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| Identifier: | 04COLOMBO564 |
|---|---|
| Wikileaks: | View 04COLOMBO564 at Wikileaks.org |
| Origin: | Embassy Colombo |
| Created: | 2004-03-28 03:56:00 |
| Classification: | CONFIDENTIAL |
| Tags: | PGOV PINR SOCI PHUM CE Elections Political Parties |
| Redacted: | This cable was not redacted by Wikileaks. |
This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 COLOMBO 000564 SIPDIS DEPARTMENT FOR SA, SA/INS, DRL/IRF, INR/NESA NSC FOR E. MILLARD E.O. 12958: DECL: 03/30/14 TAGS: PGOV, PINR, SOCI, PHUM, CE, Elections, Political Parties SUBJECT: New party with all-monk candidate slate reportedly making inroads ahead of April 2 election Refs: (A) FBIS Reston Va DTG 280356Z Mar 04 - (B) Colombo 557, and previous (U) Classified by James F. Entwistle, Deputy Chief of Mission. Reasons 1.5 (b,d). 1. (C) SUMMARY: In an unprecedented move, the JHU, a new political party, is fielding an all-Buddhist monk slate of candidates. While its platform is vague, the party is basically anti-peace process. It has also taken a tough stance against corruption. The JHU effort has drawn flak from the Buddhist hierarchy, which believes that monks should not engage in politics. On the hustings, the party has drawn good crowds and some observers believe it could pick up anywhere from 2-5 seats. If the JHU does well in the April 2 election, it could be a player during post-election maneuvering. END SUMMARY. 2. (C) ALL-MONK CANDIDATE SLATE: As flagged in Ref B, the Jathika Hela Urumaya (JHU) party is fielding an all- Buddhist monk slate of candidates. (The English translation of the party's name is "National Heritage Party." The JHU is a new party, but is closely linked to the Sihala Urumaya party, which is not participating in this election.) The party is running over 200 monk- candidates in the southern part of the country. The JHU's move is unprecedented in Sri Lanka, where Buddhist monks -- with some notable exceptions -- have usually steered away from overt involvement in politics (see more below). After a handful of attempts in previous decades, it was not until the 2001 parliamentary election, for example, that a monk was elected to Parliament. (This monk, Ven. Baddegama Samitha, is running again. He is not a member of the JHU, but runs as a candidate of a leftist party aligned with the President's United People's Freedom Alliance, "UPFA.") The JHU has a rather amorphous leadership structure. Its nominal leaders include the Ven. Ellawela Medhananda, the Ven. Uduwe Dhammaloka, and the Ven. Athurelia Ratana. 3. (C) ANTI-PEACE PROCESS IN THRUST: In making its run, the JHU has not aligned itself with either the UPFA or the Prime Minister's United National Party (UNP). In general, the themes that the JHU has focused on during the campaign have been similar to those held by the radical Janatha Vimukthi Peramuna (JVP)(which is part of the UPFA coalition). The JHU is highly skeptical of attempts to negotiate with the Tamil Tigers and has bitterly attacked the UNP government's peace moves, for example. Like the JVP, the JHU has also taken a strong stance against corruption, charging that many UNP ministers have taken bribes, etc. In another similarity to JVP positioning, the JHU has also taken an anti- globalization posture, which sometimes verges on the xenophobic. (See Ref A in which JHU monks reportedly criticized Coca-Cola and McDonald's for "cultural pollution.") 4. (C) DISAPPROVAL FROM BUDDHIST HIERARCHY: A key aspect of the JHU's campaign also involves its explanation of why it is running an all-Buddhist monk slate. According to the JHU, Sri Lanka is mired down with a "criminal class of politicians" who are enriching themselves and not solving the country's problems. This demands, per the JHU's logic, that Buddhist monks become involved in politics to rescue the country and return Sri Lanka to "a righteous state." The JHU's claims have been very controversial within Sri Lanka's Buddhist community. The most important pillars of the Buddhist hierarchy, the Kandy-based heads of the Malwatte and Asgiriya monastic orders, have rejected the notion of Buddhist monks running for office and engaging in politics. (FYI. Buddhist religious leaders clearly monitor national events closely. As is their predilection, however, they usually do not discuss politics explicitly, but prefer to make coded -- sometimes cryptic -- references to such matters.) Both Mahanayakes (senior clerics) of Malwatte and Asgiriya have urged the JHU monks to return to their monasteries and engage exclusively in religious activities. The JHU monks have refused to do so. (The monastic orders have not threatened to take ecclesiastical action against the JHU monks. Because of the relatively loose nature of hierarchical control in Sri Lanka, the Malwatte and Asgiriya orders apparently have no explicit authority to defrock the JHU monks over this particular matter in any case. Moreover, some of the JHU monks are members of other smaller orders and are not subject to Malwatte and Asgiriya control.) 5. (C) JHU SEEMS TO HAVE SOME MOMENTUM: Despite the controversy over its all-monk slate, the JHU's campaign has been a very active one and has drawn good crowds. While it is very hard to tell, some observers believe the party could pick up anywhere from 2-5 seats in Parliament. (Several observers believe the party could win as many as 8-9 seats, but this higher figure is widely discounted.) The gain of even one seat for the JHU would be a big event for a new party. (FYI: The JHU's close ally, the Sihala Urumaya, did very poorly in the last election in December 2001, winning no seats.) There is some debate as to where the JHU's votes will come from: some believe that the party, due to its anti-peace process stance, may take away support that would otherwise go to the UPFA, especially the JVP. Other observers believe that the JHU will reap its biggest gains among undecided voters, who are disgruntled with the larger parties for various reasons. 6. (C) COMMENT: The April 2 election will probably be a close one. If the election is close and the JHU wins some seats, the party could be a player during post- election maneuvering. It is also possible that the JHU could be a big dud on election day. There are signs that many Sri Lankans are not receptive to the JHU -- some recent poll results, for example, have indicated that a huge majority of those polled (Buddhists and non- Buddhists) completely reject the idea of monks running for office. On the societal side, the JHU's impact on Buddhism as it has been practiced in Sri Lanka is uncertain, but there is clearly a debate raging in the temples. END COMMENT. 7. (U) Minimize considered. LUNSTEAD
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