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| Identifier: | 05ABUDHABI1683 |
|---|---|
| Wikileaks: | View 05ABUDHABI1683 at Wikileaks.org |
| Origin: | Embassy Abu Dhabi |
| Created: | 2005-04-16 07:34:00 |
| Classification: | CONFIDENTIAL |
| Tags: | ECON ENRG EPET TC |
| Redacted: | This cable was not redacted by Wikileaks. |
This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 03 ABU DHABI 001683 SIPDIS E.O. 12958: DECL: 04/16/2015 TAGS: ECON, ENRG, EPET, TC SUBJECT: UAE ENERGY SECTOR: SECURITY, SPARE CAPACITY, AND TECHNOLOGY Classified By: (U) Classified by Richard A. Albright, Deputy Chief of Mission, reasons 1.4 (b) and (d). 1. (C) Summary: Although the United Arab Emirates has taken many steps to improve oil and gas facility security, a number of vulnerabilities for both off and onshore facilities still exist. The UAE needs to improve information sharing and interagency coordination to further enhance security. ADNOC officials detailed a number of their security measures to protect their oil and gas facilities, including exclusion zones, alarmed fences, and subsurface valves. The UAE plans to increase its production capacity to 3 million bpd by 2006, and this goal should be easily obtainable at its current rate of investment in new projects. End Summary. 2. (C) An interagency team of energy analysts visited the UAE from April 2-4. They met with ADNOC Deputy CEO Abdullah Nasser Al-Suweidi, and several other ADNOC officials. They also met with three foreign oil company executives: Occidental Middle East Development Co. Vice President David Scott, ExxonMobil Al-Khalij Inc. President Frank Kemnetz, and BP Middle East and Pakistan President Michael Daly. Oil and Gas Facility Security ------------------------------ 3. (C) Since 2001, the UAEG has invested heavily into improving oil and gas facility security. However, vulnerabilities remain including problems with interagency coordination and a lack of transparency in information sharing. BP Middle East and Pakistan President Michael Daly pointed out that the UAEG does not take a strategic approach to oil and gas field protection; instead of trying to determine vulnerable chokepoints in the oil and gas networks, it instead attempts to cover all the bases with security. ExxonMobil Al-Khalij President Frank Kemnetz noted that the UAEG needs to think of security like it thinks of safety on the oil and gas fields ) as an essential element that must permeate all planning and actions. 4. (C) The Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC) controls the oil and gas facilities of the Emirate of Abu Dhabi (more than 90 percent of the oil and gas reserves in the UAE). The onshore (ADCO) or offshore (ADMA-OPCO) national operating companies operate the fields. Foreign oil companies own oil concessions and are minority shareholders in the operating companies. The Ministry of Interior, the UAE Coast Guard and Navy, and the State Security Directorate (intelligence) are all concerned with security. One of the key complaints of foreign oil companies is that the UAEG government is hesitant to share threat information, particularly information that is politically-sensitive. The government frequently lacks transparency, and foreign oil companies complain that they know little about government measures taken to protect oil and gas facilities. Occidental Middle East Development Co. Vice President David Scott noted that the UAEG does make an attempt to pass information, but the filtering and manner of transmission sometime make it difficult for company executives to interpret. The UAEG does invest in risk analysis (most often through outside consultants); but again, does not share the reports or action items of such analysis with foreign oil companies operating locally. 5. (C) Despite these perceived vulnerabilities, all foreign oil company executives did note that they feel secure in the UAE. Even after the bombing in Doha, Qatar by an employee of Qatar,s oil company, oil company executives felt that there was lots of invisible, but present, security in the UAE. Onshore Oil and Gas Security ----------------------------- 6. (C) UAE oil production is divided 50-50 between onshore and offshore facilities. Private sector interlocutors generally regard the onshore facilities as more secure, although difficult to protect due to their vast size (some of the fields are 45 km by 30 km). ADNOC has considered fencing the oil and gas fields, but fencing would be more likely to attract undesired attention to the fields. Instead, the UAE has mostly relied on fencing certain areas and facilities within fields. These fences are supplied with cameras, and the newer fencing systems are alarmed. Additionally, the UAE uses subsurface safety valves to prevent fire and oil spills. These valves can also isolate a problem area on the field, minimizing security vulnerabilities. ADNOC Deputy CEO Abdullah Nasser Al-Suweidi noted that the onshore oil