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| Identifier: | 05WARSAW959 |
|---|---|
| Wikileaks: | View 05WARSAW959 at Wikileaks.org |
| Origin: | Embassy Warsaw |
| Created: | 2005-02-22 05:09:00 |
| Classification: | UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY |
| Tags: | EFIN ECON ELAB PREL PL Economy |
| Redacted: | This cable was not redacted by Wikileaks. |
This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
UNCLAS WARSAW 000959 SIPDIS Sensitive STATE FOR EUR/NCE TARA ERATH AND MICHAEL SESSUMS USDOC FOR 4232/ITA/MAC/EUR/JBURGESS AND MWILSON TREASURY FOR OASIA ERIC MEYER AND MATTHEW GAERTNER FRANKFURT FOR TREASURY JIM WALLAR E.O. 12958: N/A TAGS: EFIN, ECON, ELAB, PREL, PL, Economy SUBJECT: Defeat of Health Care Bill Prompts Health Minister to Offer Resignation Ref: (A) 2004 Warsaw 4285 (B) 2004 Warsaw 2683 (C) 2004 Warsaw 865 (U) This cable is sensitive - but unclassified, and NOT for Internet distribution. 1. (SBU) Summary: On 17 February, the Sejm rejected a long awaited bill on restructuring of public health care units. The bill, prepared as part of the government's public finance reform package, was designed to write off up to $3 billion in local hospital debts in exchange for reforms, including preparing a debt restructuring program to return to profitability within two years. The bill's defeat resulted from a combination of worker protests (including hunger strikes) and objections by local government and by opposition parties in parliament. The government undermined its own efforts by offering a confusing bill, supported by a tepid public affairs effort. The defeat of the bill was a major blow to the government's fiscal reform plan, and prompted the Minister of Health to offer his resignation. PM Belka rejected the resignation, and instead asked Balicki to submit a revised version of the bill in the coming days. It is not clear how the GOP will amend the bill, but it may opt to offer a short-term financial fix and leave the problem for the next government to address. End Summary. Hospitals restructuring Bill - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2. (U) The Sejm rejected a bill (208-196) which would have restructured local hospital debt. The bill proposed that hospitals which prepare debt-restructuring programs would get loans from the government and would receive protection from debt collectors while implementing the restructuring program. The bill also contained a number of controversial provisions, including one requiring hospitals to forego claims against the central government, such as the flawed pay increases passed by the Sejm in 2000, (ref c). Health sector debt remains a serious problem, despite wholesale reforms in 1999, done in coordination with large World Bank loans. Local hospitals have wracked up as much as $3 billion in new debts which they are having trouble paying. The GOP believes part of the problem is that local governments are reluctant to rationalize health services to meet realistic demand and cut costs. The GOP identified health care financial reform as one of its top priorities (reftels), and set aside 2.2 billion Zloty ($800 million) in the 2005 budget to fund the loans to entice the hospitals to accept these reforms. The GOP is also concerned that hospitals are taking advantage of a legal loophole which means they are not subject to debt collection provisions applicable to commercial companies. Under this bill, the GOP proposed amending the commercial and civil codes to make it applicable to the health sector. 3. (U) The bill attracted opposition from a number of sources. One of the proximate causes of its defeat was the opposition of health care workers, who, led by the Solidarity trade union, staged a hunger strike in Warsaw and other cities (which proved once again to be a very effective political weapon as it did in the 2003 rail strike). Health sector workers are (correctly) concerned that restructuring could lead to hospital bankruptcies and job losses. Local government organizations joined the unions in opposition to the bill in part out of a concern that they would be stuck paying back wages stemming from a flawed law passed in 2000 (ref c). Many regional government executives opposed the bill because they were not convinced the measures would stem the tide of hospital debt. Some opponents of the bill also objected to the notion that the bill would lead to the privatization of the health sector. 4. (U) At the last minute, Balicki almost won over local government representatives with the withdrawal of the requirement of hospitals to forego debts owed by the central government, but found himself undercut when Deputy PM Hausner refused to accept this provision. This cemented parliamentary opposition against the bill, and, coupled with the absence of 17 of the 152 SLD MP's, sealed the bill's fate. This was the second important vote SLD lost to the opposition this week (the first was on abortion). Health Minister Offers Resignation, Plans Further Fight - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 5. (U) The Minister of Health. Marek Balicki, first offered his resignation on February 17 in reaction to the defeat of the bill. After PM Belka refused to accept it, Balicki declared on February 18 that he would present an amended draft to the Sejm before the weekend. Balicki indicated this revised draft would take into account a proposed compromise with some of the bill's opponents which would better explain the terms of the debt writeoff and loan provisions. He also suggested that the GOP may back off one of the central provisions of the planned reform under which hospitals applying for the state loans would be required to implement fiscal reforms, including implementing restructuring plans under which the hospitals would return to solvency over two years. President Pledges Support - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 6. (U) Immediately after the bill's defeat, President Kwasniewsjki received Sejm Speaker Cimoszewicz and PM Belka, and declared he is willing to use his constitutional powers to introduce the new Balicki bill in the Sejm a presidential bill if necessary. He also expressed support for the key elements of the GOP's health reform plan. Comment: - - - - - - - 7. (SBU) As in many countries, health care is a very sensitive issue in Poland. On the one hand, the public does not want to lose access to health care at low prices, particularly since access (not further defined) to health care is guaranteed by the constitution. On the other hand, the public also wants improvements to medical services, and but is unwilling to pay the higher taxes required to fund it. The central government is determined to break the cycle of debt dependency of local hospitals by forcing local governments to be more responsible with costs and service levels. While the GOP has rightly identified this as an important priority, it did itself no favors by presenting a confusing bill the first time around, under which it was hard to determine which hospitals would have access to the program, and exactly what reforms they would be required to implement. It is unclear how much of its original reform plan the government can be salvaged with this revised bill, even if it passes. It seems increasingly likely that the government may end up offering a short-term fix to bail out the most pressing debt, while leaving this complicated issue for the next government. We expect that health sector unions will be emboldened by their success in defeating this bill to continue to resist job or salary cuts in the sector, as well as privatization of the sector. Ashe NNNN 2005WARSAW00959 - Classification: UNCLASSIFIED
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