US embassy cable - 02VATICAN4444 (original version)

HOLY SEE AND THE ROADMAP FOR IRAQ PUBLIC DIPLOMACY (original version)

Identifier: 02VATICAN4444
Wikileaks: View 02VATICAN4444 at Wikileaks.org
Origin: Embassy Vatican
Created: 2002-09-13 04:55:00
Classification: CONFIDENTIAL
Tags: IZ KPAO OPRC PREL KPAO OPRC PREL VT VTIZ
Redacted: This cable was redacted by Wikileaks. [Show redacted version] [Compare redacted and unredacted version]
This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 VATICAN 004444 
 
SIPDIS 
 
FOR EUR, EUR/PD, AND EUR/EEA -KALLEGRONE 
 
E.O. 12958: DECL: 09/12/2012 
TAGS: IZ, KPAO, OPRC, PREL, KPAO, OPRC, PREL, VT, VTIZ 
SUBJECT: HOLY SEE AND THE ROADMAP FOR IRAQ PUBLIC DIPLOMACY 
 
REF: A. A) STATE 169975 
 
     B. B) VATICAN 4398 
     C. C) VATICAN 4388 
     D. D) VATICAN 0444 
 
CLASSIFIED BY: CHARGE D'AFFAIRES, D. BRENT HARDT 
 
1. (C) SUMMARY:  THE HOLY SEE PRESENTS DISTINCTIVE CHALLENGES 
AND OPPORTUNITIES IN REGARD TO IRAQ PUBLIC DIPLOMACY.  UNLIKE 
MOST POSTS, OUR "PUBLIC" WITHIN THE VATICAN IS LIMITED, BUT 
THE PUBLIC REACH OF THE VATICAN IS TRULY GLOBAL AND AMONG THE 
                       CONFIDENTIAL 
 
PAGE 02        VATICA  04444  01 OF 02  130613Z 
MOST IMPORTANT VOICES WE CAN SEEK TO INFLUENCE.  AS WE HAVE 
RECENTLY REPORTED (REFS B AND C), THE HOLY SEE IS CONCERNED 
ABOUT THE IRAQI REGIME, BUT OPPOSED TO MILITARY ACTION BASED 
ON THE INFORMATION THEY HAVE AT THIS TIME.  DESPITE ITS 
TRADITIONAL OPPOSITION TO THE USE OF FORCE, THE HOLY SEE'S 
FOREIGN MINISTER DID LEAVE OPEN THE POSSIBILITY OF MILITARY 
ACTION, BUT ONLY AFTER CONSIDERING THE IMPLICATIONS FOR THE 
IRAQI PEOPLE THE REGION, AND GLOBAL STABILITY, AND ONLY 
WITHIN A U.N. FRAMEWORK.  OUR FIRST PUBLIC DIPLOMACY 
CHALLENGE IS THEREFORE TO MAKE OUR CASE FOR ACTION TO THE 
POPE AND SENIOR VATICAN OFFICIALS.  END SUMMARY. 
 
--------------- 
MAKING OUR CASE 
--------------- 
 
2. (C) THE HOLY SEE RECOGNIZES THE SECURITY RISK POSED BY 
WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION, AND THE THREATS SADDAM POSES TO 
HIS PEOPLE AND THE REGION.  THEY DO NOT NEED TO BE CONVINCED 
OF THE NATURE OF SADDAM'S CHARACTER, HIS HISTORY IN POWER, OR 
THE POTENTIAL RISKS THAT HE POSES.  WHAT HAS BEEN LACKING, 
FROM THE HOLY SEE'S PERSPECTIVE, BASED ON RECENT DISCUSSIONS 
AND PRESENTATIONS BY SENIOR VATICAN OFFICIALS, IS THE 
FOLLOWING: 
 
-- A CLEAR UNDERSTANDING AS TO WHY IRAQ CANNOT BE CONTAINED 
SHORT OF DIRECT MILITARY ACTION; 
 
-- COMPELLING JUSTIFICATION AS TO WHY THE THREAT FROM IRAQ IS 
GREATER TODAY THAN DURING THE PAST SO THAT IT WOULD REQUIRE 
IMMEDIATE ACTION; 
                       CONFIDENTIAL 
 
PAGE 03        VATICA  04444  01 OF 02  130613Z 
 
-- A COMPREHENSIVE ASSESSMENT OF THE RISKS AND POTENTIAL TO 
THE IRAQI PEOPLE, THE REGION, AND GLOBAL STABILITY OF BOTH 
TAKING ACTION VERSUS NOT TAKING ACTION (THE HOLY SEE BELIEVES 
THERE IS A GREAT RISK THAT MILITARY ACTION IN THE REGION 
COULD LEAD TO A MUCH LARGER CONFLAGRATION THAT COULD DRAW 
ISRAEL INTO WAR IN WAYS THAT COULD BE POTENTIALLY 
DEVASTATING); 
 
-- A CONVINCING CASE THAT THE WORLD COMMUNITY HAS EXHAUSTED 
ALL OPTIONS AND MUST ACT TO AVERT A GREATER CALAMITY. 
 
