US embassy cable - 06CHENNAI926

SOUTH INDIA VOTES FOR CHANGE

Identifier: 06CHENNAI926
Wikileaks: View 06CHENNAI926 at Wikileaks.org
Origin: Consulate Chennai
Created: 2006-05-11 11:58:00
Classification: UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Tags: PGOV PINR IN
Redacted: This cable was not redacted by Wikileaks.
VZCZCXRO1142
OO RUEHBI RUEHCI
DE RUEHCG #0926/01 1311158
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
O R 111158Z MAY 06 ZDS
FM AMCONSUL CHENNAI
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 8260
INFO RUEHNE/AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 1654
RUEHLM/AMEMBASSY COLOMBO 1209
RUEHBI/AMCONSUL MUMBAI 4759
RUEHCI/AMCONSUL CALCUTTA 0506
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 CHENNAI 000926 
 
SIPDIS 
 
C O R R E C T E D  C O P Y - PRECEDENCE UPGRADED 
 
SENSITIVE 
 
SIPDIS 
 
E.O. 12958: N/A 
TAGS: PGOV, PINR, IN 
SUBJECT: SOUTH INDIA VOTES FOR CHANGE 
 
REF: (A) CHENNAI 0873 AND PREVIOUS, (B) CHENNAI 0848 
 
AND PREVIOUS 
 
CHENNAI 00000926  001.2 OF 002 
 
 
1. SUMMARY: (U) In state assembly election results 
announced on May 11, incumbent governments in Tamil 
Nadu and Kerala lost to their traditional rivals.  In 
the Union Territory of Pondicherry, the current 
Congress government won another term. END SUMMARY. 
 
------------------ 
TAMIL NADU RESULTS 
------------------ 
 
2. (SBU) Exit polls correctly predicted a win for the 
DMK party and its large coalition.  In the vote 
counting for the 234-seat legislative assembly which 
was still incomplete at close of business, the number 
of seats won or leading by the two opposing coalitions 
are as follows: 
 
DMK COALITION 
 
DMK  -  101 
Congress  -  34 
PMK  -  18 
CPI(M)  -  9 
CPI  -  6 
TOTAL  -  168 
 
AIADMK COALITION 
 
AIADMK  -  57 
MDMK  -  6 
Others  -  1 
TOTAL  -  64 
 
With 118 seats required for a majority, Tamil Nadu 
will have a coalition or minority government for the 
first time in the history of Draviadian politics. 
 
The BJP party contested alone and again failed to 
engender enthusiasm for its candidates.  BJP appears 
to have won not a single seat.  Newcomer Vijaykant, 
the latest in south India's series of film stars 
turned politicians, and his DMDK party generated 
surprisingly strong voter support.  Exit polls 
suggested he might win up to 10% of the total vote but 
because his votes were evenly spread across 
constituencies, his DMDK party has won just one seat. 
The remaining seat was won by an independent 
candidate. 
 
-------------- 
KERALA RESULTS 
-------------- 
 
3. (U) In Kerala, the Communist Party-led Left 
Democratic Front (LDF) won a comfortable majority over 
the Congress-Indian Union Muslim League alliance 
(UDF), as expected.  In a legislative assembly of 140 
seats, the number of seats won by the two opposing 
coalitions are as follows: 
 
LDF (Communists and JDS) 
 
CPI(M)  -  61 
CPI  -  17 
JDS  -  5 
Others  -  15 
TOTAL  -  98 
 
UDF (Congress and IUML) 
 
Congress  -  24 
IUML  -  7 
KCM  -  7 
Others  -  4 
TOTAL  -  42 
 
------------------- 
PONDICHERRY RESULTS 
------------------- 
 
4. (U) In the small Union Territory of Pondicherry the 
incumbent Congress government won another term.  Seats 
won by the respective parties are as follows: 
 
Congress and partners  -  21 
 
CHENNAI 00000926  002.2 OF 002 
 
 
 
AIADMK and partners  -  9 
 
5. (U) Complete results and further analysis of the 
results will follow septel. 
 
HOPPER 

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