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| Identifier: | 04HARARE1660 |
|---|---|
| Wikileaks: | View 04HARARE1660 at Wikileaks.org |
| Origin: | Embassy Harare |
| Created: | 2004-10-06 05:52:00 |
| Classification: | UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY |
| Tags: | ECON EAGR ETRD EINV PGOV ZI Economic Policy |
| Redacted: | This cable was not redacted by Wikileaks. |
This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
UNCLAS HARARE 001660 SIPDIS STATE FOR AF/S USDOC FOR AMANDA HILLIGAS TREASURY FOR OREN WYCHE-SHAW PASS USTR FLORIZELLE LISER STATE PASS USAID FOR MARJORIE COPSON SENSITIVE E. O. 12958: N/A TAGS: ECON, EAGR, ETRD, EINV, PGOV, ZI, Economic Policy SUBJECT: New Sources Drive Parallel Market 1. (U) Summary: Zimbabwe-bound remittances through Western Union have dropped by as much as 90 percent, since July 28 when the Reserve Bank (RBZ) decreed that transfer agencies must convert incoming foreign exchange into zimdollars at the official rate and may not disburse foreign exchange. According to local interlocutors, new foreign exchange sources are filling some of the void. End summary. 2. (SBU) At its peak early this year, Western Union's managing director said his firm disbursed US$ 3 million per week in Zimbabwe and was the country's top foreign exchange cash source. By contrast, he expects transfers totaling just US$ 300,000 this week, a ninety percent reduction. Many Zimbabweans working in the United Kingdom, South Africa or the U.S. relied on Western Union to send small monthly support payments (i.e., less than US$ 500) to family members. Prior to July 28, recipients had the option to receive their money in zimdollars or in foreign exchange. So-called "touts" used to gather outside Western Union branches and offer recipients competitive exchange rates, virtually always above the official exchange rate. Since the July 28 RBZ ruling, Western Union had been required to convert all incoming remittances into zimdollars with the RBZ at the official rate, before releasing the funds. The Z$5600:$US official rate is currently 25 percent below the Z$7600:US$ parallel rate. 3. (SBU) With Western Union and other transfer agencies no longer providing forex cash for local parallel trading, we wondered how much was getting through - and from which sources. Recent interlocutors offer telling insights. The Western Union MD noted that transfers to the company's outlets in neighboring countries have grown rapidly. He suggests that Zimbabweans are crossing the borders to retrieve remittances in hard currency and then smuggling the cash into Zimbabwe. However, CZI Vice- President Florence Sachikonye cautions that GOZ enforcement against parallel trading has made most Zimbabweans too afraid to sell the U.S. dollars they are storing at home. Neverthless, First Bank Executive Director Mberikwazvo Chitambo explained he is advising clients to apply for US$ 2,500 per family member for "foreign travel," the maximum the RBZ allows. The RBZ pays US$ 1,000 of the 2,500 in cash (the rest in travelers checks), most of which - according to Chitambo - ends up in the domestic parallel market. 4. (SBU) Comment: Each time the GOZ plugs up a forex leak, another one pops open. The GOZ has yet to recognize that where there's a will, there's a way; as long as the official rate doesn't reflect the real value of the currency, its resourceful citizens will identify and find a way to exploit loopholes. Dell
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