----------------------------- 
ADDRESSING THE JUST WAR ISSUE 
----------------------------- 
 
3. (C)  ULTIMATELY, THE HOLY SEE'S PUBLIC STANCE ON AN 
INTERNATIONAL RESPONSE TO IRAQ -- IN PARTICULAR WHETHER IT 
WILL EITHER ACQUIESCE IN OR SUPPORT MILITARY ACTION IN IRAQ 
-- WILL DEPEND ON WHETHER SUCH A RESPONSE MEETS THE HOLY 
SEE'S JUST WAR DOCTRINE AS ENUNCIATED IN THE CATHOLIC 
CATECHISM.  TO THE EXTENT THAT U.S. DIPLOMATIC AND PUBLIC 
DIPLOMACY EFFORTS CAN MAKE THE CASE THAT SUCH ACTION MEETS 
THE JUST WAR CRITERIA, THE PROSPECTS FOR VATICAN 
ACKNOWLEDGMENT OF THE NEED FOR ACTION WILL BE GREATER.  REF D 
OUTLINES THE JUST WAR DOCTRINE AND HIGHLIGHTS THE VALUE OF 
WORKING WITH THE HOLY SEE AS WE MOVE FORWARD TO BUILD 
INTERNATIONAL SUPPORT FOR OUR CASE AGAINST IRAQ. 
 
4. (C) THE KEY ELEMENTS OF THE JUST WAR THEORY THAT WOULD 
NEED TO BE ADDRESSED TO MAKE INROADS WITH THE HOLY SEE 
                       CONFIDENTIAL 
 
PAGE 04        VATICA  04444  01 OF 02  130613Z 
INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING: 
 
-- ANY MILITARY RESPONSE TO AN EVIL SHOULD NOT LEAD TO A 
GREATER EVIL. 
 
FM TAURAN REITERATED THIS SEPTEMBER 10 (REF B) IN AN 
IMPORTANT INTERVIEW IN THE ITALIAN, CHURCH-RELATED WEEKLY 
AVVENIRE.  THIS TIES IN WITH THE HOLY SEE'S CONCERN ABOUT 
MILITARY ACTION PROVOKING A BROADER REGIONAL CONFLAGRATION, 
AND ITS FEAR FOR THE LIVES OF INNOCENTS THAT ANY MILITARY 
CONFLICT ENTAILS. 
 
-- ANY FORCE USED SHOULD BE PROPORTIONAL TO THE DESIRED END. 
 
IN THIS REGARD, THE HOLY SEE WOULD NEITHER ACQUIESCE IN NOR 
SUPPORT A MILITARY AIR CAMPAIGN THAT RESULTED IN MASSIVE 
IRAQI CIVILIAN CASUALTIES. 
 
-- JUST WAR CAN ONLY BE WAGED BY A LEGAL AUTHORITY. 
 
THE DEFINITION OF A LEGAL AUTHORITY IS OPEN TO DEBATE, BUT FM 
 
                       CONFIDENTIAL 
 
                           CONFIDENTIAL     PTQ3119 
 
PAGE 01        VATICA  04444  02 OF 02  130613Z 
ACTION EUR-00 
 
INFO  LOG-00   NP-00    AMAD-00  ACQ-00   CIAE-00  INL-00   DODE-00 
      DS-00    VC-00    TEDE-00  INR-00   IO-00    LAB-01   VCE-00 
      NEA-00   DCP-01   NSAE-00  IRM-00   USIE-00  DSCC-00  DRL-02 
      SAS-00     /004W 
                  ------------------E6BE02  130613Z /38 
P 130455Z SEP 02 
FM AMEMBASSY VATICAN 
TO SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 
 
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 02 OF 02 VATICAN 004444 
 
SIPDIS 
 
FOR EUR, EUR/PD, AND EUR/EEA -KALLEGRONE 
 
E.O. 12958: DECL: 09/12/2012 
TAGS: IZ, KPAO, OPRC, PREL, VT 
SUBJECT: HOLY SEE AND THE ROADMAP FOR IRAQ PUBLIC DIPLOMACY 
 
TAURAN'S INSISTENCE THAT ANY MILITARY ACTION IN IRAQ "SHOULD 
ONLY BE TAKEN AFTER A DECISION TAKEN IN THE UN FRAMEWORK," 
MAKES CLEAR THAT IN THIS CASE THE HOLY SEE REGARDS THE U.N. 
AS THE RELEVANT LEGAL AUTHORITY TO SANCTION ANY MILITARY MOVE 
AGAINST SADDAM. 
 
