US embassy cable - 86LONDON1567

THE UGANDA SITUATION: LONDON VIEWS

Identifier: 86LONDON1567
Wikileaks: View 86LONDON1567 at Wikileaks.org
Origin: Embassy London
Created: 1986-01-23 18:30:00
Classification: SECRET
Tags: UG PGOV PREL
Redacted: This cable was not redacted by Wikileaks.
O 231830Z JAN 86
FM AMEMBASSY LONDON
TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 1055
AMEMBASSY KAMPALA IMMEDIATE
INFO AMEMBASSY DAR ES SALAAM PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY KINSHASA PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY NAIROBI PRIORITY
S E C R E T LONDON 01567 
 
E.O.12356: DECL: OADR 
TAGS:  UG, PGOV, PREL 
SUBJECT:  THE UGANDA SITUATION: LONDON VIEWS 
 
REF:  STATE 19968 
 
1. SECRET - ENTIRE TEXT. 
 
2. OUR FCO COLLEAGUES ARE WATCHING THE UGANDA SITUATION 
WITH GROWING CONCERN, AND THEIR ANALYSIS OF MUSEVENI'S 
NEGATIVE ROLE VERY MUCH COINCIDES WITH OUR OWN IN 
REFTEL.  THE FCO WAS THOROUGHLY RATTLED BY THE FIGHTING 
IN KAMPALA ON WEDNESDAY MORNING; HOWEVER, THE BRITISH 
WERE SLIGHTLY CHEERED WHEN THE KENYANS INFORMED THEM 
THAT MOI WILL BE MEETING WITH THE NRA IN NAIROBI ON 
FRIDAY TO DISCUSS THE SITUATION. 
 
3. ON THE BRITISH MILITARY ROLE, WE WERE TOLD THAT THE 
OPERATION IS TOTALLY ON HOLD PENDING FURTHER 
DEVELOPMENTS.  THE BRITISH MAJOR GENERAL WHO WOULD HEAD 
THE MILITARY GROUP REMAINS IN NAIROBI. 
 
4. LONRHO CHIEF EXECUTIVE TINY ROWLAND TODAY TOLD US 
THAT MUSEVENI'S GAME PLAN ON UGANDA REMAINS UNCHANGED. 
ACCORDING TO ROWLAND, MUSEVENI WANTS TO EDGE HIS WAY 
TOWARD POLITICAL DOMINANCE IN THE COUNTRY; HE IS UTTERLY 
CONTEMPTUOUS OF OKELLO, ETC; HE VIEWS THE NAIROBI ACCORD 
SIMPLY AS A REVISED FORMAT FOR CONTINUED POLITICAL 
CONFLICT. 
 
5. ASKED WHETHER MUSEVENI PLANS TO TAKE KAMPALA, ROWLAND 
REPLIED THAT MUSEVENI HAS CONSISTENTLY TOLD HIM HE CAN 
TAKE KAMPALA BUT CANNOT HOLD IT.  THEREFORE, HE WILL NOT 
ACTUALLY MOVE INTO THE CITY.  THE FCO AGREES, BELIEVING 
THAT MUSEVENI WILL CONTINUE TO USE THE TACTIC OF PUTTING 
PRESSURE ON THE CITY AND THEN RELENTING. 
 
6. PRESS REPORTS HERE CONTINUE TO ALLEGE THAT AN 
INCURSION BY ZAIRE FORCES INTO SOUTHWESTERN UGANDA HAS 
OCCURRED IN COOPERATION WITH FORMER AMIN TROOPS.  OUR 
FCO CONTACTS SAY THEY ARE UNABLE TO CONFIRM THAT STORY. 
HOWEVER, "SOUTH" MAGAZINE CORRESPONDENT WILLIAM PIKE 
TELLS US THE REPORTS - ACCORDING TO HIS NRA FRIENDS - 
ARE CORRECT, AND THE OPERATION IS DESIGNED TO FORESTALL 
NRA MOVES AGAINST KAMPALA.  (IF SO, IT WOULD APPARENTLY 
INDICATE AN ABOUT-FACE BY MOBUTU ON THE UGANDAN 
SITUATION.) 
 
7. WE PLAN TO PURSUE THESE ISSUES IN OUR FRIDAY MEETING 
WITH BEN MOTOGO. 
 
 
PRICE 

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