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| Identifier: | 05LILONGWE152 |
|---|---|
| Wikileaks: | View 05LILONGWE152 at Wikileaks.org |
| Origin: | Embassy Lilongwe |
| Created: | 2005-02-17 04:45:00 |
| Classification: | UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY |
| Tags: | PGOV KDEM MI Political President United Democratic Front |
| Redacted: | This cable was not redacted by Wikileaks. |
This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 LILONGWE 000152 SIPDIS SENSITIVE FOR AF/S, INR/AA E.O. 12958: N/A TAGS: PGOV, KDEM, MI, Political, President, United Democratic Front SUBJECT: PRESIDENT TO LAUNCH NEW PARTY; UDF DEFECTIONS CONTINUE REF: LILONGWE 117 1. (U) Summary: President Mutharika intends to form a new political party called the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP). Mutharika has stated that, unlike his predecessor, he will not be involved in the administration of the party, but will only serve as its symbolic head. Meanwhile, the president has gathered significant public support following his resignation from the United Democratic Front (UDF), and the exodus from that party continues. End summary. New Party, New Style of Management ---------------------------------- 2. (SBU) President Mutharika has indicated that he intends to launch a new political party, the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP). In an interview with BBC last week and again in a meeting with heads of mission of donor countries on February 13, the President discussed his intention to form the new party, although he has not yet made a formal announcement. 3. (SBU) The president told the donor heads unequivocally that "I can run this country without a party", but he admitted that he must think ahead to the next general election in 2009 and consolidate his political base. Mutharika claimed that there is a "mass exodus" from the UDF going on, even in rural areas that have been traditional party strongholds. He said that support for a new party has "come on like wildfire" and that he must capture that political momentum. The president emphasized that he will only be the figurehead of the DPP and will not be involved in its operations. He added that he would appoint a secretary general to run the party, that auditors will be SIPDIS hired, and that unlike Muluzi's UDF, he will not personally control the party's assets. Growing Support for Mutharika ----------------------------- 4. (U) There has been a wave of public support for Mutharika since his resignation from the UDF, from a wide range of political figures. Most of the UDF's senior members have expressed their support for the president and some have resigned from the party. Almost the entire Cabinet, 23 independent parliamentarians, and a number of other veteran politicians-- including opposition leaders Gwanda Chakuamba of the Republican Party (RP) and Aleke Banda of the People's Progressive Movement (PPM)-- have sided with the president. Many grassroots supporters are also reported to be abandoning the UDF. 5. (U) Some notable defections from the UDF include: - Uladi Mussa, Minister of Home Affairs and Internal Security. On February 8 Mussa resigned from the party and declared himself an independent MP. He also publicly called on Muluzi to resign from the UDF Chairmanship and retire from politics. - Dr. Isaac Lamba, historian and former Ambassador to the UN. Lamba announced his resignation from the UDF on February 4. He had previously served as UDF regional Governor for the Central Region. - Dr. Ben Dzowela, chairman of the agricultural parastatal ADMARC. Dzowela resigned from the UDF National Executive Committee on February 1, but has retained his membership in the party. During the Muluzi Administration Dzowela served as Ambassador-at-Large (at the Foreign Affairs) and Chair of the University of Malawi Council. Dr. Dzowela said that since "ADMARC is Parastatal Number 1" he felt he had to send a clear message that he was with the President and not Muluzi. - Yusuf Mwawa, Minister of Education and Leader of the House in Parliament announced his resignation from the UDF NEC, but retained his seat in Parliament as a member of the UDF. - Salule Masangwi, formerly the UDF's official spokesman, resigned that position on February 1, but remains a member of the party. Comment ------- 6. (SBU) One unknown quantity in this equation is Vice President Cassim Chilumpha, who is also Water Development Minister. Chilumpha is known to be a close ally of Muluzi, and he has remained noticeably silent while most of the Cabinet members have been trumpeting their support for Mutharika. There is plenty of speculation on the street about Chilumpha's future, but under Malawi's constitution his job is secure, since the vice president is directly elected and can only be removed from office through an impeachment process. 7. (SBU) Independent MPs and former UDF members who have declared their support and loyalty to President Mutharika are probably going to end up in the new DPP. Malawians will see many of them as political opportunists; this mass desertion is reminiscent of politicians' abandonment of the Malawi Congress Party (MCP) for opposition parties during Malawi's democratization process from 1992 to 1994. 8. (U) Independent parliamentarians may join the DPP without breaching Malawi's parliamentary aisle-crossing law, which only prevents MPs from switching from one party to another within Parliament. Moving from independent to an entirely new party, or moving from party member to independent is not explicitly prohibited. Mutharika's challenge lies not so much in the constitutionality of his alliances but in the political alliances of Parliament. Some observers estimate that he will have about a 50/50 split in his parliamentary support, which may make for a difficult road ahead. GILMOUR
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