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| Identifier: | 05BUENOSAIRES141 |
|---|---|
| Wikileaks: | View 05BUENOSAIRES141 at Wikileaks.org |
| Origin: | Embassy Buenos Aires |
| Created: | 2005-01-20 15:25:00 |
| Classification: | CONFIDENTIAL |
| Tags: | PGOV PREL AR |
| Redacted: | This cable was not redacted by Wikileaks. |
This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 08 BUENOS AIRES 000141 SIPDIS STATE FOR WHA/FO, WHA/BSC, WHA/EPSC, USOAS, PM, AND INR/RA NSC FOR TOM SHANNON, KIM BRIER, NILMINI GUNARATNE, DEL RENIGAR TREASURY FOR DAS NANCY LEE AND CHRIS KUSHLIS AND USCINCSO FOR POLAD PASS USTR FOR PETER ALLGEIER AND SUE CRONIN E.O. 12958: DECL: 12/15/2014 TAGS: PGOV, PREL, AR SUBJECT: ARGENTINA: KIRCHNER'S INNER CIRCLE Classified By: Ambassador Lino Gutierrez for Reasons 1.4 (B) and (D) ------------------------ Summary and Introduction ------------------------ 1. (C) This cable takes an in-depth look at President Nestor Kirchner's closest advisors. It is based on interviews with the Ambassador, DCM, and other Embassy Officers who have met with members of Kirchner's inner circle, numerous discussions with Embassy contacts in the Argentine political establishment, as well as biographies and press articles written about Kirchner's key associates. The goal is to provide Washington with a better understanding of the individuals with the most influence over President Kirchner. 2. (C) Since coming to office in May 2003, President Kirchner has largely relied on a handful of individuals -- most of whom he brought with him from Santa Cruz province -- to help him make his most important decisions. Others outside of this inner circle have an important role in advising Kirchner on specific issues, such as Minister of the Economy Roberto Lavagna on the debt exchange. However, these individuals are not part of Kirchner's circle of trust and are not included in major policy discussions outside of their area of expertise. 3. (C) Those identified by all sources as being in Kirchner's inner circle are his wife Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner; Secretary for Legal and Technical Affairs Carlos Zannini; SIPDIS Santa Cruz Governor Sergio Acevedo; Minister of Federal Planning, Public Infrastructure and Services Julio De Vido; Cabinet Chief Alberto Fernandez; and Secretary General of the Presidency Oscar Parrilli. There are numerous other personal confidants of Kirchner, such as Presidential Spokesman Miguel Nunez, who have a long history of close friendship with Kirchner and may well have influence over his decision-making from time to time. Post has focused this cable on those who Kirchner seeks daily advice from on policy decisions and long-term political and economic strategy. 4. (C) The members of Kirchner's inner circle are very hard-working, loyal, and committed first to President Kirchner above any personal ambition. Most have a connection to Patagonia and a personal relationship with Kirchner that stretches back years. The majority of them are left-of-center politically, although Alberto Fernandez and Oscar Parrilli are exceptions to this rule. Most lack a depth of expertise in politics beyond the provincial level and have been learning the ropes of international relations and national politics at the same time as Kirchner. The primary thing that Kirchner demands from his close advisors is loyalty and it is their proven loyalty, rather than their competence, that brought them into Kirchner's inner circle. End Summary and Introduction. ------------------------------------------- Cristina Kirchner: Two for the Price of One ------------------------------------------- 5. (C) Cristina is President Kirchner's most valued advisor on most issues, functioning as his close confidant and political partner for the last 30 years. Cristina Kirchner has been the main person to energize and motivate her husband throughout his political career, especially during difficult times. She also has great influence in determining who is and is not in the inner circle. President Kirchner has great respect for her political judgment. A businessman who is close to President Kirchner recently told the Ambassador that then-Governor Kirchner originally accepted former President Eduardo Duhalde's offer to be Duhalde's chief of staff in 2002. After discussing it overnight with Cristina, who felt it was a bad political move, Kirchner called Duhalde back the next day and turned it down. Although Kirchner frequently seeks his wife's political advice, long-time Kirchner associate Luis Corsiglia reported to POLOFF that President Kirchner generally does not seek her advice on economic issues. He tends instead to consult with his key economic advisors De Vido and Lavagna on matters related to the economy. 