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| Identifier: | 03HOCHIMINHCITY777 |
|---|---|
| Wikileaks: | View 03HOCHIMINHCITY777 at Wikileaks.org |
| Origin: | Consulate Ho Chi Minh City |
| Created: | 2003-08-27 00:36:00 |
| Classification: | UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY |
| Tags: | ECON EAID PREL EINV ETRD EAGR SOCI VM |
| Redacted: | This cable was not redacted by Wikileaks. |
This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 03 HO CHI MINH CITY 000777 SIPDIS SENSITIVE E. O. 12958: N/A TAGS: ECON, EAID, PREL, EINV, ETRD, EAGR, SOCI, VM SUBJECT: COFFEE AND COCOA IN DAK LAK PROVINCE -- THE POT AIN'T BUBBLING OVER 1. (U) Summary: Hopes for economic prosperity in Vietnam's Dak Lak province remain centered on agriculture, especially cash crop coffee. While low coffee prices have meant continued slow growth, they have also spawned diversification programs. During a visit to the largest of the four Central Highlands provinces July 23-24, the Ambassador met with provincial authorities and private sector businessmen to gain their perspectives. End Summary. ------------------------------------ Dak Lak: Growth Through Agriculture ------------------------------------ 2. (U) Dak Lak People's Committee Chairman Nguyen Van Lang cited an overall economic growth rate of over seven percent (five percent in the agricultural sector) as proof of his province's economic success. Dak Lak leads Vietnam in coffee production, grows 30 percent of the nation's corn, and produces 60 percent of its cotton. Dak Lak also produces fertilizer and animal feed. Provincial authorities have used a combination of central government funding and foreign aid for agricultural diversification and infrastructure improvement projects. ------------------------------------------- Dak Lak Coffee Not Just For Weasels Anymore ------------------------------------------- 3. (SBU) DakMan, a joint venture owned 66 percent by London- based ED&F Man and 34 percent by Dalimexco, a Vietnamese state-owned enterprise, was one of the first joint-venture coffee companies to operate in the Central Highlands. The factory was also one of the first to use an automated process to sort, grade, dry, and package the beans, according to Jonathan Clark, director of DakMan's Dak Lak operation. The beans are untouched by human hands from the time they are put in the silo until the time they are packaged for shipping. As with most exporters, DakMan does not roast its beans in Vietnam, but exports only green coffee. 4. (SBU) Mr. Clark thought the quality of coffee currently being produced was sufficient to satisfy demand. The market does not offer enough of a premium to clean up the coffee beans, since the many small producers who process and sell to exporters can earn more selling bags of "dirty" coffee weighed down with sticks and twigs. Given the low costs of production in Vietnam, Mr. Clark believes the average Vietnamese farmer earns a higher percentage on his coffee than do his peers in other countries. 5. (SBU) Like most processors in Dak Lak, DakMan processes only robusta coffee, not the more expensive arabica. In southern Vietnam, only farmers in Lam Dong Province can grow true arabica coffee, which requires elevations above 750 meters, and even Lam Dong grows very little. (Post Note: The main arabica-producing regions are in northern Vietnam.) Most Vietnamese coffee marketed as arabica is actually a robusta-arabica hybrid called Catimor. While Catimor is inferior to true arabica, the price of producing arabica in Vietnam is simply too high. Sadly, Mr. Clark dispelled urban legends that high priced "weasel" coffee continues to be processed through the digestive system of its namesake animal, describing the use of chemical additives to produce the distinctive taste and aroma. 6. (SBU) DakMan purchases from suppliers throughout the province, with state-owned farms accounting for nearly 25 percent of production. Many of these farms are slowly privatizing. While DakMan rejects about 7.5 percent of the coffee it purchases, the rejects are often repackaged and resold to DakMan or other exporters. There is a proposal by the Dak Lak provincial government to create a centralized coffee-trading center, which Mr. Clark hopes will increase price transparency for buyers. 7. (SBU) Mr. Clark believes Vietnam's coffee industry is fundamentally strong, and will rebound with the expected rise in coffee prices. The current price slump would benefit Vietnam's coffee producers in the long run by driving out competition from less efficient growers, like those in Africa. DakMan is the only coffee company in the province to hedge its risk with an active futures trading group (based in London). Most major producers in Vietnam now had Reuters machines to track the coffee futures market, which opens at 4:20 p.m. local time. DakMan's competitors use the spot close price from the previous day in contract negotiations. ---------------- A Cocoa Revival? ---------------- 8. (SBU) Mr. Clark also mentioned that DakMan was partnering with the Vietnamese Agricultural Science Institute in a provincially funded US$5.1 million diversification project to promote cocoa production. Farmers in the Central Highlands had pulled out their cocoa trees more than 20 years ago when they could no longer find a market for their crop. Now, Dak Lak should be ready to begin exporting cocoa again in about three years. USDA and USAID, in conjunction with the American Cocoa Research Institute and the World Cocoa Foundation, have also started funding a project to test cocoa production in Dak Lak. ---------------------------------------- Trung Nguyen Coffee: The Next Starbucks? ---------------------------------------- 9. (SBU) Administrative Chief Nguyen Van Thu showed off Trung Nguyen Coffee's impressive new headquarters building in Buon Me Thuot, the capital of Dak Lak Province. Trung Nguyen LLC, still privately owned by the family who established the company in 1995, has attracted public attention as one of the country's most highly successful Vietnamese-run private enterprises. Trung Nguyen's management has made no secret of its desire to become the Vietnamese equivalent of Starbucks. 