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| Identifier: | 04PARIS9146 |
|---|---|
| Wikileaks: | View 04PARIS9146 at Wikileaks.org |
| Origin: | Embassy Paris |
| Created: | 2004-12-28 10:52:00 |
| Classification: | CONFIDENTIAL |
| Tags: | PREL PGOV PHUM BY CF CG CT EK GB RW TP ZF XA |
| Redacted: | This cable was not redacted by Wikileaks. |
This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 03 PARIS 009146 SIPDIS EUCOM FOR POLAD SNELL E.O. 12958: DECL: 12/25/2014 TAGS: PREL, PGOV, PHUM, BY, CF, CG, CT, EK, GB, RW, TP, ZF, XA SUBJECT: FRANCE AND CENTRAL AFRICA (SOUTH) Classified By: Political Minister Counselor Josiah Rosenblatt for reasons 1.4 (b) and (d). 1. (C) SUMMARY. France continues to seek solutions for the crisis in the Great Lakes through policies designed to support DRC President Kabila and the transition process and to block Rwandan interference in Congolese affairs. France's history in the Rwandan genocide complicates their ability to engage with Rwanda, leading the GOF, whether by inclination or out of necessity to seek P3 cooperation. END SUMMARY. DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO (DRC) 2. (C) French President Chirac believes that DRC President Joseph Kabila is "a decent man who deserves support...part of the solution...a man of the future" Coupled with continuing suspicion between Paris and Rwanda's "anglophone, Tutsi" leadership, Chirac's belief informs the French policy process regarding the Great Lakes region. Our MFA contacts feel that Kabila is doing as well as can be expected, but is poorly advised by the "dinosaurs" in his entourage who want him to assume total control, at the expense of his four Vice-Presidents, something the GOF feels would imperil the transition process. 3. (C) The GOF acknowledges that the presence in DRC of the ex-FAR/interahamwe has provided a pretext (not a justification) for military operations by Rwanda and/or its surrogates, principally the RCD/G. Accordingly, the French have focused on the need for credible DDR programs, occasionally suggesting that such programs be coupled with the establishment of a buffer force along the DRC/Rwanda border, all of this to be undertaken by the UN. Thus, we have seen consistent French support for increased MONUC force levels with a vigorous Chapter VII mandate. 4. (C) The French are proud of their leadership of the EU's operation Artemis in Bunia during the summer of 2003. Asked by UNSYG Annan in May to intervene until sufficient UN forces could be deployed, Chirac laid down several conditions, including UNSC approval, participation by British troops, and U.S. and UK political support to ensure cooperation from Uganda and Rwanda. With these conditions met, Chirac ordered a reluctant military to deploy. The French military had expressed a desire to solicit U.S. military assets for the mission, but the MFA, perhaps fearing a rebuff or the opening of a debate on Berlin-plus, finally confirmed to us that the GOF was not seeking any USG contribution beyond political support. By September, at the end of the mission, Defense Minister Alliot-Marie was bragging about the total success of the French-led operation. However, when Belgian FM Michel suggested in June 2004 that the EU might send troops to the Kivus, the French had no appetite for a reprise of operation Artemis, insisting that MONUC deal with the fighting. 5. (C) With many in the GOF believing that the U.S. and the UK tacitly or implicitly blessed the 1998 invasion of the DRC by Rwanda and Uganda, the French now see U.S. policy on the Great Lakes as converging with their own. The French are also pleased to see the back of UK International Development Secretary Clare Short, seen in Paris as an unconditional SIPDIS supporter of Rwanda and a persistent thorn in their side on Great Lakes issues. 6. (C) A number of factors have led to what we believe has been a reduction in the level of French activism on Great Lakes issues. First, France's problems in Cote d'Ivoire have, at times, been all-consuming for senior French Africa policy-makers. The transfer of Ambassador Levitte, who was heavily engaged on the Great Lakes, from New York to Washington, and the subsequent departure of Dominique de Villepin, a committed Africanist, from the Quai d'Orsay has also affected French engagement. The French have been seeking for some time to organize a joint visit to the Great Lakes region by FM Barnier and UK Foreign Secretary Straw, possibly including other Europeans, but no mutually acceptable date has been found. Given their difficulties with Rwanda (see below) we anticipate that the GOF will continue to seek to coordinate policies on the Great Lakes with Washington and London. RWANDA 7. (C) The French believe they have made several efforts in recent years to overcome difficulties with Rwanda arising from their support of former President Habyarimana, the 1994 genocide, and the role played by French forces in "Operation Turquoise." In August 2001, during the first visit to Rwanda by a French Foreign Minister since the genocide, Hubert Vedrine claimed to have "broken the ice" with the Rwandans by raising the effect of the genocide in France. While complaining about the portrayal of France's role in Rwandan media, Vedrine told the Rwandans that the genocide had traumatized France as well as Rwanda. In Paris, commentators noted that Vedrine made no apology and attended no ceremony to pay respects to the victims of the genocide. Vedrine returned to Kigali in January 2002, accompanied by UK Foreign Secretary Straw, who delighted the French by delivering a SIPDIS tough message to President Kagame on the need to end the Rwandan presence in eastern Congo. 