6. (C) Cristina enjoys traveling to the United States and has been described as having a positive view of the U.S. However, she has never learned English because, as she explained in a recent speech at Berkeley University, she "is part of a generation in which learning English was seen almost as a defect because of the Yankees go home, attitude prevalent at the time." Cristina was the main instigator for her husband's first trips to the United States (to Miami and New York), where she introduced him to her extensive contacts in the Democratic Party and the academic and think tank communities. She also keeps in close touch with former President Carter and the Carter Foundation. 7. (C) Cristina Kirchner has told the Ambassador that she is always available to meet with him and take on issues of importance to the U.S. At the Ambassador's suggestion, Cristina met with President Carter at the Carter Center during a visit to Atlanta to discuss the political crisis in Venezuela. As a result of her visit, Cristina played a proactive role in encouraging President Kirchner to press Venezuelan President Chavez to hold the Recall Referendum and to meet with members of the opposition Democratic Coordinating Group during his two visits in 2004 to Caracas. Cristina has also conditioned any potential visit to Cuba on being able to bring Hilda Molina back with her and meet with the wives of jailed dissidents. 8. (C) Cristina is a force in her own right, working tirelessly as a senator from Santa Cruz with ambitions of becoming a senator from the politically most important province of Buenos Aires in 2005. She is not shy about expressing her views in the Senate. Her biographer Jose Angel Di Mauro describes her as being a poor negotiator, preferring instead to use a confrontational style with her political opponents. She has publicly clashed with many political figures, including Elisa Carrio, Hilda "Chiche" Duhalde, and Vice President Daniel Scioli on the floor of the Senate. Di Mauro reports that President Kirchner has frequently made use of this personality trait to let Christina play the role of "bad cop" in political conflicts, allowing President Kirchner to act more conciliatory. She is said to never attend meetings of the Peronist Party (PJ) bloc of Senators, instead relying on her allies in the bloc Miguel Pichetto and Nicolas Fernandez to get the other PJ senators to toe the Kirchner line. 9. (C) Cristina Kirchner was born in 1956 in La Plata in the province of Buenos Aires. Cristina met Nestor Kirchner while they were both studying law at the Universidad Nacional de La Plata and they were married in 1975. The Kirchners have two children. Cristina was first elected as a Deputy to the Santa Cruz Provincial Legislature in 1989. She was elected in 1995 as a National Senator for Santa Cruz, but was forced to leave the Senate to become a National Deputy in 1997 due to conflicts with the PJ bloc leadership. In 2001 Cristina Kirchner was again elected to a National Senate seat for Santa Cruz, which she continues to hold. She is reportedly very particular about her appearance, spending thousands of dollars every year on the latest fashion and having silicone injections on her face and hair extensions to make her appear younger. -------------------------------- Carlos Zannini: The Strategy Man -------------------------------- 10. (C) Carlos Zannini, the Secretary for Legal and Technical Affairs, is Kirchner's most trusted official and is the main person that conceptualizes and plans the strategies for Kirchner. Kirchner seeks Zannini's advice on every decision he makes. Zannini lacks experience in international relations and managing national politics in Buenos Aires, so he is at a disadvantage when he attempts to guide Kirchner on foreign relations and sophisticated national political issues. By most accounts, Zannini is honest by Argentine standards. 11. (C) Since accepting his current position in May 2003, Zannini has taken part in all relevant meetings where presidential decisions are made and is one of the few associates that the Kirchners regularly invite to their Saturday coffee sessions at the Quinta de Olivos to discuss tactics and strategy. Zannini reviews and signs off on every major piece of legislation and Kirchner Administration policy initiative, including providing clearance on draft texts of IMF agreements, which he discusses with Kirchner in meetings at the Casa Rosada that sometimes go to midnight. Carlos Zannini is also very close to Cristina Kirchner, with whom he speaks with at least two or three times a day to give her legal and political advice, according to the leading weekly magazine Noticias. 12. (C) Zannini plays a moderating influence on Kirchner on economic issues. He shares Kirchner's obsession with balanced budgets and fiscal orthodoxy. POLOFFS who have meet Zannini describe him as fiercely loyal to Kirchner and unwilling to express views of his own. He is readily accessible to meetings with the Ambassador and DCM. In person he is amicable and engaging. He has a way of putting his visitors at ease, even when he disagrees with them. He reportedly regularly works 16-hour days. Zannini told DCM and POLOFF in a recent meeting that he cut his Christmas vacation short in Rio Gallegos in order to get back to work in Buenos Aires. 