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| Identifier: | 04THEHAGUE3350 |
|---|---|
| Wikileaks: | View 04THEHAGUE3350 at Wikileaks.org |
| Origin: | Embassy The Hague |
| Created: | 2004-12-29 12:38:00 |
| Classification: | CONFIDENTIAL |
| Tags: | PREL NL EUN |
| Redacted: | This cable was not redacted by Wikileaks. |
This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 07 THE HAGUE 003350
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: DECL: 12/21/2014
TAGS: PREL, NL, EUN
SUBJECT: NETHERLANDS/EU PRESIDENCY: ACCOMPLISHMENTS AND
LESSONS LEARNED (VIEW FROM THE HAGUE)
REF: A. THE HAGUE 3183
B. THE HAGUE 2691
C. THE HAGUE 1670
Classified By: AMBASSADOR CLIFFORD SOBEL FOR REASONS 1.4(B) AND (D)
1. (C) Summary: The December 17 European Council decision to
offer Turkey a starting
date for accession negotiations let the Dutch end their
presidency on a high note. The
Dutch recorded several important accomplishments, of which
the successful Turkish
negotiations were the most notable, while maintaining a high
degree of transparency
during a challenging period for both the EU and the
Netherlands. Significant progress
was made in strengthening U.S.-EU coordination on Justice and
Home Affairs, laying the
groundwork for more effective cooperation in the future.
Particularly with regard to
terrorist financing, the Dutch accepted and promoted the U.S.
effort to address the issue
"across pillars" and look forward to continuing to show
leadership in this area. Despite
early protestations about the primacy of remaining "neutral"
during the Presidency, the
Dutch ultimately wielded their position effectively to
prevent a premature lift of the
China Arms Embargo and to get a "yes" decision on Turkey.
The Dutch also pushed the
EU to take a more active and positive stance on Iraq,
although the results have so far
fallen short of expectations, and strove to take advantage of
near-term opportunities in
the Middle East in the wake of Yasser Arafat's death while
avoiding focusing on final
status issues. The Ukraine election crisis provided an
unexpected opportunity for the EU
to demonstrate resolve but highlighted long-term worries
about the EU-Russia relations.
End summary.
A DIFFICULT TIME TO BE PRESIDENT
--------------------------------
2. (C) As noted refs, the 2004 Dutch EU presidency took
place against a backdrop of
deliberately lowered expectations combined with a series of
unusual complications (both
expected and unanticipated). The Dutch were the first
presidency to preside over an EU
at 25, and also the first to deal with a European
Parliament's refusal to confirm a new
commission. Domestically, Prime Minister Balkenende's
extended illness (which caused
the postponement of at least one summit and led another to be
chaired by Luxembourg)
and anti-Muslim sentiment provoked by the November murder of
a Dutch filmmaker by a
Dutch Islamic extremist of Moroccan descent posed unique
challenges for the Dutch
presidency. In the end, however, the Dutch achieved nearly
all their stated objectives
for the presidency and more -- even when operating without a
functioning commission or
Prime Minister. This reflected both extensive Dutch
pre-presidency contingency
planning and a surprising (for the Dutch) degree of
flexibility which allowed the
presidency to find and exploit opportunities for progress
despite such obstacles.
TRANSATLANTIC TRANSPARENCY
-------------------------
3. (C) Extensive contacts between Dutch officials and their
Washington, Hague, and
Brussels counterparts -- up to and including the U.S.-EU
Ministerial Troika meeting in
December -- helped maintain a mood of productive consultation
throughout the Dutch
presidency, even when dealing with contentious issues such as
the possible lift of the
EU's China Arms Embargo. By describing their own thinking
and the positions of other
member states, the Dutch often alerted the USG to troublesome
developments within the
EU councils as well as promising openings for U.S.
intervention. Within EU fora
(including the December 17 POLDIRS meeting chaired by Dutch
POLDIR Hugo
Siblesz), the Dutch helped set a practical, down-to-earth
tone for the U.S.-EU dialogue
by highlighting areas of actual partnership (such as Ukraine)
and shared objectives (such
as Iraq), while seeking constructive ways to work through
areas of real disagreement
(including the China Arms Embargo).