8. (C) Visiting Rwanda in September 2002, FM de Villepin also claimed to have had a positive meeting (in English) with Kagame, notwithstanding the vehement criticism by the then-permrep Jean-David Levitte of Rwanda's role in the May massacres in Kisangani. Meanwhile, Kagame filed a lawsuit in Paris against Paris-based Cameroonian author Charles Onana for defamation. Onana's book, "The Secrets of the Rwandan Genocide," asserts that Kagame's Rwandan Patriotic Front was responsible for the downing of Habyarimana's plane on April 6, 1994 - the event generally accepted as the trigger for the launching of the subsequent genocide. A separate French judicial investigation, on behalf of the widows of the French pilots, was leaked to the French press in March 2004, also implicating Kagame. With the tenth anniversary of the genocide approaching, the French were concerned by the timing and pressed the Rwandans for assurances that their representative at the commemoration ceremonies not be subjected to anti-French rhetoric. Despite Rwandan assurances, Kagame delivered an anti-French diatribe at the commemoration ceremony, causing the French representative, junior minister Muselier, to cut short his visit to Rwanda and, according to the MFA, undoing Villepin's efforts to establish a working relationship with Kagame. BURUNDI 9. (C) Perhaps scarred by their experiences in Rwanda, the GOF was unreceptive to USG efforts in 2001/2 to coordinate contingency planning for potential mass killings in Burundi. The French response was "if you plan for it, you ensure it will occur." French interest in Burundi briefly peaked in October 2002, following a call from Nelson Mandela to Chirac requesting funding for the deployment of an army of troops from Uganda, Rwanda, Tanzania and Kenya to engage the Burundi rebels military, an idea French officials characterized as "crazy." Mandela's request came to nothing. However, France did provide training for Ethiopian and Mozambican troops participating in the African Mission in Burundi (AMIB), but felt unable to offer financing or logistical support. With significant expenses associated with French and African deployments in Cote d'Ivoire, an MFA official described Burundi as being in the "third circle" of French interests in Africa. With no national funding available, France did, however, push EU partners to provide financial support to AMIB. 10. (C) The French had a high regard for the efforts of Pierre Buyoya while President to move the political transition in Burundi forward. In contrast, the GOF was skeptical about the qualities of then-Vice President Domitien Ndayizeye. Thus, the French were surprised by the positive impression Ndayizeye left, following his January 2004 visit to Paris as President. REPUBLIC OF CONGO (BRAZZAVILLE) 11. (C) Congolese President Denis Sassou-Nguesso is a regular visitor to France, both for vacations and for meetings with Chirac with whom he enjoys warm relations. Sassou's ideas, including on regional disarmament are taken seriously in France. However, in early 1994 Chirac's African affairs advisor undertook a mission to Brazzaville to deliver a message to Sassou that he needed to adopt a more constructive attitude in implementing the peace and disarmament agreement with the armed opposition and in his dealings with the IMF. It should be noted, that Sassou, like Gabonese President Bongo (to whom he is related by marriage) is closely tied into the Franco-African Masonic network. 12. (C) Yet another French judicial investigation has impacted on the bilateral relationship. However, the inquiry into the circumstance into the May 1999 so-called Brazzaville Beach affair concerning the disappearance and probable killing of approximately 350 refugees was dismissed by a French court on November 22, 2004, essentially because the Congolese officials under scrutiny had no residence in France. GABON 13. (C) Any visit to Paris, of which there are many, by Omar Bongo (aka Omar El-Haj Bongo Ondimba) is the occasion for a long procession to the Hotel Meurice of ministers, politicians, businessmen and industrialists all paying court to the Gabonese President. Bongo sees Chirac whenever he wants to, and reportedly even advises Chirac on his ministerial appointments and other domestic French affairs as well as on African issues. His tenure as President second by only a few months to the Dean of the African dictators, Togolese President Eyadema, Bongo and Chirac have known each other for decades. Bongo can count on French support whenever he faces difficulty with the IFIs and Chirac can count on Bongo to engage in a manner useful to France in regional crises, as Bongo has done recently in Madagascar and the Central African Republic. While, on assuming their duties as Foreign Minister, both Villepin and Barnier included Libreville among their first stops in Africa, any issues of importance to Gabon and France are discussed between the offices of each country's President. SAO TOME AND PRINCIPE 14. (C) While there is constant speculation in the French press about alleged USG plans to establish a military presence in Sao Tome, French officials have candidly described Sao Tome as unimportant to France. Following the coup in July 2003, the MFA issued statements of condemnation, but neither Chirac nor Villepin were personally engaged. EQUATORIAL GUINEA 15. (C) France's principal concern regarding Equatorial Guinea (EG) is the boundary dispute with Gabon over the islet of Mbane/Mbanie. According to French officials, Gabonese President Bongo sees EG as the "little brother" which, due to its booming petroleum and gas revenues, has become the "big brother." Beyond making the MFA's archives available to the UN mediator, France is careful to take no position on the legitimacy of either sides' claim. They were thus offended by former Spanish FM Palacios' declaration in favor of EG's claim. 16. (U) BUJUMBURA MINIMIZE CONSIDERED. Wolff
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