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| Identifier: | 03HARARE2310 |
|---|---|
| Wikileaks: | View 03HARARE2310 at Wikileaks.org |
| Origin: | Embassy Harare |
| Created: | 2003-11-26 14:45:00 |
| Classification: | CONFIDENTIAL |
| Tags: | PREL PGOV ECON ZI |
| Redacted: | This cable was not redacted by Wikileaks. |
This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 HARARE 002310 SIPDIS AF/S FOR S. DELISI, M. RAYNOR NSC FOR SENIOR AFRICA DIRECTOR J. FRAZER, D. TEITELBAUM LONDON FOR C. GURNEY PARIS FOR C. NEARY NAIROBI FOR T. PFLAUMER E.O. 12958: DECL: 11/26/2013 TAGS: PREL, PGOV, ECON, ZI SUBJECT: ENCOUNTER WITH THE MINISTER OF JUSTICE Classified By: Political Officer Win Dayton under Section 1.5(b)(d) 1. (C) SUMMARY: During a chance encounter at a social event on November 25, Minister of Justice, Legal, and Parliamentary Affairs Patrick Chinamasa elaborated privately to poloff about ruling party views of the MDC and the USG. Chinamasa suggested that the USG had the potential stature to influence events in Zimbabwe but had lost credibility with the ruling party as an honest broker. The extent of its open support of the MDC only stiffened ZANU-PF political resolve and undermined prospects for any compromise. Chinamasa acknowledged that the government's economic policies needed significant reform to restore market dynamism -- all subject to the overall priority of land reform. He gave little indication that the government was prepared to soften its posture toward the opposition or reach out to the West. END SUMMARY. Deep Suspicion of Washington/Commercial Farmer/MDC Cabal --------------------------------------------- ----------- 2. (C) Cordial upon introduction, Chinamasa soon became quite animated in a familiar critique of USG policy toward the GOZ. He complained first that American "sanctions" and relentlessly negative rhetoric poisoned Zimbabwe's image with the international community, warding off investors and tourists that were especially critical now in light of the disruptions of land reform. Sanctions constrained travel by certain key businesspeople, further hamstringing Zimbabwe's economic recovery. Travel restrictions on senior officials prevented the government from making its case and engaging with the USG or international financial institutions. 3. (C) The Justice Minister asserted that the USG had dialogue with many governments that were much worse by its own standards than Zimbabwe's, and yet effectively refused to engage with the GOZ. That MDC officials traveled freely to meet USG officials in Washington but ZANU-PF leaders could not convinced most in the ruling party that USG was not interested in pluralistic democracy so much as simply getting the MDC into power. USG financial and other support for the MDC deepened the conviction that the USG wanted to oust ZANU-PF "at all costs," which only made moderation by the ruling party impossible. Zimbabwe's history made its citizens very leery of foreign control, and outside support made the MDC unacceptable foreign agents in the eyes of many. The USG wanted to "ignore history" and did not sufficiently understand the political need to redress the legacy of colonial injustices. Washington "couldn't help itself" from identifying too closely with the interest of white farmers. Chinamasa maintained that the MDC's reliance on support from white farmers and overseas interests assured that it would roll back land reform, although he conceded that opposition posture on land reform belatedly was moderating. 4. (C) Chinamasa said that the United States had the stature and potential influence to facilitate political stability in Zimbabwe, but would have to overcome its severe credibility problems with the ruling party. He noted the USG's key role as broker in facilitating the Lancaster House accord and singled out the contributions of President Carter and Andrew Young as especially crucial. The GOZ was open to more engagement with the USG but had a sense that Washington "had wool in its ears," making engagement pointless. He inquired what the GOZ could do to help get the bilateral relationship on a more constructive footing and said he would be receptive to meeting the Ambassador "if there was anything to talk about." Candor on Economic Plight ------------------------- 5. (C) Turning to the economy, Chinamasa acknowledged that the government's macroeconomic policies needed significant reform. He maintained that Zimbabweans were at least as, if not more capitalistic than Americans and that the free market was operating in Zimbabwe notwithstanding government controls. He advised that policies would be changed to make things easier for both foreign and domestic investors, but did not indicate when. After asserting that economic changes would have to precede any political reform, he paused and concluded that they would go "hand in hand." Postscript ---------- 6. (C) Moments after the exchange ended cordially, a white opposition lawyer confronted poloff, expressing dismay that a western diplomat would engage Chinamasa at all. A former friend and classmate of Chinamasa and grandson of a Rhodesian Minister of Justice himself, the lawyer asserted that he would no longer speak to him. He cast Chinamasa as "ungrateful" for the opportunity he was given as one of the nation's first black lawyers, noting that he would not have been allowed to attend such functions in earlier days. He credited Chinamasa as the man most responsible for the demise of Zimbabwe's judicial system. He pointed out that the Minister's administration of justice had resulted in the police beating of two female attorneys present at the event. Ironically, the two prominent women spent more than 15 minutes joking and laughing with Chinamasa later in the party. National Constitutional Assembly Chairman Lovemore Madhuku, who has been arrested ten times (including twice within the past month), also engaged the Minister separately in jocular banter. COMMENT ------- 7. (C) A hard-line architect and executor of the government's campaign to marginalize and silence the opposition, the Minister was right on message with his historical rendition and comments about sanctions and land reform. His casual inquiry about improving bilateral relations probably did not reflect real interest from a party that remains very introspective, suspicious, and insecure of itself. That Chinamasa's private discourse was so consonant (politically, at least) with the party's public posture testifies in part to the depth of party discipline. Perhaps more problematically, it highlights the extent to which the insulated party leadership may believe much of its seemingly disingenouous rhetoric. ZANU-PF's self-consciously xenophobic posture -- part politics, part party nature -- is a barrier to meaningful engagement with the opposition and western nations. Nonetheless, the party's historically centralized power structure suggests it could dissipate on command. As long as Mugabe remains in power, though, anti-western rhetoric is likely to remain a supporting pillar of ruling party strategy. 8. (C) Chinamasa's negative characterization of GOZ economic policy was uncharacteristic and surprising. It suggests first that the hard-line moniker in the political sphere does not necessarily apply in the economic realm. In addition, his comments and the recently released budget's failure to discuss any of the country's root economic problems indicate a possible internal stalemate on economic policy, even as "hard-liners" maintain the upper hand on political tactics. 9. (C) The different postures toward Chinamasa among those aggrieved by his maladministration of justice exemplify the significance of emotion in domestic politics here. Deep polarization on the surface contrasts curiously with social relations that, shaped by varying degrees of realpolitik, cultural norms, intimidation and hope, often can be surprisingly civil -- offering potential purchase for political dialogue should will at the highest level ever be mustered. SULLIVAN
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