10. (SBU) Although turnover remains quite modest, Trung Nguyen now exports to nine countries worldwide -- Canada, Germany, Australia, Malaysia, Singapore, China (including Hong Kong), Japan, Canada, and the USA. The company applied to register its brand in the U.S. in May 2002, and Mr. Thu believes they are close to overcoming a trademark dispute with their U.S.-based importer, Ricefield Corp. Trung Nguyen has already opened retail stores in Thailand and Japan, but Mr. Thu was interested in learning more about how to break into the U.S. market. 11. (SBU) Currently the Vietnamese consume only one kilogram of coffee per person on an annual basis. Yet while Vietnam remains primarily a tea drinking culture, coffee consumption is growing at 25-30 percent per year. Trung Nguyen is aggressively franchising its name to target the domestic market. The company charges a uniform, one-time initial franchise fee and requires the franchisee to serve only Trung Nguyen coffee. While the earliest franchisees were not held to any particular design standards, plans call for future franchises to reinforce the brand image with a standardized look and feel. Trung Nguyen has thousands of shops nationwide, with 200 in Buon Me Thuot alone. The company also owns an undisclosed number of cafes and shops directly. 12. (SBU) Trung Nguyen purchases coffee from all four Central Highlands provinces and strives as much as possible to use either "clean" coffee grown with minimal application of chemicals, or organic coffee. They have worked with the Vietnam Coffee Association to advise farmers on how to grow clean coffee. While Trung Nguyen deals primarily in robusta coffee, Mr. Thu thought Vietnamese farmers were increasingly interested in growing higher-priced arabica beans, but agreed with DakMan's Clark that only parts of Lam Dong Province were suitable. ---------------------- Honey Situation Sticky ---------------------- 13. (SBU) Dak Lak Department of Planning and Investment (DPI) Director Do The Thu dismissed reports from the Vietnamese press that Dak Lak honey was suffering from poor quality control and that the export market was down as a result. He acknowledged, however, that high honey prices in 2003 had led some smaller operations to mix honey with sugar, producing "fake" honey to make a quick profit. Provincial officials are publicly discouraging this practice. He reported that 160,000 bee swarms had already produced 4,000 tons of honey in the first half of 2003. Most Dak Lak honey is produced for export. 14. (SBU) Director Thu stressed that the Dak Lak beekeeper association would try to do more to control export quality, especially at the production level. The province plans to purchase equipment for measuring honey quality, but such equipment is expensive. The Ambassador suggested this might be an area where the U.S. could provide some assistance. ------------------------------- Overseas Development Assistance ------------------------------- 15. (SBU) According to Dak Lak DPI, active foreign aid projects are funded by Denmark (Danida), the Asian Development Bank, the World Bank, Japan, Finland, and Germany. Danida had sponsored a just completed US$19 million clean water program, and was currently supporting a drainage system project and an administrative reform project for the civil service. Germany provides advisors and credit for equipment imports for pilot projects in sustainable agricultural development and clean water. The World Bank and Japan are both funding traffic management programs. Construction of a new hospital is slated to begin in 2004 as part of a larger ADB project for Central Highlands development. The World Bank's rural electricity program had added four communes to the Dak Lak power grid and would satisfy remaining rural electrification demands by adding an additional 48 by the end of 2003. Noting there were currently no U.S. aid projects in the province, and only sporadic activity by small U.S. based NGOs, the Ambassador offered to work with the Dak Lak to find ways to provide assistance. ------- COMMENT ------- 16. (SBU) Dak Lak provincial authorities were not very responsive to the Ambassador's suggestions for direct U.S. aid projects, and offered few ideas for projects with American NGOs. Referring to "legitimate" projects and organizations, provincial leaders implied U.S.-run efforts might be used for other purposes. Although Dak Lak officials have agreed to a USDA/USAID cocoa project (likely because of keen local interest and limited direct USG involvement) officials are still reluctant to agree to most forms of USG assistance. Dak Lak continues to be one of the most xenophobic provinces in the country, with its authorities convinced that any foreign presence could be a cover for support of Montagnard political separatist activities. (Post Note: The Japanese Consulate General was denied permission by provincial authorities to visit a school that was being constructed with official development aid last year. The Japanese have not tried to visit that project again.) DakMan's Clark noted that the number of expatriates living in Dak Lak was down to around 20, about half of what it used to be. 17. (SBU) Even with diversification efforts underway, Dak Lak's economy is still heavily dependent on coffee and coffee prices. There are concerns that if Vietnam enters new markets like cocoa, in the same way it entered the coffee market, the dramatic increase in supply will cause prices to plummet. In a further blow to the local economy, Dak Lak has closed its Buon Me Thuot airport temporarily. While the airport is scheduled to reopen in September 2003 with a runway capable of supporting Airbus A320s, projects like this have a way of falling behind in Vietnam. YAMAUCHI
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