NEW MECHANISM FOR COOPERATION ON JUSTICE AND HOME AFFAIRS
(JHA)
--------------------------------------------- --------
4. (C) This area had been flagged prior to the presidency as
one in which practical
cooperation between the U.S. and EU should be a major
priority. The Dutch succeeded
both in facilitating cross-pillar/interagency review of JHA
issues (particularly in the
area of terrorist financing) and directing senior level
attention on the areas of U.S.-EU
cooperation on JHA and CT issues. The Dutch hosted several
workshops at the expert
level on terrorist financing and succeeded in laying the
groundwork for a continuation of
a U.S.-EU dialogue on combating terrorism finance. They
included DHS Secretary
Ridge in a ministerial troika on JHA issues where he stressed
the themes of our common
efforts to address common problems. The Dutch followed up by
inviting AG Ashcroft
and DHS Undersecretary Hutchinson to address an informal JHA
Council including all
25 EU member states. This Dutch initiative of senior level
U.S.-EU political review of
common JHA issues has now been institutionalized as a
multiannual concept, with the
next meeting scheduled during the UK presidency in the second
half of 2005. During the
meetings in The Hague, then-Commissioner for JHA Vittorino
noted the importance of
continued U.S. leadership in the JHA and counterterrorism
areas, but stressed the need
for better U.S.-EU coordination in managing public opinion to
avoid the impression that
the U.S. is dictating to the EU. The EU has also shown
strong interest in broadening our
relationship with Eurojust and Europol (both based in the
Netherlands.)
TURKEY AND CHINA: POWER OF THE PRESIDENCY
------------------------------------------
5. (C) Although the Dutch often protested that they must
remain "neutral" during their
presidency, they ultimately proved both willing and able to
use their presidency
prerogatives to influence key EU decisions. On Turkey, for
example, the Dutch used the
moral authority of the presidency to stress the principle
that "a deal is a deal" to
quiet both domestic Dutch and EU opposition, and to set the
stage for the final
negotiating crunch. Highlighting the Commission's
recommendations, the Dutch downplayed
their own negotiating efforts until just a few weeks before
the December 17 Council, even
though they appear to have been coordinating closely with
Germans, French and British
while maintaining a good dialogue with the Turks. Their
careful preparation paid off in
the end, although the bruising eleventh-hour negotiations in
Brussels reportedly left PM
Balkenende and other senior Dutch officials with strong
negative impressions of the
Turks. Especially during the period between the November and
December Councils,
high-level Dutch-U.S. contacts alerted the USG to possible
problems and enabled us to
weigh in effectively at key moments -- for example, on the
question of military
overflights of the Aegean -- without creating a negative
backlash inside the EU.
6. (C) On China, the Dutch began their presidency resigned to
(if not particularly
enthusiastic about) a lift of the EU Arms Embargo on China
before the December EU-
China summit. Initial Dutch responses to U.S. approaches
reflected a desire to have the
U.S. accept a lift as a "fait accompli." Early and active US
engagement at all levels
(especially between Secretary Powell and Foreign Minister
Bot), however, succeeded not
only in convincing the Dutch not to support such a lift, but
led Bot to use the powers of
the presidency actively to prevent a lift from occurring
during the Dutch presidency.
While the December 17 Council conclusions "invite" the
Luxembourg presidency to take
up the issue with an eye to "finalizing" the work needed to
lift, its references to not
increasing the quality or quantity of EU imports to China and
to the interests of "
friendly and allied" nations place the issue in a more
favorable context for discussion
than existed prior to the Dutch presidency. In a recent
meeting with Ambassador Sobel,
however, Hugo Siblesz made clear that the Dutch expect
momentum to lift the Embargo to
grow during the Luxembourg presidency, and urged the U.S. to
engage now to ensure that
the Code of Conduct and toolbox properly take U.S. interests
into account.
OTHER ISSUES: IRAQ, MIDDLE EAST, UKRAINE
-----------------------------------------
7. (C) The Dutch took on the difficult and apparently
thankless task of refocusing the EU
on Iraq as a top priority even before beginning their
presidency. While progress has
been slow and painful, the Dutch did succeed in focusing the
EU on the positive and
necessary role it can play in promoting security, stability,
and reconstruction in Iraq.
The Dutch pressed the European Union to send experts to
Baghdad -- providing a plane and
the personal leadership of FM Bot to forestall possible
objections -- and to develop a
concrete plan of assistance. The Dutch (responding to a
German proposal) invited Iraqi
PM Allawi to address the November European Council, at least
partly to force quick
agreement on the plan. In a recent meeting with Ambassador
Sobel, POLDIR Hugo
Siblesz admitted that while the EU has done well "on paper,"
the Dutch are frustrated
that more has not been achieved on the ground. On the other
hand, the shift in the EU's
focus will hopefully help set a more positive tone for US-EU
discussions on Iraq in the
future.
8. (C) With regard to Middle East peace prospects, the Dutch
(and FM Bot in particular)
were quick to take advantage of the opportunity presented by
Yasser Arafat's death to
promote an active EU role in promoting Palestinian elections.
