. trade priorities would best be discussed in an FTA negotiation, including government procurement policy, the potential signing of a bilateral investment treaty, agricultural liberalization, or others. Wineland noted the importance of clear U.S. business and Congressional support for any FTA, suggesting that such support was not yet apparent. 7. (C) Chen supported the need for a science-based response to concerns about U.S. beef and noted that the Department of Health had been under attack by legislators and consumer groups for its stance but that, in spite of the negative publicity, many Taiwan consumers still preferred U.S. beef. MOEA: Health Care Issues Require Consultation ============================================= 8. (C) Wineland raised the U.S. pharmaceutical industry's concerns about the draft implementing regulations for Taiwan's new data protection law and a proposal to amend the pharmaceutical law to nullify a requirement to base National Health Insurance reimbursements on actual transaction prices. He encouraged MOEA to work with DOH to promote transparency. Chen assured Wineland that U.S. comments were welcome and that although pricing and reimbursement issues had long been problems, DOH would continue to consult with international and domestic groups. Chen noted that health care policy problems are difficult to resolve, competing interests including patients, doctors, hospitals, and suppliers all have different goals. Doing so will require extensive consultations by all parties, said Chen. WTO GPA Best for Taiwan ======================= 9. (C) Wineland proposed that a bilateral government procurement agreement (GPA) would go a long way towards building the kind of confidence needed to proceed with closer trade discussions. He noted that the multilateral process appeared to be stuck and suggested that a bilateral agreement would not hurt Taiwan's chances of acceding to the WTO GPA. Chen insisted that MOEA believes the WTO process is best for Taiwan and that negotiation with numerous bilateral partners would be too difficult. Taiwan was ready to live up to its accession commitments but that the way was being blocked by inappropriate political interference from China, he said. Chen urged the U.S. to work with the EU to push forward Taiwan's GPA accession. Chen pointed out that Taiwan's procurement agencies welcomed bids by U.S. companies and that GPA accession would have little impact on Taiwan's degree of market openness. He suggested that a bilateral GPA might be a good topic for discussion as part of an FTA, proposing that a "WTO plus" access to Taiwan's market might interest U.S. companies. Wineland proposed that a bilateral GPA could be a good stepping-stone to an FTA process, but Chen insisted that a bilateral GPA would be better as an incentive than as a precondition for an FTA discussion. NSC Steals US Points on Beef ============================ 10. (C) NSC Advisor Connie Yang reiterated Taiwan's commitment to a science-based approach to dealing with food safety issues, particularly U.S. beef. She noted that she had advised President Chen Shui-bian that the discovery of a second cow stricken with BSE was actually irrelevant given the U.S. food safety process and the absence of any bone, brain, or spinal tissue in Taiwan's beef imports from the U.S. She was surprised that the U.S. had agreed to the COA/DOH proposal to close Taiwan's market while further inspections were conducted, and noted that the market might be harder to open a second time. DOH had assured her, however, that reopening the market to U.S. beef would be easier this time once the necessary documents had been collected. The agreement by U.S. and Taiwan experts on the scientific process was giving the President sufficient cover to quietly support the reopening of the market, Yang said. She had made similar points to the Japanese during a recent trip to Tokyo, she claimed, but the Japanese were still unwilling to base their decision on the scientific evidence. Prefers WTO GPA over Bilateral Agreement ======================================== 11. (C) Wineland updated Yang on the status of TIFA negotiations and promised that USTR would recommend to the new DUSTR that s/he resume TIFA meetings as soon as possible. Yang noted that policy surrounding TIFA discussions is supervised by NSC SecGen Chiou I-jen and that the high level of attention demonstrates how important eventual FTA discussions are to Taiwan's leadership. In response to Wineland's question on the possibility of negotiating a bilateral GPA, Yang encouraged the U.S. to be more active in Geneva and to work closely with the EU. She insisted that Taiwan wanted to live up to its WTO accession commitments and join the GPA and endorsed the EU-proposed "two-step approach," insisting that any bilateral process would only complicate Taiwan's efforts in the multilateral arena. Yang said the EU was puzzled by the U.S., apparent lack of enthusiasm for Taiwan's GPA bid and had accused Taiwan of negotiating a secret deal with the U.S. DOH Confused About USDA Process, Requests Training ============================================= ===== 12. (C) Referring to the recent Taiwan decision to resume the ban on U.S. beef imports, DOH Counselor Hsiao Mei-ling told Wineland that one of her goals is to improve communication between DOH, Washington, and the Taiwan public. She was puzzled by the USDA process that preceded the announcement of the discovery of a second BSE infected cow in the U.S. and felt that DOH,s credibility had been damaged when it approved reopening the market, only to have to close it again a short time later. She asked if Taiwan should wait until an OIG review process is completed before considering reopening the market again. AIT's Acting Ag Chief reassured Hsiao that the case was an unusual one, that U.S. beef is safe for Taiwan consumers, and thanked DOH for its support of a science-based approach to food safety issues. Wineland repeated USDA U/S Penn's assurance that Taiwan would have full access to all information about this case. Hsiao hoped the U.S. and Taiwan could improve communication on general health issues, noting that