fields are all independent facilities, minimizing security and safety risks (i.e. an attack at once facility would not impact other facilities). The one major chokepoint is the Jebel Dana export terminal, which is the primary UAE export terminal and holding facility for onshore oil. There are three loading facilities at Jebel Dhana, and multiple tanks. At any given time, only 20 to 40 percent of the tanks are utilized so there is spare capacity. These tanks are isolated within the facility by distance in attempt to limit their vulnerability to fire or explosion. Offshore Oil and Gas Security ------------------------------- 7. (C) Many foreign oil companies regard the offshore oil installations as the UAE,s greatest vulnerability, since there are large numbers of offshore facilities that are difficult to protect. The UAE maintains strict exclusion zones around these facilities, but there is considerable shipping traffic near the zones which increases the risks to the facilities. The UAE Coast Guard and Navy patrol the zones, and conduct 24 hour continuous operations. The UAEG accompanies all LNG tankers (all of which are double-hulled) in UAE territory. The export facilities are primarily located on Das Island (two tanks), although there are facilities on other islands. Although ADNOC can make up for lost production for a limited time using onshore production (i.e. when a plant is not operating due to repairs), Abu Dhabi cannot shift offshore production from field to field. All offshore gas fields, and the majority of offshore oil fields, use subsurface valves to prevent fire and spills. Spare Capacity --------------- 8. (C) According to ADNOC and foreign company executives, the UAE is serious about investing and producing more oil to raise its oil production capacity to 3 million barrels per day (bpd) by the first quarter of 2006. The UAE currently can produce 2.5 million bpd at sustainable production, and 2.7 at peak production. By early 2006, the UAE will easily be able to produce 2.7 million bpd sustainable, and 2.9 million bpd peak. According to BP President Michael Daly, these projects are starting to be completed now. By counting gas condensates (approximately 220,000 bpd are produced in the UAE), ADNOC reports that they could reach a production capacity of 3 million bpd by the end of this summer. Foreign oil companies all agreed with ADNOC,s CEO who made a number of media comments this week that the UAE would be producing 3 million bpd at peak capacity by 2006. In an emergency, the UAE could also increase its capacity by an additional 200,000 bpd by flaring gas at the fields (the UAE follows a strict no-flare policy). (Note: All but about 160,000 bpd of the UAE,s oil production capacity is in the Emirate of Abu Dhabi). 9. (C) Foreign oil companies report that the UAE is already evaluating plans for the next tranche of expansion and development. The UAE will start investing this year to bring an additional production of 200,000 bpd onshore and 100,000 bpd offshore online by 2008 or 2009. In addition, the UAE is increasing its production of condensates (which are not limited by OPEC quotas). Technology ----------- 10. (C) Technology transfer remains a primary priority for the UAE, particularly in tendering contracts to foreign oil companies. Although the oil market is seeing an increase in Asian consumption and Asian companies eager to obtain concessions (particularly from China and India), ADNOC views these firms as unable to compete technically with the major international oil companies. In particular, a number of the offshore facilities in the UAE require greater technical expertise than these firms possess. (Note: Abu Dhabi,s Supreme Petroleum Council cited Exxon Mobile,s technically superior bid as the primary reason it has chosen to negotiate only with Exxon Mobile at this point for the 28% tender in the offshore Upper Zakkum field). 11. (C) Emiratization (creating jobs for Emirati nationals) and aging oil industry executives present additional technical difficulties for the UAE oil industry. Many newly hired Emiratis, although highly educated, are entering the sector without the depth of experience needed to replace aging oil industry executives. In response, many of the foreign oil companies with a large presence here are making more of an effort to train the Emiratis by sending them abroad to observe techniques and gain experience at other oil fields. Comment ------- 12. (C) The UAE is investing time and resources into producing more spare capacity, while ensuring that its current and new fields remain secure from terrorist attacks. Although the UAE government could take more actions to share information and vulnerabilities with the foreign oil companies operating here, it does expend the considerable government and military resources necessary to provide exclusion zones and protection for their facilities. SISON
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