US embassy cable - 04KINSHASA2165

C O N F I D E N T I A L KINSHASA 002165 
 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: DECL: 11/26/2014 
TAGS: PREL, PGOV, KPKO, CG 
SUBJECT: MORE ON THE MURKY MATTER OF WHO FIRED THE SHOTS 
 
REF: KIGALI 240915Z 
 
Classified By: PolCouns MSanderson, reasons 1.4 b/d 
 
1. (C)  PolCouns spoke November 25 with Monuc Goma Head of 
Office, and with a Monuc political officer in Kinshasa, to 
get an update on Monuc's investigation of the rocket attack 
into Rwanda, allegedly by the FDLR.  Both Monuc sources said 
that their initial investigation indicated that rather than 
FDLR, the attack may have been perpetrated by a renegade Mai 
Mai leader named Jackson Kasaveka.  (Ambassador had been told 
the same thing at a mini-CIAT meeting November 24.) 
Jackson's group operates in the southern part of North Kivu, 
but his is one of three Mai Mai groups known to respond to 
Mbusa Nyamwisi, who controls northern North Kivu.  Jackson's 
Mai Mai are part of those who have been sporadically fighting 
with ex-ANC elements in the Walikale/Masisi areas of North 
Kivu for the last few months.  (Nyamwisi's other two Mai Mai 
groups both operate in his zone of control, the Grand North, 
loosely in the area around Lake Albert.) 
 
2. (C)  Noel Membusi, head of the NGO International Crisis 
Group, told PolCouns November 26 that during his November 
22-25 visit to Beni and Butembu he observed new weaponry 
among the Mai Mai in Butembu. He also reported that 
businessmen and some FARDC military officers are discussing 
Nyamwisi's improved ties to Uganda, which supposedly include 
several recent deliveries of weapons, including to Jackson's 
group. 
 
3. (C)  Comment:  Nyamwisi certainly has been increasingly 
disgruntled with Kinshasa over the last few months, 
particularly as Kinshasa has apparently begun improving its 
contacts with Nyamwisi's rival, Eugene Serufuli.  Nyamwisi 
has made no secret of his unhappiness with having been given 
the minor regional affairs portfolio instead of the much more 
prestigious foreign minister position to which he had 
aspired.  We doubt, however, that Nyamwisi would have ordered 
Jackson to fire on Rwandan territory, although it is 
certainly possible that Jackson, a real wildcard, might have 
taken such an action on his own, possibly to test one of his 
new pieces of equipment. 
 
4. (U)  Bujumbura minimize considered. 
MEECE