13. (C) A well-known lawyer in Santa Cruz, Zannini served as a member of Kirchner's provincial cabinet when Kirchner was governor. Those close to Zannini often refer to him by his nickname "El Chino," which is a reference to his years as a Maoist activist in his youth. He spent three years in prison for his political activities between 1976 and 1979. Carlos Zannini was born in Cordoba in 1954, but moved to Santa Cruz in 1984 on the advice of friends. In 1995 Zannini was elected as a Provincial Congressman, serving after his reelection in 1999 as the President of the PJ bloc. He resigned his seat in 2001 to accept a position on the Provincial Supreme Court and with Kirchner's help he became the president of the Court only 20 days later. He is married to a fellow lawyer, who works as a Cabinet Advisor in the Provincial Government of Santa Cruz, and with whom he has four children. ------------------------------------- Sergio Acevedo: Kirchner's Rear Guard ------------------------------------- 14. (C) Sergio Acevedo, the Governor of Santa Cruz and former head of the intelligence service SIDE, acts as a trouble-shooter for the Kirchners and protects their interests in their home province. The Kirchners chose Acevedo to be the one to publicly defend Cristina when she and Hilda "Chiche" Duhalde clashed early in 2004 in a fractious, Peronist Party convention. President Kirchner also sent Acevedo, together with Alberto Fernandez, to the Ambassador's residence in May 2004 to get a clarification when some of A/S Noriega's comments were misconstrued in the Argentine press. Kirchner sent Acevedo to the U.S. last December to meet with senior U.S. officials ahead of Foreign Minister Bielsa's trip to Washington to ensure Kirchner's message of pragmatism and desiring better relations was properly delivered. In his current role as governor, Sergio Acevedo gives Kirchner the ability to continue to control the politics of Santa Cruz while he focuses on national political issues in Buenos Aires. 15. (C) Acevedo is the idealist of the inner circle and the only close advisor of President Kirchner who reportedly will tell him things that Kirchner does not want to hear. It is reported that Acevedo will always give the President his frank opinion, but will close ranks behind him even when Acevedo disagrees with Kirchner's decisions. For example, Acevedo has long urged the repatriation of the province's funds that Kirchner sent abroad in 2001, but his loyalty to the President prevents him from publicly challenging Kirchner on the issue. 16. (C) Despite his left-wing antecedents, Acevedo professes to be pro-American. Before Kirchner's election as President, Acevedo had little foreign policy experience or exposure to the U.S. However, Acevedo seems to have been a driving force in the Kirchner administration for better ties with the United States. The Embassy worked closely with him on counter terrorism during his time in SIDE. Later when he became governor, he invited the DCM to travel to Santa Cruz to meet with him and his key officials and has actively sought U.S. investment capital to develop his province's hydrocarbon and mining resources. 17. (C) Acevedo wants to attract U.S. investors and supports free trade with the United States. He has repeatedly told EMBOFFS that he thinks U.S. companies come to compete honestly in Argentina, while he lambastes the unfair business practices of many European companies, especially those from Spain. He has generally supported U.S. oil companies operating in Santa Cruz facing strong pressure from labor and piquetero groups. He has indicated to EMBOFFS that he supports the FTAA and thinks Chile has benefited from its free-trade agreement with the United States. Acevedo even attempted to find a way to "grandfather" Santa Cruz and the other Patagonian provinces into the Chile FTA. Acevedo is also a strong proponent of an Open Skies Agreement allowing for unrestricted air routes of foreign commercial carriers to Santa Cruz as a way to develop tourism. 