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| Identifier: | 05CARACAS1285 |
|---|---|
| Wikileaks: | View 05CARACAS1285 at Wikileaks.org |
| Origin: | Embassy Caracas |
| Created: | 2005-04-28 19:33:00 |
| Classification: | CONFIDENTIAL |
| Tags: | PGOV VE |
| Redacted: | This cable was not redacted by Wikileaks. |
This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available. 281933Z Apr 05
C O N F I D E N T I A L CARACAS 001285
SIPDIS
NSC FOR CBARTON
USCINCSO ALSO FOR POLAD
E.O. 12958: DECL: 02/25/2014
TAGS: PGOV, VE
SUBJECT: VENEZUELAN LEGISLATIVE AGENDA: SO MUCH TO DO, AND
SO LITTLE TIME
Classified By: POLITICAL COUNSELOR ABELARDO A. ARIAS FOR REASONS 1.4 (d
)
-------
Summary
-------
1. (C) The Venezuelan National Assembly plans to pass a
number of important laws before the summer recess August 15,
according to Movimiento Quinta Republica Deputy Calixto
Ortega. Ortega and other deputies cited the National Police
Law, the Organized Crime Law, and the Drug Law as priorities
this session. The Housing Law was recently passed with
opposition support, and a law to regulate municipal
government may soon pass with similar support. Also on the
agenda are the Land Law, the Armed Forces law, the Foreign
Service Law, and the Foreign Exchange Crimes Law. Given the
legislative elections due in December, it is unlikely that
all of these bills will pass this session. End Summary.
---------------------------------
Legislative Rush Before Elections
---------------------------------
2. (C) The pro-government faction of the National Assembly
will push hard to pass as many laws as possible prior to the
August 15 summer recess, Movimiento Quinta Republica (MVR)
Deputy Calixto Ortega told poloff March 31. Ortega said
deputies will be focused on the December legislative
elections when the Assembly returns in September, making it
unlikely that much will get done in the second half of the
year. MVR Deputy Luis Tascon told poloff April 5 the summer
recess might be put off to September to allow more time to
pass laws. MVR Deputy Cilia Flores, the pro-GOV block leader
in the Assembly, told reporters April 19 that the discussion
of new laws would be accelerated, and special sessions called
on Wdnesdays and Fridays, to pass all the priority laws by
August. Opposition legislator Pedro Pablo Alcantara (Accion
Democratica) told PolCouns that the additional two sessions
per week are indeed resulting in expeditions movement of
bills in the Assembly.
-------------------
National Police Law
-------------------
3. (C) Tascon said the priority for the pro-government
legislators in this session was the National Police Law. He
said the law would be modified from its current version to
restrict the responsbilities of the regional and municipal
police, ad give the to-be-created National Police sole
reponsibility for preventive policing. Ortega alleged that
many regional and municipal police forces continued to act as
private militias, and that there could not be overlapping
responsibilities among national, regional and municipal
police. He said the Internal Politics Commission of the
Assembly would rework the National Police Law to address this
issue, thus delaying it but not beyond August.
-------------------
Organized Crime Law
-------------------
4. (C) Ortega said the Organized Crime Law and the Drug Law
were also priorities, and would be ready soon. The Organized
Crime Law was ready for a floor vote, but was withdrawn when
a flaw was detected, according to Ortega. Proyecto Venezuela
Deputy Pedro Diaz Blum told poloff April 18 that the
Organized Crime Law would be passed in this session as part
of a strategy, suggested by Venezuelan Ambassador to the U.S.
Bernardo Alvarez, to improve bilateral relations. Tascon also
cited the Organized Crime and Drug Laws as priorities, though
Flores cited only the Drug Law, and not the Organized Crime
Law.
--------------------------------
Opposition Support for Some Laws
--------------------------------
5. (C) MVR Deputy Roberto Quintero said a number of the
laws under consideration this session have opposition
support. He cited the recently passed Housing Law, the
Municipal Law, the Drug Law, and the Anti-Corruption Law.
Diaz Blum also noted that the Housing Law had passed with
opposition support, but called the law "inapplicable". Saady
Bijami, opposition Mayor of San Francisco Municipality in
Zulia, and President of the Venezuelan Association of Mayors,
praised the Municipal Law under consideration for promoting
decentralization, in a television interview on April 24.
Flores also said the pro-GOV block was committed to passing
this law prior to the August 7 municipal elections.
---------------------
Land, Guns, and Money
---------------------
6. (C) National Assembly Vice President Ricardo Gutierrez
(Podemos), speaking to reporters April 24, predicted that the
Assembly would approve the Land Law by April 26. MVR Deputy
Eddy Rios April 4 also predicted early passage of the Organic
Law of the Armed Forces. Rios asserted that there was
opposition agreement on many aspects of this law, while
acknowledging that articles on the reserves and national
mobilization would generate debate. Movimiento Al Socialismo
(MAS) Deputy Pedro Antonio Castillo told poloff April 12 that
if the pro-GOV block could not get the two thirds majority
needed to pass the law on the military as an organic law,
they would simply turn it into an ordinary law. Ortega said
the Foreign Exchange Crimes Law would be pushed hard, while
insisting that it was aimed at punishing money laundering,
not legitimate business.
-----------------
What's Not Coming
-----------------
7. (C) Ortega said the Anti-Terrorism Law would probably
not be passed in this session. He asserted that the law was
potentially dangerous to Venezuelan democracy, and should not
be rushed. Ortega said he was worried about passing an
abusive law, naming the Patriot Act and the British
Anti-Terrorism Law as models to avoid. Ortega also mentioned
the Social Security Law as a major priority, but one which
would require serious study to evaluate its economic impact
on the State and private business, all of which would
probably push it beyond this session.
-------
Comment
-------
8. (C) The pro-government legislators have set an ambitious
agenda. With their majority, and the additional two sessions
per week, they stand a better chance of ramming it through
than in the past. The complexity of some of the legislation,
especially the bills on the national police and the military,
may prove an insurmountable impediment for the time being.
These are also bills with significant ramifications which the
opposition, though weak, will likely contest strongly.
Brownfield
NNNN
2005CARACA01285 - CONFIDENTIAL
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