At the EUROMED
ministerial in December, Bot brought the Israeli and
Palestinian representatives together
for a meeting and photo op, and worked to ensure that Solana
and others focused on near-
term, achievable goals rather than trying to shift the
discussion to "final status"
issues. The Dutch will hand the EU presidency to Luxembourg
full of hope that a window
of opportunity has been opened for roadmap implementation.
Bot has also clearly signaled
that he would be happy remain actively involved in the
process, perhaps by providing a
"back channel" for the parties and/or providing advice to his
(in his view) "less
experienced" Luxembourg counterparts.
9. (C) Finally, the Ukraine election crisis gave the EU an
unexpected opportunity to
raise its profile in the "new neighborhood" of the states of
the Former Soviet Union.
During a contentious lunch discussion on Ukraine during the
EU-Russia summit in November,
Bot and Balkenende reportedly stood firm against a
well-prepared and assertive Putin in
asserting the EU's interest in Ukraine. While the Poles,
Lithuanians, and Solana played
a more public role than the EU presidency on the ground than
the Dutch -- a tactical
decision, according to Bot, designed to avoid the appearance
of "ganging up" on Russia --
the firm handling of the Ukraine issue (as well as the
broader issue of EU-Russian
relations in the "new neighborhood," which at one point
threatened to derail the EU-
Russia summit) is likely to be remembered as one of the most
significant achievements of
the Dutch EU presidency. From the Dutch perspective, the
Ukraine episode was a good
example of how the EU can and should operate -- staking out a
strong, coherent position
on an important international issue while coordinating
closely with the U.S. -- but also
highlighted growing concerns regarding the likely direction
of EU-Russian relations.
COMMENT
-------
10. (C) During the lead-up to the presidency, Dutch
interlocutors tried to lower
expectations for their presidency by citing the special
character of their semester (new
Commission, new parliament, long summer break) and the
"obstacle" (a Bot word in his
final briefing of the diplomatic community on the presidency)
of the US election as
reasons not to expect much progress. At the end of their
presidency, however, the Dutch
appear confident that they have successfully met all
challenges while racking up
commendable set of solid achievements -- and they are clearly
reluctant to give up the
privileges of the presidency to become "just one of 25."
Strong personal contacts at all
levels, especially between the Secretary and FM Bot, were a
key factor in encouraging
the Dutch to assert their presidency prerogatives in support
of a shared transatlantic
agenda. (This China Arms Embargo discussion in particular
demonstrates the critical
importance of weighing in before a firm EU consensus position
has been set in stone.)
Going into the Luxembourg presidency, we believe that the
Dutch experience, combined
with a new Commission, leaves the US and EU well positioned
to renew a deeper and
constructive cooperation on many of the issues that face us
both.
1. (C) Summary: The December 17 European Council decision to
offer Turkey a starting
date for accession negotiations let the Dutch end their
presidency on a high note. The
Dutch recorded several important accomplishments, of which
the successful Turkish
negotiations were the most notable, while maintaining a high
degree of transparency
during a challenging period for both the EU and the
Netherlands. Significant progress
was made in strengthening U.S.-EU coordination on Justice and
Home Affairs, laying the
groundwork for more effective cooperation in the future.
Particularly with regard to
terrorist financing, the Dutch accepted and promoted the U.S.
effort to address the issue
"across pillars" and look forward to continuing to show
leadership in this area. Despite
early protestations about the primacy of remaining "neutral"
during the Presidency, the
Dutch ultimately wielded their position effectively to
prevent a premature lift of the
China Arms Embargo and to get a "yes" decision on Turkey.
The Dutch also pushed the
EU to take a more active and positive stance on Iraq,
although the results have so far
fallen short of expectations, and strove to take advantage of
near-term opportunities in
the Middle East in the wake of Yasser Arafat's death while
avoiding focusing on final
status issues. The Ukraine election crisis provided an
unexpected opportunity for the EU
to demonstrate resolve but highlighted long-term worries
about the EU-Russia relations.
End summary.
A DIFFICULT TIME TO BE PRESIDENT
--------------------------------
2. (C) As noted refs, the 2004 Dutch EU presidency took
place against a backdrop of
deliberately lowered expectations combined with a series of
unusual complications (both
expected and unanticipated). The Dutch were the first
presidency to preside over an EU
at 25, and also the first to deal with a European
Parliament's refusal to confirm a new
commission. Domestically, Prime Minister Balkenende's
extended illness (which caused
the postponement of at least one summit and led another to be
chaired by Luxembourg)
and anti-Muslim sentiment provoked by the November murder of
a Dutch filmmaker by a
Dutch Islamic extremist of Moroccan descent posed unique
challenges for the Dutch
presidency. In the end, however, the Dutch achieved nearly
all their stated objectives
for the presidency and more -- even when operating without a
functioning commission or
Prime Minister. This reflected both extensive Dutch
pre-presidency contingency
planning and a surprising (for the Dutch) degree of
flexibility which allowed the
presidency to find and exploit opportunities for progress
despite such obstacles.