while the U.S. and Taiwan CDCs worked well together and U.S. experts often came to Taiwan, no other DOH employees had been to the U.S. for training in the past three years. DE Implementing Regulations Due in August ========================================= 13. (C) Wineland thanked DOH for its support of the Data Protection law, passed by the Legislative Yuan (LY) in January 2005 and inquired about the status of implementing regulations. Hsiao replied that the regulations were currently being drafted by DOH. She assured Wineland that all interested parties would have an opportunity to provide comments. Bureau of Pharmaceutical Affairs (BOPA) staff, Dr. Yu, noted that IRPMA had participated in three meetings since the beginning of June coordinated by DOH to discuss the type of information to be publicly released under the new law. A draft of the implementing regulations should be available in early August, interested parties would have 60 days to comment. Dr. Yu said he was hopeful that DOH,s close consultation over the previous months would lead to few comments during the open comment period. BNHI Defends Price Cuts ======================= 14. (C) Wineland then turned to the issue of pharmaceutical reimbursements and BNHI's July 1 price cuts. He noted industry's concern that price cuts would have the unintended consequence of limiting the availability of innovative medicines. BNHI Senior Researcher Tseng Chien-fang responded that the pharmaceutical companies had submitted their pricing and volume information in June 2004. The reimbursement prices of over 600 of the 872 items surveyed were adjusted based on the price/volume data. The pharmaceutical manufacturers would be informed by July 15. Hsiao noted that all national health insurance systems have periodic price adjustments and that DOH had briefed IRPMA extensively on BNHI's methodology. 15. (C) Tseng responded to questions about proposed amendments to the pharmaceutical law to revise reimbursement policy by noting that the key provision would ask consumers to pay a portion of the cost for higher-priced innovative pharmaceuticals. Under this "balanced billing" proposal, BNHI would reimburse hospitals at a set price, but hospitals would be free to charge patients the difference between the BNHI reimbursement price and the actual cost. BNHI's dire fiscal situation is forcing DOH to seek additional patient revenues, Hsiao said. The draft is still circulating in DOH and Hsiao expects considerable LY opposition to the plan. Wineland noted that such a plan could discourage consumers from purchasing innovative medicines. CEPD Reviews Economy, Joins Push for FTA ======================================== 16. (C) The Chairman of the Council for Economic Planning and Development, Dr. Hu Sheng-cheng predicted that the Taiwan economy will become more dependent upon service industries such as tourism and financial services. He noted that growth in the tourism sector was far outstripping the rest of the economy and that Taiwan expected over three million foreign visitors in 2005, one million from Japan alone. Hu also expected that the government would be able to reduce the role of state-owned banks in the economy by half, to about 20% of the financial market, in the hope that doing so would spur mergers and innovation. 17. (C) Hu believes Taiwan has two primary economic weaknesses: an over-reliance on China and over-investment in the integrated circuit sector. The government hopes to encourage diversification in both areas. He claimed Taiwan's exports to Southeast Asia had increased 36% over the last year and that exports to the EU were also higher. Although CEPD favors stable and peaceful development of economic relations with China, including the negotiation of a direct air cargo flight, Hu said the government was encouraging and guiding Taiwan companies to do business in places other than China. Hu painted a U.S./Taiwan FTA as a necessary first step to allow Taiwan to confidently open up to China. Wineland responded that USTR was currently focusing its attention on CAFTA and had little energy to pursue other bilateral trade initiatives. Hu countered that a U.S./Taiwan FTA would be very different from CAFTA in that a Taiwan agreement would likely reduce the U.S. trade deficit as Taiwan further liberalized its economy. 18. (C) Hu claimed that both the U.S. and Taiwan were in danger of being economically marginalized in Asia. An FTA with Taiwan would ease the path for the U.S. to build closer trade relations with other East Asian economies, he said. Hu also said that any Taiwan/ASEAN FTA would be impossible before a U.S./Taiwan FTA was initialed. Many Taiwan companies are active in Southeast Asia, but would fear retaliation from China if Taiwan were to take the initiative to begin FTA negotiations with these countries. NCC This Year Says MOTC ======================= 19. (C) Wineland discussed the potential for passage of the National Communications Commission (NCC) organizational legislation with MOTC Director General Tony Teng. The bill was originally proposed in 2003 and the LY passed legislation authorizing the creation of a NCC in December 2003. The organizational statute has been debated several times, but parties have been unable to reach consensus on the number of commissioners and how they will be appointed. Teng noted that the bill had passed its first reading in April 2005 and after a particularly contentious debate the parties had agreed to a six-month moratorium on LY discussion of the bill to allow all parties to informally reach an agreement. Teng was optimistic that the bill would pass before the end of 2005 and the NCC would begin operations by mid-2006. Teng requested assistance from the U.S. to train NCC staff and commissioners. CHT Will Be Privatized ====================== 20. (C) Teng then turned to the impending privatization of Chunghwa Telecom (CHT). He noted that the LY had passed a non-binding resolution in May but suggested that the resolution itself contravened the budget law requiring CHT,s privatization. Teng said the CHT union saw this as their last chance to negotiate a generous collective agreement with the