-- ALL OTHER REMEDIES MUST BE EXHAUSTED BEFORE RESORT TO 
MILITARY FORCE. 
 
TAURAN AND OTHER OFFICIALS HAVE QUESTIONED WHETHER RECOURSE 
TO THE MILITARY OPTION IS THE ONLY OPTION AVAILABLE TO THE 
                       CONFIDENTIAL 
 
PAGE 02        VATICA  04444  02 OF 02  130613Z 
WORLD COMMUNITY OR THE MOST APPROPRIATE MEANS TO ENSURE A 
TRUE PEACE.  THE HOLY SEE PREFERS DIALOGUE AND ENGAGEMENT 
WITHIN A FRAMEWORK OF INTERNATIONAL LAW, AND CLEARLY WOULD 
LIKE TO SEE THE INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY PURSUE OTHER FORMS OF 
PRESSURE MORE EXHAUSTIVELY BEFORE MOVING TO A MILITARY OPTION. 
 
------------------------------------------ 
INFLUENCING THE HOLY SEE'S PUBLIC POSITION 
------------------------------------------ 
 
5. (C) THE HOLY SEE NATURALLY VIEWS ITS ROLE AS THAT OF AN 
INTERNATIONAL VOICE FOR PEACE AND RECONCILIATION AND A 
"BUILDER OF BRIDGES" BETWEEN PEOPLES.  IN ADDITION, THE POPE 
HAS LABORED HARD TO AVOID A GLOBAL DRIFT TOWARD A "CLASH OF 
CIVILIZATIONS."  THIS CONCERN NOT ONLY REFLECTS THE HOLY 
SEE'S TRADITIONAL CONCERN FOR THE PHYSICAL SAFETY OF 
CATHOLICS IN COUNTRIES WHERE THEY ARE A MINORITY, BUT ALSO 
ITS ROLE AS A MORAL AND SPIRITUAL  VOICE FOR MANKIND.  AS A 
FIRST STEP IN BUILDING SUPPORT WITHIN THE HOLY SEE, WE 
REITERATE OUR REQUEST FOR SENIOR LEVEL BRIEFINGS THE 
RATIONALE FOR ACTION, THE POTENTIAL IMPACT OF ACTION ON THE 
REGION, AND PROSPECTS FOR STABILITY AFTER MILITARY ACTION. 
 
6. (C) IN THE SAME WAY THE USG DEVELOPED A MUTUALLY 
BENEFICIAL DIALOGUE WITH POPE JOHN PAUL II DURING THE COLD 
WAR, POST BELIEVES A SIMILAR DIALOGUE ON THE INTERNATIONAL 
RESPONSE TO TERRORISM WOULD OFFER SIMILAR MUTUAL BENEFITS. 
HIGH-LEVEL BRIEFINGS WOULD UNDERSCORE OUR DEEP REFLECTION ON 
THE MATTER AND LAY THE GROUNDWORK FOR FURTHER POSITIVE 
DIALOGUE. 
 
                       CONFIDENTIAL 
 
PAGE 03        VATICA  04444  02 OF 02  130613Z 
7. (C) BEYOND SUCH DIRECT USG ENGAGEMENT, U.S. EXPERTS ON 
JUST WAR SUCH AS MICHAEL NOVAK ALREADY HAVE A STRONG 
REPUTATION WITHIN THE HOLY SEE.  A PUBLIC DIPLOMACY CAMPAIGN 
SHOULD SEEK TO HIGHLIGHT THEIR VIEWS AND PERHAPS EVEN SOLICIT 
THEM AS SPEAKERS AND INTERLOCUTORS FOR THE EMBASSY AND HOLY 
SEE.  IN ADDITION, PROMINENT FOREIGN POLICY AUTHORITIES SUCH 
AS HENRY KISSINGER AND ZBIGNIEW BREZEZINSKI HAVE INDEPENDENT 
ACCESS TO THE HOLY SEE AND SHOULD BE ENCOURAGED TO SHARE 
THEIR VIEWS ON IRAQ AND THE NEED TO RESPOND TO TERRORISM 
DIRECTLY. 
 
HARDT 
 
                       CONFIDENTIAL 
 
> 
 

 2002VATICA04444 - Classification: CONFIDENTIAL 


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