TRANSATLANTIC TRANSPARENCY
-------------------------
3. (C) Extensive contacts between Dutch officials and their
Washington, Hague, and
Brussels counterparts -- up to and including the U.S.-EU
Ministerial Troika meeting in
December -- helped maintain a mood of productive consultation
throughout the Dutch
presidency, even when dealing with contentious issues such as
the possible lift of the
EU's China Arms Embargo. By describing their own thinking
and the positions of other
member states, the Dutch often alerted the USG to troublesome
developments within the
EU councils as well as promising openings for U.S.
intervention. Within EU fora
(including the December 17 POLDIRS meeting chaired by Dutch
POLDIR Hugo Siblesz), the
Dutch helped set a practical, down-to-earth tone for the
U.S.-EU dialogue by highlighting
areas of actual partnership (such as Ukraine) and shared
objectives (such as Iraq), while
seeking constructive ways to work through areas of real
disagreement
(including the China Arms Embargo).
NEW MECHANISM FOR COOPERATION ON JUSTICE AND HOME AFFAIRS
(JHA)
--------------------------------------------- --------
4. (C) This area had been flagged prior to the presidency as
one in which practical
cooperation between the U.S. and EU should be a major
priority. The Dutch succeeded
both in facilitating cross-pillar/interagency review of JHA
issues (particularly in the
area of terrorist financing) and directing senior level
attention on the areas of U.S.-EU
cooperation on JHA and CT issues. The Dutch hosted several
workshops at the expert
level on terrorist financing and succeeded in laying the
groundwork for a continuation of
a U.S.-EU dialogue on combating terrorism finance. They
included DHS Secretary
Ridge in a ministerial troika on JHA issues where he stressed
the themes of our common
efforts to address common problems. The Dutch followed up by
inviting AG Ashcroft
and DHS Undersecretary Hutchinson to address an informal JHA
Council including all
25 EU member states. This Dutch initiative of senior level
U.S.-EU political review of
common JHA issues has now been institutionalized as a
multiannual concept, with the
next meeting scheduled during the UK presidency in the second
half of 2005. During the
meetings in The Hague, then-Commissioner for JHA Vittorino
noted the importance of
continued U.S. leadership in the JHA and counterterrorism
areas, but stressed the need
for better U.S.-EU coordination in managing public opinion to
avoid the impression that
the U.S. is dictating to the EU. The EU has also shown
strong interest in broadening our
relationship with Eurojust and Europol (both based in the
Netherlands.)
TURKEY AND CHINA: POWER OF THE PRESIDENCY
------------------------------------------
5. (C) Although the Dutch often protested that they must
remain "neutral" during their
presidency, they ultimately proved both willing and able to
use their presidency
prerogatives to influence key EU decisions. On Turkey, for
example, the Dutch used the
moral authority of the presidency to stress the principle
that "a deal is a deal" to
quiet both domestic Dutch and EU opposition, and to set the
stage for the final
negotiating crunch. Highlighting the Commission's
recommendations, the Dutch downplayed
their own negotiating efforts until just a few weeks before
the December 17 Council, even
though they appear to have been coordinating closely with
Germans, French and British
while maintaining a good dialogue with the Turks. Their
careful preparation paid off in
the end, although the bruising eleventh-hour negotiations in
Brussels reportedly left PM
Balkenende and other senior Dutch officials with strong
negative impressions of the
Turks. Especially during the period between the November and
December Councils,
high-level Dutch-U.S. contacts alerted the USG to possible
problems and enabled us to
weigh in effectively at key moments -- for example, on the
question of military
overflights of the Aegean -- without creating a negative
backlash inside the EU.
6. (C) On China, the Dutch began their presidency resigned to
(if not particularly
enthusiastic about) a lift of the EU Arms Embargo on China
before the December EU-
China summit. Initial Dutch responses to U.S. approaches
reflected a desire to have the
U.S. accept a lift as a "fait accompli." Early and active US
engagement at all levels
(especially between Secretary Powell and Foreign Minister
Bot), however, succeeded not
only in convincing the Dutch not to support such a lift, but
led Bot to use the powers of
the presidency actively to prevent a lift from occurring
during the Dutch presidency.
