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| Identifier: | 04KUWAIT3682 |
|---|---|
| Wikileaks: | View 04KUWAIT3682 at Wikileaks.org |
| Origin: | Embassy Kuwait |
| Created: | 2004-10-27 13:32:00 |
| Classification: | CONFIDENTIAL |
| Tags: | PREL ETRD EPET KU |
| Redacted: | This cable was not redacted by Wikileaks. |
This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available. 271332Z Oct 04
C O N F I D E N T I A L KUWAIT 003682 SIPDIS STATE FOR NEA/ARP E.O. 12958: DECL: 10/26/2014 TAGS: PREL, ETRD, EPET, KU SUBJECT: PRIME MINISTER REITERATES ECONOMY IS TOP PRIORITY REF: KUWAIT 3657 Classified By: Ambassador Richard LeBaron for reason 1.4 (b) and (d) 1. (U) Prime Minister Shaykh Sabah al-Ahmed al-Sabah summoned cabinet members, their deputies and key economic figures to Bayan Palace on October 23 to impress upon them his intent to move forward with economic reforms during the current legislative session, which was inaugurated on October 26. Local dailies and Embassy contacts confirmed the Prime Minister aims to see Kuwait regain its status -- enjoyed in the 1960s and 1970s -- as a regional financial hub for Gulf countries. 2. (U) Noting that an era of focus on security concerns had now passed (Note: Presumably with the elimination of Saddam Hussein as a direct threat to Kuwait. End Note), Shaykh Sabah said Kuwait should now focus on diversifying its economy, attracting foreign investment and creating new jobs for Kuwaiti nationals in the private sector. To this end, he said, the GOK has already taken initiatives to ease business and tourist travel procedures, will be expanding its airport to serve as a regional cargo hub and will develop its ports (including Bubiyan Island) to take advantage of Kuwait's political stability and advantageous geographic location. (Note: The PM cited Singapore as a model for airport and port management in an October 25 meeting with the Ambassador (reftel). End Note.) 3. (C) Comment: While post has no reason to doubt the seriousness of the Prime Minister's intent to reform Kuwait's economy and restore its position in Gulf financial circles, we estimate that real reform is not likely any time soon. In failing to invest in economic reform during the past decade, Kuwait has effectively ceded its role as a financial hub to states such as the U.A.E., and is unlikely to ever catch up. Furthermore, high oil prices and a relatively activist and populist National Assembly will combine to ensure that difficult reforms are pushed into the future. Although the Prime Minister deserves credit for recognizing the problems that will emerge when Kuwait's rising population and corresponding financial subsidies outstrip oil revenues, he will have a difficult time pushing reform while oil prices hover at $50-60 per barrel. LeBaron
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