government and would press aggressively to protect their pension system. CHT has already agreed that there will be no layoffs or salary cuts for five years after privatization but Teng didn't see how CHT would be able to fund the current generous pension plan. Instead, he said all employees with qualifying years of service would receive a lump sum payment at the time of privatization and another upon retirement. Teng predicted CHT Chairman Ho-chen Tan would leave for a U.S. "roadshow" very soon after the Securities and Exchange Commission approve CHT,s ADR application. He hoped the ADR sale could be complete by mid-August to allow investors to take advantage of CHT,s dividend issuance and to avoid LY pressure to delay the sale. MOTC Committed to VOIP ====================== 21. (C) Finally, Teng discussed the current thinking within MOTC regarding Voice over Internet Protocol (VOIP) regulations. Noting police concerns about their inability to tap into VOIP calls, Teng nevertheless believes that Taiwan will have regulations in place by October 2005 that will allow the government to assign telephone numbers to be used by VOIP service providers. Teng insisted that Taiwan will not restrict the market for VOIP and expressed confidence that the police could "catch up" with the technology. He predicted that VOIP would have little effect on the domestic telephone market but would likely have a significant impact on revenues of long-distance/international service providers. Long-distance providers like CHT will be affected but increased demand for broadband services, also provided by CHT, should help that company offset the loss of revenue. Minister Ho Repeats FTA Push ============================ 22. (C) Wineland reassured MOEA Minister Ho Mei-yueh that the U.S. remains committed to continuation of trade discussions under the current TIFA framework. Ho agreed that the TIFA is very important to Taiwan/U.S. economic relations, adding that if South Korea announces FTA negotiations with the U.S. it would have an outsized impact on Taiwan due to the direct competition between the two economies in many categories of manufactured goods. Ho requested that the U.S. consider the importance of Taiwan in the global economy and the need to protect the security and viability of the Taiwan economy. Taiwan needs to decrease its dependence on China, she said, and pointed to an FTA with the U.S. as the only means to balance the pressure to rely more heavily on China. Ho noted that Taiwan's current FTAs with Central American partners were not enthusiastically embraced by Taiwan companies faced with long supply chains and small markets. Southeast Asian nations also were reluctant to risk closer relations with Taiwan for concern over loss of valuable opportunities in China. Ho insisted that Taiwan would lose economic competitiveness if it faced less favorable market access provisions than its regional competitors. Wineland responded that any FTA negotiation would have to have strong support from the U.S. business community and encouraged Minister Ho to enlist the support of U.S. firms. TIPO on IPR Court, EZPeer Next Steps ==================================== 23. (C) The Director General of TIPO, Tsai Lien-sheng, told Wineland that Premier Frank Hsieh is currently working on the new government's IPR policy and that improved IPR protection remained a priority for the government. One of TIPO's priorities for this year is to discourage piracy on university campuses. Deputy DG Jack Lu announced that the Judicial Yuan had agreed upon a framework for a proposed IPR Court that would include criminal cases (although only at the appellate level) and that the JY would push for legislative approval of the new court by the end of 2005. Once the law passes, the JY will consider training programs for judges tapped to sit on the new court. Wineland offered congratulations and volunteered to work with the Taiwan government to ensure the IPR Court judges have the opportunity to participate in training in the U.S. 24. (C) Wineland noted the recent Shilin District Court decision acquitting EZPeer of copyright infringement and asked what the next steps might be to protect rightsholders against peer-to-peer (P2P) users illegally swapping copyrighted files. Lu responded that the rightsholders (the International Federation of Phonographic Industries -- IFPI) could consider civil suits against users, but that to do so would be an expensive process. In response to a question about whether Taiwan would consider introducing additional legislation to protect rightsholders from P2P based violators, the Chief of TIPO's Copyright division Margaret Chen replied that she believes the current law is sufficient to deal with the threat and that submitting a new proposal to the LY would open a Pandora's box of counter-legislation. Lu added that the EZPeer verdict specifically placed the burden of liability on the users of P2P services and that pursuing users directly might be a potential next step for the government. BOFT: Room to Move on G10 Stance? ================================= 25. (C) Wineland met with BOFT Director General Franco Huang to discuss the current state of U.S./Taiwan bilateral trade relations and Taiwan's views on WTO-related issues. Huang said that he had met USTR Portman at a recent APEC meeting in Korea and that he was aware of the USTR's planned trip to Geneva to participate in WTO negotiations related to the Doha Round. Huang hoped that Portman would be able to convince the Indian delegation and others to accept the "Swiss Formula" for reduction of agricultural tariffs as agreed by the APEC economies in time for progress to be announced at the Hong Kong Ministerial in December. Wineland noted that Taiwan's participation in the G10 was not consistent with Taiwan's broader trade liberalization agenda. Huang responded that he believes the G10 is likely to adjust its position as the agriculture negotiations progress and that concessions on agriculture were likely to follow progress in other areas under discussion. No one wants to take the first step, said Huang. PAAL
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