While the December 17 Council conclusions "invite" the
Luxembourg presidency to take
up the issue with an eye to "finalizing" the work needed to
lift, its references to not
increasing the quality or quantity of EU imports to China and
to the interests of "
friendly and allied" nations place the issue in a more
favorable context for discussion
than existed prior to the Dutch presidency. In a recent
meeting with Ambassador Sobel,
however, Hugo Siblesz made clear that the Dutch expect
momentum to lift the Embargo to
grow during the Luxembourg presidency, and urged the U.S. to
engage now to ensure that
the Code of Conduct and toolbox properly take U.S. interests
into account.
OTHER ISSUES: IRAQ, MIDDLE EAST, UKRAINE
-----------------------------------------
7. (C) The Dutch took on the difficult and apparently
thankless task of refocusing the EU
on Iraq as a top priority even before beginning their
presidency. While progress has
been slow and painful, the Dutch did succeed in focusing the
EU on the positive and
necessary role it can play in promoting security, stability,
and reconstruction in Iraq.
The Dutch pressed the European Union to send experts to
Baghdad -- providing a plane and
the personal leadership of FM Bot to forestall possible
objections -- and to develop a
concrete plan of assistance. The Dutch (responding to a
German proposal) invited Iraqi
PM Allawi to address the November European Council, at least
partly to force quick
agreement on the plan. In a recent meeting with Ambassador
Sobel, POLDIR Hugo
Siblesz admitted that while the EU has done well "on paper,"
the Dutch are frustrated
that more has not been achieved on the ground. On the other
hand, the shift in the EU's
focus will hopefully help set a more positive tone for US-EU
discussions on Iraq in the future.
8. (C) With regard to Middle East peace prospects, the Dutch
(and FM Bot in particular)
were quick to take advantage of the opportunity presented by
Yasser Arafat's death to
promote an active EU role in promoting Palestinian elections.
At the EUROMED
ministerial in December, Bot brought the Israeli and
Palestinian representatives together
for a meeting and photo op, and worked to ensure that Solana
and others focused on near-
term, achievable goals rather than trying to shift the
discussion to "final status"
issues. The Dutch will hand the EU presidency to Luxembourg
full of hope that a window
of opportunity has been opened for roadmap implementation.
Bot has also clearly signaled
that he would be happy remain actively involved in the
process, perhaps by providing a
"back channel" for the parties and/or providing advice to his
(in his view) "less
experienced" Luxembourg counterparts.
9. (C) Finally, the Ukraine election crisis gave the EU an
unexpected opportunity to
raise its profile in the "new neighborhood" of the states of
the Former Soviet Union. During a
contentious lunch discussion on Ukraine during the EU-Russia
summit in November, Bot
and Balkenende reportedly stood firm against a well-prepared
and assertive Putin in
asserting the EU's interest in Ukraine. While the Poles,
Lithuanians, and Solana played
a more public role than the EU presidency on the ground than
the Dutch -- a tactical
decision, according to Bot, designed to avoid the appearance
of "ganging up" on Russia --
the firm handling of the Ukraine issue (as well as the
broader issue of EU-Russian
relations in the "new neighborhood," which at one point
threatened to derail the EU-
Russia summit) is likely to be remembered as one of the most
significant achievements of
the Dutch EU presidency. From the Dutch perspective, the
Ukraine episode was a good
example of how the EU can and should operate -- staking out a
strong, coherent position
on an important international issue while coordinating
closely with the U.S. -- but also
highlighted growing concerns regarding the likely direction
of EU-Russian relations.
COMMENT
-------
10. (C) During the lead-up to the presidency, Dutch
interlocutors tried to lower
expectations for their presidency by citing the special
character of their semester (new
Commission, new parliament, long summer break) and the
"obstacle" (a Bot word in his
final briefing of the diplomatic community on the presidency)
of the US election as
reasons not to expect much progress. At the end of their
presidency, however, the Dutch
appear confident that they have successfully met all
challenges while racking up
commendable set of solid achievements -- and they are clearly
reluctant to give up the
privileges of the presidency to become "just one of 25."
Strong personal contacts at all
levels, especially between the Secretary and FM Bot, were a
key factor in encouraging
the Dutch to assert their presidency prerogatives in support
of a shared transatlantic
agenda. (This China Arms Embargo discussion in particular
demonstrates the critical
importance of weighing in before a firm EU consensus position
has been set in stone.)
Going into the Luxembourg presidency, we believe that the
Dutch experience, combined
with a new Commission, leaves the US and EU well positioned
to renew a deeper and
constructive cooperation on many of the issues that face us
both.
SOBEL
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