18. (C) Sergio Acevedo was born in Chubut in 1956, but has spent almost his entire life in Santa Cruz. He began his political career as mayor of the small hamlet of Pico Truncado in Santa Cruz in 1983, later becoming a provincial deputy in 1991. He served as a national deputy for Santa Cruz between 1995 and 1999, returning then to be Kirchner's vice governor until 2001 when he again became a national deputy. In May 2003 he was appointed the director of the national intelligence service SIDE before returning to Santa Cruz at Kirchner's request to run for governor in October 2003. After winning the elections, he assumed office in December 2003. He is divorced and has three sons. --------------------------------------------- - Julio De Vido: Infrastructure and Project Czar --------------------------------------------- - 19. (C) Julio De Vido has been the main person managing Kirchner's public works and procurement programs for the past decade and a half and functions as one of his most important economic advisors. He is a long-time collaborator and confidant of President Kirchner, dating back to Kirchner's first forays into politics in Rio Gallegos in the 1980s. President Kirchner appointed De Vido as the Minister of Federal Planning, Public Infrastructure and Services in May 2003. De Vido manages Argentina's substantial public works program and is jointly responsible with Minister of the Economy Lavagna for the renegotiation of the nation's public service contracts. Minister De Vido is responsible for the management of over 30 billion pesos (USD 10 billion) per year and has under his jurisdiction five secretariats, ten under secretariats, eight regulatory agencies, the Yacyreta SIPDIS Binational Entity, the Salta Binational Entity, the Atomic Energy Committee, and the control of all matters related to government procurement. 20. (C) De Vido is the member of Kirchner's inner circle most likely to push him to expand the role of the state in the economy, which he sees as providing the most opportunities for national and personal gain. De Vido's influence over economic policy now rivals that of Minister Lavagna, who had unchallenged authority over economic issues during the Duhalde administration. Kirchner biographers Valeria Garrone and Laura Rocha report that Kirchner is using De Vido's expanded role in the economy to blunt Lavagna's political ambitions by reducing Lavagna's prominence and share of the credit for the improving economic situation. 21. (C) De Vido is described as a traditional, left-wing Peronist, although Senior Embassy Officers report that he has gone out of his way to maintain good relations with the U.S. De Vido has attended four "sectoral" dinners at the Ambassador's Residence to meet with U.S. investors. De Vido has been very careful to not publicly criticize the U.S. When De Vido traveled to Washington, he eagerly changed his schedule at the Ambassador's suggestion to meet with U/S Larson. De Vido has been very forthcoming in discussions with the Ambassador about the concerns of U.S. companies operating in Argentina. He has repeatedly stated that he prefers the presence of U.S. companies because of their honesty, managerial excellence, and technological edge. 22. (C) De Vido has been uniformly friendly in his contacts with Embassy Officers, visiting USG officials and many U.S. executives, but has been known to lose his temper in dealing with some European government officials. In July 2003, he sharply told the press that if visiting French Minister of Economy Francis Mer was coming to talk to him only about the renegotiation of public service contracts for French companies (in this case a tariff increase for 40 percent Suez-owned Aguas Argentinas), he would refuse to meet with him. The main reason for the different attitude toward U.S. and European visitors is that the U.S. public and private sector visitors have generally come to him in private to discuss common concerns, while the European visitors have gone to the press to advance the interests of individual companies. 23. (C) De Vido's relationship with Kirchner is described as being close, but not having the same level of trust as Kirchner's relationship with Cristina, Zannini, or Acevedo. Kirchner respects De Vido's intellect and organizational ability, but knows that De Vido, if anyone, is the one that has the most dirt on him. When Kirchner was hospitalized briefly in April 2004, De Vido was not on the list of those allowed to visit him in the emergency room, which was limited to his wife, Zannini, and Acevedo. Nevertheless, De Vido is frequently on call to participate in visits to the provinces and sit in on meetings in the Casa Rosada. He once told the Ambassador that he preferred to come to a dinner, rather than a lunch, because he never knew if he would have to cancel at the last minute to attend a meeting at the Casa Rosada. De Vido is in constant contact with Kirchner by cell phone. The Ambassador's and other visiting USG officials' meetings and dinners with De Vido have often been interrupted by a cell phone call from Kirchner. Kirchner usually takes advantage of these occasions to send greetings to De Vido's hosts and/or guests. 