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| Identifier: | 04KINSHASA1750 |
|---|---|
| Wikileaks: | View 04KINSHASA1750 at Wikileaks.org |
| Origin: | Embassy Kinshasa |
| Created: | 2004-09-17 13:35:00 |
| Classification: | CONFIDENTIAL |
| Tags: | PGOV PREL MARR CASC CG |
| Redacted: | This cable was not redacted by Wikileaks. |
This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 KINSHASA 001750 SIPDIS E.O. 12958: DECL: 09/17/2014 TAGS: PGOV, PREL, MARR, CASC, CG SUBJECT: NORTH KIVU FREE-FOR-ALL Classified By: Poloff Meghan Moore for Reasons 1.5 B and D 1. (C) Summary. There may be a total of 10,000 Interahamwe/FDLR elements spread out between Beni and Bukavu, but it is unclear whether the FARDC is working with them. There has been serious, sustained fighting in southern North Kivu between Mai Mai and former ANC (military wing of the RCD/G) troops. General Obedi does not fully control the North Kivu military region. End Summary. FDLR/Interahamwe Involvement ----------------------------- 2. (C) North Kivu Governor Serufuli estimates a total of 10,000 Interahamwe/FDLR elements spread out between Beni and Bukavu, including a number who had been previously repatriated to Rwanda. It is unclear, however, what they are up to, and whether they are working with the FARDC. There has been no overt, large-scale cooperation between regular FARDC troops and Interahamwe/FDLR, but there have been long-standing rumors of Mai Mai/ Interahamwe/FDLR cooperation in both Kivus. VP Ruberwa's Chief of Staff Emungu told polcouns that S. Kivu military commander Mabe's personal bodyguard included Interahamwe/FDLR elements who were also being used to protect the Bukavu airport. In North Kivu, Governor Serufuli alleges Interahamwe/FDLR elements are fighting with Mai Mai in Masisi. A MONUC internal report, however, said that Interahamwe/FDLR elements in the Masisi territory withdrew, and did not appear to be involved in the fighting. (Comment: The most likely scenario is that certain Mai Mai commanders share information, equipment and ammunition, and work with Interahamwe/FDLR elements on a case-by-case basis. They may also use a limited number of Interahamwe/FDLR troops in Mai Mai offensives. Regular FARDC-Interahamwe/FDLR cooperation is less likely, but small-scale intermingling probably occurs. End comment.) MONUC Butembo officer estimates that 2-3,000 Interahamwe/FDLR-related civilians have moved north from S. Kivu and are just outside Butembo. He told poloff that this group consists mostly of Hutu civilians who moved north from S. Kivu due to fighting and fears of reprisal attacks. He said he did not know their exact intentions. MONUC did not report any other recent, large movements of Interahamwe/FDLR. North Kivu ---------- 3. (C) As of September 16, a free-for-all was underway in Masisi territory between local Mai Mai and ex-ANC soldiers from N. Kivu (who are probably loyal to Nkunda), possibly FARDC regular soldiers or Mai Mai from S. Kivu, and maybe some Interahamwe/FDLR elements. A MONUC internal report said that ex-ANC troops were reinforcing Nyabiondo (15 km north of Masisi town), and Rwanda had sent troops to Masisi to reinforce Nkunda. North Kivu Governor Serufuli told polcouns that the situation in Masisi was not a military problem, but a political problem involving outside interference from S. Kivu and out-of-control Mai Mai who refused to follow orders from N. Kivu military commander General Obedi. 4. (C) Serious fighting broke out between Mai Mai and ex-ANC troops (possibly loyal to Nkunda) outside Walikale (120 km west of Goma) on September 10. (Note: There are credible reports that regular and/or Mai Mai elements from N. Kivu, S. Kivu and Orientale may be involved in these confrontations. End note.) On September 15, a MONUC team attempted to assess the situation and evacuate two humanitarian workers. The ex-ANC commander who controls the deserted town told the team it could not leave the field where the helicopter had landed because it was too dangerous. MONUC poloff told poloff that S. Kivu military region payments to local Mai Mai surrounding Walikale encouraged them to fight the ex-ANC troops, who the Mai Mai see as loyal to Nkunda. North Kivu Governor Serufuli told polcouns that the Walikale situation was a Mai Mai problem that General Padiri, now based in Kisangani, should help address. Serufuli said that Generals Obedi, Padiri and Mabe were brought to Kinshasa by FARDC Chief of Staff General Kisempia to discuss command and control of troops. In his analysis, the re-division of the generals' responsibilities, which supposedly re-establishes Obedi control of all N. Kivu, could help improve the situation. According to Serufuli, Kisempia also plans to send written instructions with Obedi when he returns to Goma September 17 or 18 ordering all N. Kivu Mai Mai groups to follow Obedi's orders. Comment ------- 5. (C) Current fighting in northern S. Kivu and southern N. Kivu is murky and confusing, in large part because no troops in N. Kivu (outside Goma) really report to Obedi. The Mai Mai represent a loose collection of local militias. Many respond to Padiri and/or Mabe because Mabe recently paid them; a large number used to work with or for Padiri; and, they collectively hate Nkunda and the RCD/G. Former ANC soldiers appear to respond to Nkunda because he paid them, and he used to command them. Regular troops north of Kanyabayonga (mostly APC from the RCD/KML) appear to respond to Padiri or Mbusa Nyamwisi. A MONUC mission to Minova met a Mai Mai commander from the Beni-Butembo area in N. Kivu who said he had been tasked by General Padiri, based in Kisangani, to help the 4th brigade of the N. Kivu military region ensure that Mabe had control over the S. Kivu military region. The N. Kivu 4th brigade commander, who identified his brigade as a 'nationalist unit' whose objective was to ensure the territorial integrity of the DRC, told the team that he had decided to attack Nkunda last week because Nkunda's troops killed a trader and his family in Minova. It is unlikely that a written order from Kisempia instructing notoriously ill-disciplined Mai Mai to follow Obedi will improve the dynamic, or regain control of what might is a volatile situation. MEECE
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