24. (C) Since his days in Kirchner's Santa Cruz government, Julio De Vido has been dogged by allegations of corruption, although none of these have been proven. One of De Vido's main functions during his time in Kirchner's provincial government was managing the province's large public works program, Cuatrienal, which the political opposition later accused of corruption in its awarding of public contracts. De Vido is currently under investigation by Federal Judge Jorge Urso for irregularities with the renegotiation of a public service contract with Aguas Argentinas, the purchase of locomotives, and with the awarding of a contract to build a gas pipeline in the northwest part of the country. His son Facundo served as his private secretary until a government internal security source informed Kirchner that Facundo was taking bribes from private companies in exchange for arranging appointments with his father. Kirchner told De Vido to remove Facundo and Facundo is now a travel guide in Santa Cruz Province. 25. (C) Julio De Vido was born in Buenos Aires in 1949 and was trained as an architect at the University of Buenos Aires. He began work as a draftsman at ENTEL, the state telephone company, in 1974. He later was promoted to supervisor, but then was exiled to manage ENTEL works in Patagonia by the military government in 1976. He resigned from ENTEL in 1982 and moved to Rio Gallegos to work for a private company. There was a Peronist Party office across the street from his new home where he first met Kirchner and established the political partnership that took him to national prominence. When Kirchner became mayor of Rio Gallegos in 1988, he appointed De Vido to be the Director General of Public Works at the Santa Cruz Institute of Urban Development and Housing and in 1991 as the head of the Provincial Highway Bureau. In 1991, Governor Kirchner appointed him as Minister of Economy and Public Works, and in 1999 as Minister of Government. De Vido was a key campaign organizer and the chief fund-raiser for Kirchner's 2003 presidential campaign. He is married and has five children. --------------------------------------------- - Alberto Fernandez: Kirchner's "Prime Minister" --------------------------------------------- - 26. (C) Cabinet Chief Alberto Fernandez is Kirchner's main advisor on Buenos Aires politics and on the workings of the national PJ party structure. Kirchner values Alberto Fernandez's analysis of people, frequently seeking his advice on how to work with a given political figure. Kirchner uses Fernandez as one of his key people to work behind the scenes to accomplish his national political goals. Fernandez is present at all important meetings. Fernandez is the one member of Kirchner's inner circle who really understands the workings of the PJ at a national level. He also has an intricate knowledge of the workings of the Argentine Congress, and understands how the Buenos Aires provincial and city party mechanics operate and can be influenced. As such, he is Kirchner's "real world" front-line political operator that can make things happen. 27. (C) Alberto Fernandez lacks the personal history, connection to Patagonia, and ideological affinity with Kirchner that others in the inner circle have. He was associated with former President Carlos Menem in the past and comes from a center-right political background. He is a conservative on economics and is the member of the inner circle most likely to encourage President Kirchner to maintain neo-liberal economic policies. 28. (C) Fernandez has become one of Kirchner's close advisors through his proven loyalty and tireless work over the past few years. A Senior Embassy Officer compared Alberto Fernandez to Leon Panetta, who entered the Clinton administration as a hired gun, but grew to become one of Clinton's most trusted advisors. Alberto Fernandez may not be trusted as much as other members of the inner circle, but Kirchner appreciates the fact the Fernandez lacks the presidential ambitions of other officials like Minister Lavagna. Kirchner frequently calls on Fernandez to keep the other ministers in line. Senior Embassy Officers describe Alberto Fernandez as being fairly low-key, content to operate in the background while the Kirchners and other advisors take more of the spotlight. 29. (C) Alberto Fernandez was born in Buenos Aires in 1959. He received his law degree from the University of Buenos Aires in 1983. In 1985 he became Records Director for Juridical Affairs at the Ministry of the Economy and was later promoted to Deputy Director. In 1989 he was appointed as the Insurance Superintendent of the Nation. He served as the Vice President of Grupo BAPRO between 1996 and 2000, where he was responsible for the development of companies associated with the Bank of the Province of Buenos Aires. Fernandez was also an Assistant Professor of Penal Law at the University of Buenos Aires Law School. In June 2000 he became a legislator of the City of Buenos Aires for the PJ, serving in this capacity until accepting his current position in Kirchner's cabinet in May 2003. He served as Kirchner's presidential campaign manager. He is married, but separated from his wife, and has one son. ------------------------------- Oscar Parrilli: The Door Keeper ------------------------------- 30. (C) In his current position as Secretary General of the Presidency (Casa Rosada Chief of Staff), Oscar Parrilli controls President Kirchner's schedule. Senior Embassy Officers report that Kirchner does not generally seek Parrilli's advice on policy matters, as Kirchner does not have a great respect for his intellect. However, Parrilli is present at almost every major policy meeting that Kirchner attends. Kirchner does value Parrilli's organizational skills and his ability to bring harmony to the Casa Rosada staff. Parrilli is the go-to person for Kirchner on key issues like his personal security and managing presidential travel, including the presidential aircraft Tango 01. Parrilli is also a person with whom Kirchner can vent his frustrations. Parrilli does not have a connection to Santa Cruz, but his long history of activism in PJ politics in the Patagonian province of Neuquen gives him a natural affinity with Kirchner. 31. (C) The one policy issue that Kirchner has entrusted to Parrilli is relations with the piqueteros. Parrilli regularly meets with Raul Castells and other piquetero leaders to try to advance Kirchner's agenda of keeping the movement under control. Kirchner has also used Parrilli to attempt to draw more moderate piquetero elements into Kirchner's Transversal political movement. Kirchner gave Parrilli the piquetero issue because Kirchner recognized that Parrilli's mild temperament would help him manage the often-volatile relations between the Casa Rosada and the protest movement. 32. (C) In meetings with Embassy officers, Parrilli is positive and engaging. The Ambassador and DCM maintain close lines of communication with him and have the ability to make an appointment with Parrilli at any time to discuss any issue. Senior Embassy Officers describe Parrilli as a centrist politically. Parrilli is reportedly not good at managing his own schedule, which compounds Kirchner's natural tendency to be late to meetings. 33. (C) Oscar Parrilli was born in 1951 in San Martin de los Andes in Neuquen province. He is an attorney by training, receiving his law degree from the University of Buenos Aires in 1976. Kirchner and Parrilli first met and became friends in the 1970s when both were active in Peronist politics in Patagonia. Parrilli first held political office as a provincial PJ legislator in Neuquen in 1983, serving in this capacity until 1987. In 1989 he was elected as a National Deputy. He unsuccessfully ran for Neuquen governor in 1991 and then left politics for a private law practice when his term as National Deputy ended in 1993. In 1998 he joined the Grupo Calafate, an alternative movement of Peronist activists opposed to the national PJ party structure dominated by former President Carlos Menem. Parrilli worked diligently on Kirchner's presidential bid and was appointed to his current position when Kirchner assumed office in May 2003. He is married and has four children. ------- Comment ------- 34. (C) Kirchner's refusal to hold cabinet meetings and preference for making policy decisions with a handful of key advisors makes understanding his inner circle of confidants crucial to comprehending and predicting Argentina's policy directions. Each member of Kirchner's inner circle of advisors provides their particular expertise, but for Kirchner the most important thing they offer him is their unswerving loyalty. All sources emphasize that ultimately, after taking in the advice of those important to him, Kirchner makes all of the decisions himself. Kirchner has developed a much greater network of informal advisors than when he first entered office and he has numerous competent officials to utilize for policy advice. However, in the end, the real decision-making in Argentina is made at the Saturday afternoon coffees at the Quinta Olivos where Kirchner and his wife meet with a few long-time intimates. 35. (C) The political background of most of Kirchner's inner circle gives some of them a tendency to mistrust U.S. policies. In fact, Kirchner vowed to end "carnal relations" with the U.S. during his 2003 campaign for the Presidency. Nonetheless, Kirchner and his inner circle recognize the importance of a positive relationship with the U.S and have given the Ambassador and Senior Embassy Officers an open door to meet with them to discuss issues. The inner circle members are careful to not be seen as being too close to the U.S. in public, but at the same time they carefully avoid publicly criticizing the U.S. The Embassy maintains a positive dialogue with them in private. Post will continue to engage these individuals, providing an excellent opportunity to act as a positive influence on Kirchner and Argentine policy. GUTIERREZ
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